SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA EARTHQUAKE CENTER__ UNIVER3IT’ Of SOt nt 0CAtIt A ct., 2001 SCEC Annual Meeting IN’1TU1F OF TECHNGt oc,Y iL September 23-26, 2001 UM’LRSITY Of ( kN LOS ANGEL F UCSANDtLGO Proceedings and Abstracts SCRIPPS IN:; hUt ION Of 061 AN(ni C) UNGI-fE.1Y OF GAUl UHNIA SANTA BARBARA AM6Nt -DOHERTY EARTH OBSERVATURY (If COUJMI5IA ORAl USGY Embassy Suites NIandaiay Bay N Oxnard, California tJNIVEP.slrv of Nt-kVAL)A SAN DIEGO STATE UNIVNS1IY / UNITED STATES I GEOLOGICA S:tU y I USC. 3651 IROUSt)ALE PARKWAY. SUITE it LOS AGEI [.5. CA 9O89-Oi4_ Pt tUNE (213) 74O4: - FAX: (213) 74QOO11 E MAIL: SCECILZ’USC EDO W B HTTP. .*.IWW SCEC ORG 2001 SCEC Annual Meeting September 23-26, 2001 Proceedings and Abstracts Embassy Suites Mandalay Bay Oxnard, California 1 Table of Contents SCEC Annual Meeting Agenda 3 2001 Annual Meeting Participants 6 SCEC Organization 10 2001 SCEC Advisory Council 12 SCEC Senior Research Investigators 13 Message from the Directors 17 NSF/USGS Memorandum on SCEC2 19 SCEC2 Site Visit Report 21 USGS Science Activities in Support of SCEC2 42 SCEC Communication, Education, and Outreach Program 50 2001 SCEC Abstracts 60 2 Southern California Earthquake Center 2001 Annual Meeting “The Transition from SCEC1 to SCEC2” September 23-26, 2001 Embassy Suites Hotel Oxnard, California Sunday, September 23 1:00 ITR Working Group Meeting Tom Jordan 3:30 Break 4:00 3-D Code Validation Group Meeting Steve Day 5:00-9:00 Poster Session Set-Up 6:30 Icebreaker 8:00 SCEC1 Advisory Council Meeting Bob Smith Monday, September 24 8:30 Welcome and Introduction Tom Henyey 8:45 Agency Perspectives NSF Jim Whitcomb USGS John Unger CDMG Jim Davis 9:30 Advisory Council Perspectives Bob Smith 10:00 Perspectives on PEER/SCEC Collaborations Jack Moehle 10:15 Break 10:30 The Highlights Volume Tom Henyey 11:00 Reports from SCEC1 Group Leaders Dave Jackson Ralph Archuleta Tom Rockwell Rob Clayton Duncan Agnew Steve Day 3 12:00 Lunch 13:00 Reports from SCEC1 Group Leaders Continued 14:15 Discussion 14:45 SCEC1 CEO Summary Mark Benthien Intern Introductions 15:15 Break 15:15 Special Invited Talk David Bowman “The Evolution of Regional Seismicity Between Large Earthquakes” Co-authors: Geoffrey C. P. King and Charles Sammis 16:00 SCIGN Report Ken Hudnut 16:15 LARSE Report Gary Fuis 16:30 SCEC Models Shootout Steve Day 16:45 SCEC1 Budget Status John McRaney 17:00 Discussion and Questions 18:00 Dinner Evening Poster Session 20:00 SCIGN Advisory Council Meeting Jeff Freymueller Tuesday, September 25 8:00 From SCEC1 to SCEC2 Bernard Minster 8:15 Overview of SCEC2 Tom Jordan 8:45 SCEC2 Partnerships IRIS David Simpson CUREE/NEES Bob Nigbor ACES/GEM Andrea Donnellan 9:45 Break 10:00 SCEC2 Draft Science Plan Tom Jordan 10:30 Disciplinary Group Breakouts Geology Rockwell/Seeber Geodesy Agnew/Hudnut Seismology Vidale/Beroza Rock Mechanics Tullis/Dieterich 4 12:00 Lunch 13:00 Focus Group Meetings 13:00 Structural Representation I. Shaw/Clayton Fault Systems Hager/Sammis 15:00 Break 15:15 Earthquake Physics Harris/Archuleta 16:15 Seismic Hazard Analysis FieldlAnderson 17:15 Implementation Interface Somervil le/Wesson 16:30 Dinner Awards and posters 20:00 SCEC Advisory Council Meeting Bob Smith Focus groups get act together for Wednesday morning presentations Wednesday, September 26 8:30 Summary of Priorities from Focus Groups 10:00 Break 10:15 Contents of RFP and How It Will Work 10:30 Time Table and SCEC2 Schedules 11:00 Discussion and wrap up Lunch Meeting of Interim SCEC-2 Representatives 5 2001 SCEC ANNUAL MEETING PARTICIPANTS Participant Affiliation Email Aagaard, Brad Caltech baagaard @caltech.edu Adler. Camille UCI [email protected] Agnew, Duncan UCSD [email protected] Anderson. Greg USGS/SCEC [email protected] Anderson. John UNR [email protected] Archuleta, Ralph UCSB ralph @crustal.ucsb.edu Aspiotes, Aris USGS aaspiotes @earthlinknet Austin, Kenneth USC [email protected] Baher, Shirley UCLA [email protected] Benthien, Mark SCEC [email protected] Ben-Zion, Yehuda USC benzion @usc.edu Beroza, Greg Stanford [email protected] Bielak, Jacobo Carnegie [email protected] Bock, Yehuda UCSD [email protected] Boettcher. Margaret WHOI [email protected] Bowman, David Fullerton [email protected] Brune, James Nevada [email protected] Bryant, Bill CDMG [email protected] Burbank. Doug UCSB [email protected] Cao, Tianqing CDMG [email protected] Chen, ii Caltech [email protected] Chen, Liangjun USC [email protected] Chen. Po USC [email protected] Chen, Youlin USC [email protected] Christoffersen, Shari USC sharic @usc.edu Clayton, Robert Caltech [email protected] Cooke, Michele Massachusetts [email protected] Cooper, Ilene USC [email protected] Davis, Jim CDMG [email protected] Day, Steve SDSU [email protected] de Groot, Robert SCEC [email protected] Dietench, Jim USGS [email protected] Dolan, James USC [email protected] Dong, Danan JPL [email protected] Donnellan, Andrea JPL donnellan @jpl.nasa.gov Dragert. Herb PSC [email protected] Field, Edward USGS-Pasadena [email protected] Foxall, Bill LLNL [email protected] Freed, Andrew UC-Berkeley [email protected] Freymueller, Jeff Alaska [email protected] Fuis, Gary USGS [email protected] Furnal, Thomas USGS [email protected] Glavich. Carrie UCSB [email protected] Gould. Miryha UCI [email protected] Grant, Lisa UCI [email protected] Graves, Rob URS Corp. [email protected] 6 Gurrola. Larry UCSB [email protected] Guzofski. Chris Harvard [email protected] Hager, Brad MIT [email protected] Hanks. Tom USGS [email protected] Hanson, Katherine Geomatrix Consultants [email protected] 1-lardebeck. Jeanne UCSD [email protected] Harris, Ruth USGS-Menlo Park [email protected] Hartleb. Ross USC [email protected] Hauksson, Egill Caltech hauksson @ gps.caltech.edu Heaton, Thomas Caltech [email protected] Henyey, Sally SCEC [email protected] Henyey, Tom USC [email protected] Hough, Susan USGS-Pasadena [email protected] Houston, Heidi UCLA [email protected] Hudnut, Ken USGS [email protected] Hull, Alan Golder ahull@goldercom Hurst, Ken JPL [email protected] Husker, Allen UCLA [email protected] Ide, Satoshi Stanford [email protected] Jackson, David UCLA [email protected] Jones, Lucy USGS-Pasadena [email protected] Jordan, Tom USC [email protected] Kagan, Yan UCLA [email protected] Kahier, Karen SCEDC [email protected] Kame, Nobuki Harvard [email protected] Kamerling. Marc UCSB [email protected] Keller, Ed UCSB [email protected] Kendrick, Katherine USGS-Pasadena [email protected] King, Nancy USGS-Pasadena [email protected] King, Robert MIT [email protected] Kohler, Monica UCLA [email protected] Lavallee, Daniel UCSB [email protected] Legg, Mark Legg Geophysical [email protected] Levin, Shoshana USC [email protected] Li, Yong-Gang USC [email protected] Lindvall, Scott William Lettis [email protected] Liu, Pengcheng UCSB [email protected] Liu, Yunfeng USC [email protected] Louie, John UNR [email protected] Madden, Chris CWU [email protected] Magistrale. Harold SDSU [email protected] Marcinkovich, Carey UCSB [email protected] Marquis, John SCEC [email protected] Marsic, Scott USC [email protected] Martin, Aaron UCSB [email protected] McGill, Sally CSUSB [email protected] McGuire, Jeff Stanford [email protected] McRaney, John SCEC [email protected] Mellors, Robert SDSU rmellors @geology.sdsu.edu 7 Mileti, Dennis Colorado [email protected] Minster, Bernard USCD [email protected] Moehie, Jack UCB/PEER [email protected] Moore. Reagan SDSC [email protected] Morgan, Julia Rice Univ morganj @ geophysics.rice.edu Mueller, Karl Colorado [email protected] Murphy. Janice USGS-Menlo Park [email protected] Nicholson. Craig UCSB [email protected] Nigbor, Roben USC [email protected] Oglesby. David UCR [email protected] Okaya, David USC [email protected] Olsen, Kim UCSB [email protected] Oskin, Mike Caltech [email protected] Owen, Susan USC [email protected] Pancha, Aasha UNR [email protected] Peng, Zhigang USC [email protected] Perry, Sue SCEC [email protected] Petersen, Mark USGS-Denver mpetersen @usgs.gov Pitarka, Arben URS Corp. [email protected] Plesch. Andreas Harvard [email protected] Prescott, William USGS-Menlo Park [email protected] Purvance, Matthew UNR [email protected] Reichlin. Robin NSF [email protected] Rice, James Harvard [email protected] Richard. Dominique USC [email protected] Rivero, Carlos Harvard [email protected] Rockwell, Tom UCSD [email protected] Romanowicz, Barbara UC Berkeley [email protected] Rong, Yufang UCLA [email protected] Rowshandel, Badie CDMG [email protected] Rundle, John CIRES [email protected] Runnerstrom, Eric UCI [email protected] Sammis, Charles USC [email protected] Savage, Jim USGS-Menlo Park [email protected] Schwartz, David USGS [email protected] Seeber, Leonardo LDEO [email protected] Seitz, Gordon LLNL seitz @llnl.gov Shaw, Bruce LDEO [email protected] Shaw, John Harvard [email protected] Shedlock, Kaye USGS-Denver [email protected] Sheidrake, Kenton Prindle UCSB [email protected] Shen, Zhengkang UCLA [email protected] Shi, Baoping UNR [email protected] Shindle, Wendy USGS [email protected] Silva, Matias USGS [email protected] Sirnila, Gerry CSU Northridge [email protected] Simpson, David IRIS [email protected] Slater, Cathy CDNG [email protected] Smith, Michelle SCEC [email protected] 8 Smith, Robert Utah rbsmith @mines.utah.edu Somervile, Paul URS Corp. paul-somervile @urscorp.com Sorlien, Chris UCSB [email protected] Stark, Keith SCIGN [email protected] Steidi.