Metro Poll on Caretaker PM Fieldwork: 30th September – 3rd October 2019 Interview method: Online survey Population represented: UK adults Sample size: 1006 Methodology: All results are weighted using Iterative Proportional Fitting, or ‘Raking’. The results are weighted by age, gender, region, Social Grade, 2017 General Election vote and 2016 EU Referendum vote. Target proportions are derived from census data and election results. Public First is a member of the BPC and abides by its rules. For more information please contact Public First ([email protected]) It has been suggested that Opposition parties might pass a Vote of No Confidence in the Prime Minister Boris Johnson and that he might be replaced by a temporary Prime Minister before an election. Which of the following politicians should NOT be considered as a temporary Prime Minister? Gender Age Region Yorkshire South South East of East West and the North North Northern Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ London East West England Midlands Midlands Humber East West Scotland Wales Ireland Unweighted 1006 463 541 136 171 171 177 137 214 148 141 85 87 72 95 82 44 114 76 37 25 Weighted 1006 492 512 142 170 171 171 141 211 140 135 80 91 70 90 83 41 111 85 50 30 Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn 45% 51% 39% 26% 27% 34% 56% 51% 68% 31% 50% 54% 53% 39% 41% 42% 47% 51% 50% 39% 39% House of Commons Speaker 33% 41% 25% 19% 16% 18% 39% 44% 55% 19% 35% 48% 40% 30% 37% 33% 36% 34% 26% 33% 24% John Bercow Former Home Secretary 26% 33% 20% 17% 17% 17% 29% 37% 36% 22% 19% 36% 29% 17% 26% 32% 33% 30% 28% 23% 23% Amber Rudd Seniour Labour backbencher 25% 32% 18% 16% 13% 17% 31% 31% 36% 16% 26% 31% 32% 16% 30% 20% 21% 29% 25% 31% 19% Margaret Beckett Shadow Brexit Secretary Sir 24% 31% 18% 13% 16% 15% 26% 32% 40% 18% 25% 37% 29% 15% 26% 22% 20% 29% 24% 23% 23% Keir Starmer Senior Conservative 23% 31% 16% 18% 15% 15% 22% 31% 36% 21% 24% 24% 31% 16% 27% 22% 24% 21% 27% 23% 6% backbencher Greg Clark Seniour Conservative 21% 27% 15% 16% 15% 13% 27% 30% 26% 16% 24% 32% 22% 14% 28% 22% 23% 22% 15% 28% 6% backbencher Ken Clarke All of the above should be 12% 12% 12% 4% 13% 18% 12% 16% 10% 22% 14% 9% 7% 11% 7% 15% 10% 8% 7% 20% 14% considered Don't Know 21% 14% 28% 32% 32% 30% 11% 10% 12% 22% 22% 18% 18% 29% 17% 18% 17% 23% 24% 18% 26% Fieldwork: 30/09/2019 - 03/10/2019 Data weighted to UK population by gender, age, region, social grade, 2017 vote, 2016 referendum vote It has been suggested that Opposition parties might pass a Vote of No Confidence in the Prime Minister Boris Johnson and that he might be replaced by a temporary Prime Minister before an election. Which of the following politicians should NOT be considered as a temporary Prime Minister? Social Grade EU 2016 Vote 2017 VI I did not Liberal I did not Liberal The Brexit Total ABC1 C2DE Leave Remain vote Conservative Labour Democrat vote Conservative Labour Democrats Party Unweighted 1006 548 452 418 439 149 339 298 70 170 247 234 140 98 Weighted 1006 530 470 415 384 207 324 306 57 241 240 242 128 93 Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn 45% 52% 37% 63% 37% 24% 75% 25% 48% 26% 76% 19% 53% 69% House of Commons Speaker 33% 38% 26% 48% 26% 14% 55% 21% 32% 16% 57% 18% 30% 57% John Bercow Former Home Secretary 26% 31% 20% 35% 25% 10% 32% 30% 15% 12% 34% 26% 23% 42% Amber Rudd Seniour Labour backbencher 25% 27% 22% 38% 17% 11% 39% 18% 23% 13% 42% 16% 20% 45% Margaret Beckett Shadow Brexit Secretary Sir 24% 28% 20% 36% 21% 8% 40% 20% 20% 9% 41% 16% 25% 47% Keir Starmer Senior Conservative 23% 28% 18% 26% 27% 11% 25% 28% 27% 13% 26% 27% 28% 35% backbencher Greg Clark Seniour Conservative 21% 24% 19% 30% 18% 10% 26% 23% 17% 11% 31% 21% 12% 41% backbencher Ken Clarke All of the above should be 12% 12% 12% 8% 16% 13% 9% 15% 10% 14% 8% 17% 12% 5% considered Don't Know 21% 16% 27% 13% 16% 46% 8% 16% 17% 48% 6% 18% 13% 14% Fieldwork: 30/09/2019 - 03/10/2019 Data weighted to UK population by gender, age, region, social grade, 2017 vote, 2016 referendum vote Do you think we will leave the EU at the end of October, as the Prime Minister has pledged? Gender Age Region Yorkshire South South East of East West and the North North Northern Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ London East West England Midlands Midlands Humber East West Scotland Wales Ireland Unweighted 1006 463 541 136 171 171 177 137 214 148 141 85 87 72 95 82 44 114 76 37 25 Weighted 1006 492 512 142 170 171 171 141 211 140 135 80 91 70 90 83 41 111 85 50 30 Yes 36% 38% 34% 33% 30% 36% 31% 38% 45% 40% 34% 30% 37% 36% 37% 34% 47% 37% 28% 44% 30% No 39% 39% 39% 46% 48% 40% 48% 28% 25% 40% 40% 33% 33% 37% 45% 42% 34% 38% 46% 31% 45% Don't Know 25% 24% 27% 20% 22% 24% 21% 34% 30% 20% 27% 37% 31% 28% 18% 23% 19% 25% 27% 25% 24% Fieldwork: 30/09/2019 - 03/10/2019 Data weighted to UK population by gender, age, region, social grade, 2017 vote, 2016 referendum vote Do you think we will leave the EU at the end of October, as the Prime Minister has pledged? Social Grade EU 2016 Vote 2017 VI I did not Liberal I did not Liberal The Brexit Total ABC1 C2DE Leave Remain vote Conservative Labour Democrat vote Conservative Labour Democrats Party Unweighted 1006 548 452 418 439 149 339 298 70 170 247 234 140 98 Weighted 1006 530 470 415 384 207 324 306 57 241 240 242 128 93 Yes 36% 34% 38% 49% 26% 27% 47% 27% 27% 31% 53% 30% 18% 55% No 39% 41% 37% 29% 49% 40% 28% 51% 49% 38% 22% 48% 58% 24% Don't Know 25% 25% 25% 22% 25% 33% 26% 22% 24% 31% 24% 22% 24% 20% Fieldwork: 30/09/2019 - 03/10/2019 Data weighted to UK population by gender, age, region, social grade, 2017 vote, 2016 referendum vote Do you think we should leave the EU at the end of October, as the Prime Minister has pledged? Gender Age Region Yorkshire South South East of East West and the North North Northern Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ London East West England Midlands Midlands Humber East West Scotland Wales Ireland Unweighted 1006 463 541 136 171 171 177 137 214 148 141 85 87 72 95 82 44 114 76 37 25 Weighted 1006 492 512 142 170 171 171 141 211 140 135 80 91 70 90 83 41 111 85 50 30 Yes 49% 51% 46% 40% 33% 48% 50% 58% 61% 46% 54% 57% 54% 39% 48% 49% 59% 51% 34% 54% 34% No 39% 40% 37% 45% 46% 38% 39% 34% 32% 43% 34% 31% 35% 40% 39% 39% 28% 39% 57% 25% 49% Don't Know 13% 9% 17% 15% 21% 15% 12% 8% 7% 12% 13% 12% 11% 22% 13% 11% 13% 10% 9% 21% 17% Fieldwork: 30/09/2019 - 03/10/2019 Data weighted to UK population by gender, age, region, social grade, 2017 vote, 2016 referendum vote Do you think we should leave the EU at the end of October, as the Prime Minister has pledged? Social Grade EU 2016 Vote 2017 VI I did not Liberal I did not Liberal The Brexit Total ABC1 C2DE Leave Remain vote Conservative Labour Democrat vote Conservative Labour Democrats Party Unweighted 1006 548 452 418 439 149 339 298 70 170 247 234 140 98 Weighted 1006 530 470 415 384 207 324 306 57 241 240 242 128 93 Yes 49% 47% 52% 79% 25% 32% 71% 33% 29% 39% 81% 31% 12% 89% No 39% 43% 34% 15% 65% 37% 21% 57% 64% 35% 11% 60% 83% 7% Don't Know 13% 11% 15% 6% 10% 31% 8% 10% 8% 26% 8% 9% 4% 3% Fieldwork: 30/09/2019 - 03/10/2019 Data weighted to UK population by gender, age, region, social grade, 2017 vote, 2016 referendum vote If Jeremy Corbyn became the temporary Prime Minister after a Vote of No Confidence in Prime Minister Boris Johnson, how would this make you feel? Select as many as apply Gender Age Region Yorkshire South South East of East West and the North North Northern Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ London East West England Midlands Midlands Humber East West Scotland Wales Ireland Unweighted 1006 463 541 136 171 171 177 137 214 148 141 85 87 72 95 82 44 114 76 37 25 Weighted 1006 492 512 142 170 171 171 141 211 140 135 80 91 70 90 83 41 111 85 50 30 Worried 41% 46% 36% 19% 22% 39% 49% 50% 60% 31% 46% 51% 44% 37% 35% 37% 42% 44% 47% 40% 45% Scared 27% 33% 22% 18% 12% 17% 30% 39% 42% 21% 37% 42% 33% 22% 18% 27% 29% 26% 24% 13% 23% Outraged 27% 34% 19% 8% 15% 19% 32% 37% 43% 18% 32% 38% 31% 29% 21% 27% 39% 28% 22% 13% 17% Angry 26% 31% 21% 13% 12% 18% 31% 37% 40% 19% 32% 35% 32% 24% 23% 26% 34% 23% 24% 13% 15% Pessimistic 24% 29% 20% 15% 12% 16% 25% 29% 44% 17% 31% 35% 29% 18% 13% 23% 31% 21% 33% 22% 21% Betrayed 24% 32% 17% 8% 13% 15% 29% 35% 40% 17% 29% 35% 33% 21% 24% 26% 23% 25% 17% 13% 20% Sad 17% 21% 14% 10% 6% 10% 23% 27% 26% 15% 17% 23% 18% 22% 14% 24% 19% 19% 14% 5% 14% Hopeful 15% 15% 15% 19% 23% 16% 13% 10% 10% 28% 12% 13% 14% 20% 12% 12% 17% 13% 9% 16% 11% Optimistic 12% 13% 12% 18% 14% 13% 11% 11% 8% 14% 16% 5% 9% 5% 13% 17% 15% 12% 17% 8% 16% Relieved 11% 11% 11% 15% 13% 11% 10% 10% 8% 18% 11% 5% 9% 9% 12% 11% 7% 12% 10% 6% 15% Happy 9% 11% 8% 16% 10% 10% 8% 8% 7% 15% 8% 7% 5% 8% 11% 8% 8% 11% 8% 13% 12% None of the above 4% 2% 5% 6% 5% 5% 3% 1% 2% 5% 1% 6% 2% 5% 6% 7% 0% 4% 2% 0% 0% Don't Know 11% 4% 17% 16% 20% 15% 5% 9% 2% 12% 7% 8% 9% 13% 9% 14% 8% 11% 8% 17% 20% Fieldwork: 30/09/2019 - 03/10/2019 Data weighted to UK population by gender, age, region, social grade, 2017 vote, 2016 referendum vote If Jeremy Corbyn became the temporary Prime Minister after a Vote of No Confidence in Prime Minister Boris Johnson, how would this make you feel? Select as many as apply Social Grade EU 2016 Vote 2017 VI I did not Liberal I did not Liberal The Brexit Total ABC1 C2DE Leave Remain vote Conservative Labour Democrat vote Conservative Labour Democrats Party Unweighted 1006 548 452 418 439 149 339 298 70 170 247 234 140 98 Weighted 1006 530 470 415 384 207 324 306 57 241 240 242 128 93 Worried 41% 46% 36%