Introduction About West Sussex Geography Environment 6 Geography of the county 29 Sustainability 30 Carbon emissions This edition of West Sussex Life Demographics 31 Renewable energy 9 Population 33 Energy consumption has four sections, three of which 10 Projected population 35 Fuel poverty are aligned with the three core 12 Population density 37 Waste disposal 13 Population change 39 Composition of waste priorities in the Future West 14 Country of birth, ethnicity 41 Mineral extraction Sussex Plan: and refugees 43 Natural environment 15 Religion and language 16 Marital status Health and wellbeing • Giving children the best 17 Internal migration 46 Physical activity 47 Obesity start in life Voting and elections 48 Drugs and alcohol • Championing the local 18 2015 General Election 50 Smoking 19 2016 EU Referendum 51 Sexual health economy 20 District councils 53 Statutory homelessness • Independent for longer in 21 West Sussex County 56 Rough sleepers Council 57 Mental health later life 59 Learning disabilities Transport 60 Personal wellbeing 23 Railways This first section contains 24 Road network and traffic Community safety information on a variety of flows 61 Recorded crime Sussex West About 25 Road casualties and bus 64 Restorative Justice subjects that are relevant to the transport 66 Domestic abuse county’s population as a whole. 26 National Transport Survey 69 Sexual offences 27 Highways enquiries 72 Hate incidents and crime 28 Cycle paths 74 Fire and rescue Section Contents [email protected] West Sussex County Council West Sussex Life 2017-19 5 Geography of the County Figure 1.1: West Sussex and South-East England About West Sussex West About Source: West Sussex County Council 6 West Sussex Life 2017-19 West Sussex County Council [email protected] Geography of West Sussex Figure 1.2: The districts of West Sussex About West Sussex West About Source: West Sussex County Council [email protected] West Sussex County Council West Sussex Life 2017-19 7 Geography of the County The county of West Sussex sits on the which cuts a large swathe right across with direct links to London Victoria and Gatwick Airport offers excellent south coast of England, bordering the area, and two other designated London Bridge. Other direct services national and international links for Hampshire, Surrey and East Sussex. Areas of Outstanding Natural Beauty: to the west link the county with Bath, residents, as well as a major source of The city of Brighton & Hove is on its Chichester Harbour and the High Bristol and Cardiff. employment. While the towns of West southeastern boundary. The county Weald. Sussex are generally well connected, covers an area of 768 square miles and The M23 corridor runs down the some rural parts of the county remain is predominantly rural in character but The county has good transport links eastern side of the county connecting relatively isolated from the main with some large towns. with London. Mainline rail services Brighton with London and the A27 transport networks of the South East. between Brighton, Southampton and provides east/west links through the West Sussex is made up of seven Portsmouth run through West Sussex coastal towns. districts: • Adur • Arun • Chichester The West The rural population is: • Crawley Sussex • Horsham • Mid Sussex population is: • Worthing 69% and operates under a two-tier system of local government. rural town 58% The majority of the population lives in urban the four largest towns, Bognor Regis, Crawley, Horsham and Worthing, yet 42% of the county’s resident 18% population, and over half of its village businesses are located in rural areas. 87% of the rural population live in small towns and villages, with 13% About West Sussex West About living in hamlets and dispersed farms and houses. rural 13% Over half of the land area of West dispersed Sussex is designated as protected 42% countryside. This high percentage is due to a large part of the county falling Source: Defra Rural and Urban Area Classification within the South Downs National Park, 8 West Sussex Life 2017-19 West Sussex County Council [email protected] Population Table 1.1: Population by gender ONS estimates the West Sussex County Population (2015) Male Female District % of County population in 2015 was # # % Male # % Female Population Adur 63,429 7.6% 30,753 48.5% 32,676 51.5% 836,250 Arun 155,732 18.6% 74,443 47.8% 81,289 52.2% Chichester 116,976 14.0% 56,237 48.1% 60,739 51.9% Arun has the largest Crawley 110,864 13.3% 55,274 49.9% 55,590 50.1% Horsham 135,868 16.2% 66,016 48.6% 69,852 51.4% district population at 155,700, Mid Sussex 145,651 17.4% 71,148 48.8% 74,503 51.2% 19% of the total county population Worthing 107,736 12.9% 51,859 48.1% 55,877 51.9% West Sussex 836,256 100% 405,730 48.5% 430,526 51.5% Source: Office for National Statistics, Mid-year Population Estimate, 2015 Latest population estimates from the For the purposes of this report, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) West Sussex population is split three 19% show that West Sussex is now home ways according to the three core in Arun to a little over 836,000 people. Arun County Council priorities: District has the highest proportion of • Start of Life - ages 0-17 the county’s population at almost 19%. • Economic Life - ages 18-64 Adur, which is also the smallest district, • Later Life - ages 65+ has the lowest at almost 8%. The working-age population makes up There are almost 25,000 more females the largest percentage at a little over than males in West Sussex, an almost 57% of the county population, almost equal split with 51.5% females to 480,000 people. There is a 48.5% males. Arun is the only district roughly equal that varies from the others in having People around or over retirement split between more than 52% females. age now number almost 187,000 Table 1.2: Population split and account for 22% of the total men and women Sussex West About County Population (2015) population, a percentage which in the West grows in West Sussex year on % of County Sussex # year. Population population age 0-17 170,439 20.4% These age splits will be dealt with age 18-64 478,916 57.3% in more detail in the following 48% 52% age 65+ 186,901 22.3% chapters. Total 836,256 100% Male Female Source: Office for National Statistics, Mid-year Population Estimate, 2015 [email protected] West Sussex County Council West Sussex Life 2017-19 9 Projected Population Figure 1.3: West Sussex projected population to 2039 The Office for National Statistics borough populations are projected to produces population projections grow by between 12,971 people (Adur) 1,000,000 for local authorities every 2 years, and 36,569 people (Arun). projecting forward for a 25 year period. 900,000 Projections are trend-based, indicating By age, the majority of the increase 800,000 the likely size and age structure of the is predicted in the 65+ age group, 700000 future population based on levels of projected to rise by 121,224 people 600000 births, deaths and migration observed between 2014 and 2039. Smaller 997,684 968,305 over a 5-year reference period leading increases are predicted in the 0-17 500000 936,315 901,576 up to the base year, in this case, 2014. and 18-64 year age groups also – more 864,653 400000 828,398 detailed population projections for 300000 The population of West Sussex is each age group are included in the projected to grow from 828,398 in Start of Life (0-17), Economy (18-64) 200000 2014 to 997,684 in 2039, an increase of and Later Life (65+) sections. 100000 169,286 people or 20.4%. District and 0 2014 2019 2024 2029 2034 2039 Source: ONS Sub-National Population Projections, Tables Z3-Z7 Figure 1.4: Population growth by district in West Sussex, 2014 to 2039 Figure 1.5: Projected population by age group, 2014 to 2039 Percentage Growth Number of additional people 65 and over 18 to 64 0 to 17 1,000,000 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 20.5% Adur +12,971 282,832 305,193 800,000 223,489 252,584 201,547 183,969 23.7% Arun +36,569 600,000 17.0% Chichester +19,680 About West Sussex West About 23.1% Crawley +25,379 494,192 498,842 499,806 505,374 400,000 475,595 487,084 16.5% Horsham +22,126 200,000 20.2% Mid Sussex +29,194 168,834 176,022 183,894 184,888 185,667 187,117 21.9% Worthing +23,368 2014 2019 2024 2029 2034 2039 Source: ONS Sub-National Population Projections, Tables Z3-Z7 Source: ONS Sub-National Population Projections, Tables Z3-Z7 10 West Sussex Life 2017-19 West Sussex County Council [email protected] minimal effect on the population of West Sussex. of minimal effect onthepopulation has a migration start deaths births births 2039. Cross-border outweigh more to thenext to 2016 and2024,before between predicted 15 years thandeaths over with slightly smallcurrently, relatively changeis Natural year. 1,300peopleper to around years thenext five lessenover to in2015, withthispredicted countries other from Sussex West into of2,500peoplemigrating alsohasanimpact, nettotal with an estimated Internationalmigration intheearly 2020s. 6,000 peryear beover to projected each year, Sussex West into 5,000peoplemoving ofover migration) minusoutward migration (inward withanettotal growth, population of component isthelargest Internal migration andothercountries.