Opotiki Aquaculture and Harbour Development Projects: Assessment of Social and Community Benefits By Di Buchan of Corydon Consultants Limited, with Sally Wyatt of Sapere Research Group December 2011 Table of Contents Executive Summary ............................................................................................................ i Basis for assessment ............................................................................................. i Reflections from case studies ............................................................................... ii Quantifiable benefits from harbour development and aquaculture projects ........... ii Increased employment and income ......................................................... iii Reduction in benefit payments ................................................................ iii Non-Quantifiable benefits ..................................................................................... iv Reduction in Criminal Offending .............................................................. iv Increased population (or halted population decline) and subsequent benefits .................................................................... iv Revitalisation of Iwi ................................................................................... v Benefits from improvements to harbour entrance ..................................... v 1.0 Introduction ........................................................................................................... 1 Description of the projects .................................................................................... 1 Project year 12 ..................................................................................................... 2 2.0 Methodology ......................................................................................................... 3 2.1 Information sources ................................................................................ 3 2.2 An evidence-based approach ................................................................ 3 2.3 Assessment of benefits only .................................................................... 4 2.4 Comparison against status quo ............................................................... 5 2.5 Area of Interest ........................................................................................ 5 3.0 Historical background .......................................................................................... 6 4.0 Opotiki population characteristics ....................................................................... 7 4.1 Population Trends ................................................................................... 7 4.2 Age Distribution: Characteristics and Trends ........................................... 7 4.3 Ethnicity ................................................................................................... 8 4.4 Household incomes ................................................................................. 9 Income from Welfare Payments .............................................................10 4.5 Employment Status ................................................................................10 Occupations ........................................................................................... 11 Opotiki Harbour Transformation Project – Assessment of Social and Community Benefits i 4.6 Education and Training ...........................................................................12 4.7 Household tenure ...................................................................................13 4.8 Household size .......................................................................................14 4.9 Ranking on Deprivation Index .................................................................15 4.10 Conclusion ..............................................................................................15 5.0 Community facilities and services ...................................................................... 17 5.1 commercial services ..............................................................................17 5.2 Community social and services and facilities .......................................... 18 5.3 Recreation facilities ................................................................................19 6.0 Potential social and community benefits .......................................................... 21 6.1 Basis for assessment of benefits ............................................................ 21 6.2 Increased local employment .......................................................................... 22 Issue ...................................................................................................22 Scope of analysis ................................................................................... 23 Summary of findings ...............................................................................23 Regional expenditure assumptions .........................................................25 Employment type .................................................................................... 26 Skill levels for direct employees ..............................................................27 Source of labour ..................................................................................... 27 Caution ...................................................................................................28 6.3 Improved household incomes and reduced welfare dependency .................. 28 Issue ...................................................................................................28 Opportunity .............................................................................................29 6.4 Increased home ownership and reduced over-crowding ......................... 29 Caution ...................................................................................................30 6.5 Possible reduction in crime ..................................................................... 30 Issue ...................................................................................................30 Opportunity .............................................................................................32 Caution ...................................................................................................32 6.6 Strengthening of Iwi culture and wellbeing ....................................................33 Issue ...................................................................................................33 Opportunity .............................................................................................33 6.7 Population Growth (or halted population decline) ................................... 34 Issue ...................................................................................................34 Opportunity .............................................................................................35 Opotiki Harbour Transformation Project – Assessment of Social and Community Benefits ii Caution ...................................................................................................36 6.8 Retention of young people – reduction in population distortion ............... 36 Issue ...................................................................................................36 Opportunity .............................................................................................37 6.9 Potential reduction in heavy traffic ..........................................................37 Issue ...................................................................................................37 Opportunity .............................................................................................38 6.10 Expansion of recreational opportunities ..................................................38 Issue ...................................................................................................38 Opportunity .............................................................................................38 Caution ...................................................................................................39 6.11 Increased tourism ...................................................................................39 Issue ...................................................................................................39 Opportunity .............................................................................................39 7. Conclusion ............................................................................................................ 41 Diagram of inter-relationships between projects and their potential benefits ...................................................................................... 42 Ranking of unquantifiable benefits ..........................................................43 Appendices ....................................................................................................................... 44 Appendix 1 – Aquaculture Industry Overview ............................................................... 44 New Zealand Aquaculture ...................................................................................46 Appendix 2 ‐ Case Study: The Benefits of the Aquaculture Industry to Havelock ...... 47 Aquaculture in Marlborough ................................................................................47