This page was intentionally left blank Cities of Gilroy and Morgan Hill and the South Santa Clara County Fire District Standards of Coverage Assessment—Volume 1 TABLE OF CONTENTS VOLUME 1 of 2 – Technical Report (this volume) Section Page Executive Summary ..................................................................................................................................................... 1 Policy Choices Framework ........................................................................................................................ 1 Overall Deployment Summary ................................................................................................................... 1 Challenge #1—Daily Staffing Capacity ..................................................................................................... 3 Challenge #2—Fire Station Locations ....................................................................................................... 4 Challenge #3—Mutual Aid Isolation ......................................................................................................... 5 Key Findings and Recommendations ......................................................................................................... 5 Next Steps ................................................................................................................................................ 10 Section 1—Introduction and Background ............................................................................................................... 13 1.1 Report Organization .................................................................................................................... 13 1.1.1 Goals of the Report ......................................................................................................... 14 1.1.2 Limitations of Report ...................................................................................................... 14 1.2 Project Approach and Scope of Work ......................................................................................... 14 1.2.1 Project Approach and Research Methods ....................................................................... 14 1.2.2 Project Scope of Work .................................................................................................... 15 1.3 Study Area Overview .................................................................................................................. 15 1.4 Fire Agencies Overview .............................................................................................................. 16 Section 2—Standards of Coverage Assessment ...................................................................................................... 21 2.1 Standards of Coverage Process Overview ................................................................................... 21 2.2 Current Deployment .................................................................................................................... 23 2.2.1 City of Gilroy .................................................................................................................. 23 2.2.2 City of Morgan Hill......................................................................................................... 24 2.2.3 South Santa Clara County Fire District ........................................................................... 24 2.2.4 Current Deployment Model ............................................................................................ 26 2.3 Outcome Expectations ................................................................................................................. 27 2.4 Community Risk Assessment ...................................................................................................... 30 2.4.1 Risk Assessment Methodology ....................................................................................... 30 2.4.2 Values at Risk to Be Protected ........................................................................................ 31 2.4.3 Hazard Identification ....................................................................................................... 32 2.4.4 Risk Assessment Summary ............................................................................................. 34 2.5 Critical Task Time Measures—What Must Be Done over What Time Frame to Achieve the Stated Outcome Expectation? ...................................................................................................... 35 2.5.1 Critical Firefighting Tasks .............................................................................................. 36 2.5.2 Critical Medical Emergency Tasks ................................................................................. 38 2.5.3 Critical Task Analysis and Effective Response Force Size ............................................. 38 2.6 Distribution and Concentration Studies—How the Location of First-Due and First Alarm Resources Affects Emergency Incident Outcomes ...................................................................... 40 2.6.1 Deployment Coverage Baselines .................................................................................... 41 2.6.2 Road Mile Coverage Measures ....................................................................................... 44 Table of Contents page i Cities of Gilroy and Morgan Hill and the South Santa Clara County Fire District Standards of Coverage Assessment—Volume 1 2.7 Statistical Analysis ...................................................................................................................... 45 2.7.1 Service Demand .............................................................................................................. 46 2.7.2 Simultaneous Incident Activity ....................................................................................... 51 2.7.3 Unit Hour Utilization ...................................................................................................... 53 2.7.4 Operational Performance ................................................................................................ 56 2.8 Overall Evaluation ....................................................................................................................... 61 2.8.1 Deployment Recommendations ...................................................................................... 62 Section 3—Future Service Needs and Alternative Service Models ....................................................................... 65 3.1 Future Growth ............................................................................................................................. 65 3.1.1 City of Gilroy .................................................................................................................. 65 3.1.2 City of Morgan Hill......................................................................................................... 65 3.1.3 South Santa Clara County Fire District ........................................................................... 66 3.2 Future Service Demand ............................................................................................................... 66 3.3 Future Facility, Resource, and Staffing Needs ............................................................................ 67 3.3.1 Fire Station Siting Guidelines ......................................................................................... 68 3.3.2 City of Gilroy .................................................................................................................. 68 3.3.3 City of Morgan Hill......................................................................................................... 70 3.3.4 South Santa Clara County Fire District ........................................................................... 72 3.4 Alternative Service Models ......................................................................................................... 74 3.5 Future Needs Summary ............................................................................................................... 75 Section 4—Findings and Recommendations ........................................................................................................... 77 4.1 Findings ....................................................................................................................................... 77 4.2 Recommendations ....................................................................................................................... 81 Section 5—Next Steps ................................................................................................................................................ 85 Appendix A—Community Risk Assessment ........................................................................................................... 87 A.1 Community Risk Assessment ...................................................................................................... 87 A.1.1 Risk Assessment Methodology ....................................................................................... 87 A.1.2 Risk Assessment Summary ............................................................................................. 89 A.1.3 Risk Planning Zones ....................................................................................................... 90 A.1.4 Values at Risk to