5/2015(3.7)/2021/09/29/02 Time of issue: 1800 Hrs. IST Date: 29.09.2021 WEATHER FORECAST BULLETIN FOR: GUJARAT STATE AND DIU, DAMAN, DADRA NAGAR HAVELI. BASED ON 1200 UTC OBSN. / CHART AND AVAILABLE NWP MODEL OUTPUTS DATED 29.09.2021 Kindly download and use -MAUSAM app for location specific forecast & warning -Meghdoot app for Agromet advisory -Damini app for Lightning alert Monsoon was vigorous over Gujarat region, Saurashtra and Kutch. Extremely heavy rainfall occurred at isolated places in the district of South Gujarat region namely Surat and in Dadra Nagar Haveli. Very heavy rainfall occurred at isolated places in the districts of Gujarat region namely Ahmedabad, Anand, Bharuch, Surat, Dang, Valsad, Narmada, Tapi and in Dadara Nagar Haveli; in the district of Saurashtra namely Jamnagar. Heavy rainfall occur at isolated places in the districts of Gujarat region namely Ahmedabad, Anand, Kheda, Narmada, Dang, Tapi, Surat, Valsad, Chhota Udepur, Vadodara, Bharuch, Navsari and in Daman; in the districts of Saurashtra namely Rajkot, Botad, Surendranagar, Junagadh and Amreli. Rainfall occurred at most places over South Gujarat region and Saurashtra; at many places over North Gujarat region; at a few places over Kutch during 24 hours ending 0830 hours IST of 29-09-2021. Synoptic situation:- * Morning’s Well Marked Low Pressure Area over south Gujarat region and adjoining Gulf of Khambhat now lies over Saurashtra & adjoining south Gujarat region with the associated cyclonic circulation extending upto midtropospheric levels. It is likely to move westnorthwestwards, emerge into Northeast Arabian Sea & intensify into a Depression by tomorrow, the 30th September 2021, morning. Then it is very likely to move further westnorthwestwards and intensify into cyclonic storm during the subsequent 24 hours. Thereafter, it is likely to continue to move westnorthwestwards close to Pakistan Mekran coasts, moving away from the the Indian coast. * The eastwest now runs trough from cyclonic circulation associated with the Well-Marked Low Pressure Area over Saurashtra & adjoining south Gujarat region to the cyclonic circulation associated with the other Well Marked Low Pressure Area over western parts of Gangetic West Bengal & adjoining Jharkhand across Madhya Pradesh, Chattisgarh and Jharkhand extending up to 5.8 km above mean sea level. Met Sub-division/Parts Weather Forecast for next 5 days: Valid up to 0830 hours IST of 04/10/2021:- thereof DETAILED 5 DAYS WEATHER FORECAST IS GIVEN BELOW: Gujarat State Diu, Daman, DAY-1 (Valid from time of origin to 0830 Hrs. IST of 30/09/2021):- Light to Moderate rain/thundershowers very likely at most Dadra Nagar Haveli places in all the districts of Gujarat region, Saurashtra-Kutch and in Diu, Daman & Dadra Nagar Haveli. DAY-2(Valid from 0830 Hrs. IST of 30/09/2021 to 0830 Hrs. IST of 01/10/2021):- Light to Moderate rain/thundershowers very likely at most places in all the districts of Saurashtra-Kutch and in Diu; at many places in all the districts of Gujarat region and in Daman & Dadra Nagar Haveli. Gujarat State Diu, Daman, DAY-3(Valid from 0830 Hrs. IST of 01/10/2021 to 0830 Hrs. IST of 02/10/2021):- Light to Moderate rain/thundershowers very Dadra Nagar Haveli likely at many places in all the districts of Saurashtra-Kutch and in Diu; at a few places in all the districts of Gujarat region and in Daman & Dadra Nagar Haveli. Gujarat State Diu, Daman, DAY-4 (Valid from 0830 Hrs. IST of 02/10/2021 to 0830 Hrs. IST of 03/10/2021):- Light to Moderate rain/thundershowers very Dadra Nagar Haveli likely at a few places in all the districts of Saurashtra-Kutch and in Diu; at isolated places in all the districts of South Gujarat region and in Daman & Dadra Nagar Haveli; in the districts of North Gujarat region namely Panchmahal, Dahod and Mahisagar. Dry weather very likely in the remaining districts of North Gujarat region. Gujarat State Diu, Daman, DAY-5(Valid from 0830 Hrs. IST of 03/10/2021 to 0830 Hrs. IST of 04/10/2021):- Light to Moderate rain/thundershowers very Dadra Nagar Haveli likely at isolated places in all the districts of South Gujarat region and in Daman & Dadra Nagar Haveli; in the districts of North Gujarat region namely Panchmahal, Dahod and Mahisagar; in the districts of Saurashtra-Kutch namely Dwarka, Porbandar, Jamnagar, Junagadh and Kutch. Dry weather very likely in the remaining districts of North Gujarat region, Saurashtra and in Diu. Weather Warning for next 5 days Gujarat State Diu, Daman, DAY 1: Heavy to very heavy rains at a few places with isolated extremely heavy falls very likely in the districts of Gujarat region Dadra Nagar Haveli namely Anand and Bharuch; in the districts of Saurashtra namely Amreli and Bhavnagar. Heavy to very heavy rains very likely at a few places in the districts of Saurashtra namely Botad, Rajkot, Junagadh, Gir Somnath and in Diu. Heavy to very heavy rains very likely at isolated places in the districts of Gujarat region namely Ahmedabad, Vadodara, Surat, Navsari, Valsad and in Daman, Dadara Nagar Haveli; in the district of Saurashtra namely Porbandar. Heavy rains very likely at isolated places in the districts of Gujarat region namely Gandhinagar, Aravalli, Kheda, Panchmahal, Dahod, Mahisagar, Chhota Udepur, Narmada, Dang and Tapi; in the districts of Saurashtra- Kutch namely Surendranagar, Jamnagar, Morbi, Dwarka, Botad and Kutch. Light to moderate thunderstorm with lightning and surface wind 40 to 60 kmph (in gust) accompanied with light to moderate rain very likely at isolated places in all the districts of Gujarat region, Saurashtra-Kutch and in Diu, Daman, Dadara Nagar Haveli. DAY 2: Heavy to very heavy rains very likely at isolated places in the districts of Saurashtra- Kutch namely Jamnagar, Porbandar, Dwarka and Kutch. Heavy rains very likely at isolated places in the districts of Gujarat region namely Anand, Bharuch, Surat, Navsari, Valsad and in Daman, Dadara Nagar Haveli; in the districts of Saurashtra namely Rajkot, Junagadh, Morbi, Gir Somnath and in Diu. Light to moderate thunderstorm with lightning and surface wind 40 to 60 kmph (in gust) accompanied with light to moderate rain very likely at isolated places in all the districts of Gujarat region, Saurashtra-Kutch and in Diu, Daman, Dadara Nagar Haveli. DAY 3: Heavy rains very likely at isolated places in the districts of Saurashtra- Kutch namely Rajkot, Jamnagar, Porbandar, Junagadh, Dwarka and Kutch. DAY 4: NIL. DAY 5: NIL. Gujarat State Diu, Daman, Weather Outlook for subsequent 2 days (i.e. for day 6 to 7) valid from 0830 hrs. IST of 04/10/2021 to 0830 hrs. IST of 06/10/2021: Dadra Nagar Haveli NO LARGE CHANGE. Forecast for Ahmedabad & neighborhood valid till 0830 hours IST of 30/09/2021:-A few spells of light to moderate rain/thundershowers very likely. Page 1 of 4 RAINFALL FORECAST FOR GUJARAT STATE, DIU, DAMAN AND DADRA NAGAR HAVELI FOR 5 DAYS (NORTH GUJARAT REGION, SOUTH GUJARAT REGION, SAURASHTRA, KUTCH) DATED:-29-09-2021. FORECAST DAY-1 FORECAST DAY-2 Wednesday , 29 September 2021 Thursday , 30 September 2021 active Reg South GujaratactReg active Reg South GujaratactReg Value WS actRegValue Value FWS actRegValue Code _cls1_D actRegCode Code _cls2_D actRegCode NORTH GUJARAT NORTH GUJARAT WS REGION WS REGION KUTCH KUTCH REGION WS REGION FWS WS WS SAURASHTRA SAURASHTRA REGION REGION SOUTH GUJARAT SOUTH GUJARAT REGION REGION WS . FWS . FORECAST DAY-3 FORECAST DAY-4 Friday , 01 October 2021 Saturday , 02 October 2021 active Reg South GujaratactReg active Reg South GujaratactReg Value SCT actRegValue Value ISOL actRegValue Code _cls3_D actRegCode Code _cls4_D actRegCode NORTH GUJARAT NORTH GUJARAT FWS REGION SCT REGION KUTCH KUTCH REGION SCT REGION ISOL FWS SCT SAURASHTRA SAURASHTRA REGION REGION SOUTH GUJARAT SOUTH GUJARAT REGION REGION SCT . ISOL . FORECAST DAY-5 Sunday , 03 October 2021 active Reg South GujaratactReg Value ISOL actRegValue Code _cls4_D actRegCode NORTH GUJARAT ISOL REGION KUTCH REGION ISOL ISOL SAURASHTRA REGION SOUTH GUJARAT REGION ISOL . Page 2 of 4 Page 3 of 4 Legends:- DISTRIBUTION OF RAINFALL हिꅍदी / ગુજરાતી (76 - 100)% of stations receives (WS) Widespread / Most Places हिस्तृत / अहधक 車श स्थ नो पर / બધીજ જ廍યા પર rainfall (FWS) Fairly Widespread/Many (51-75)% of stations receives rainfall क फी हिस्तृत / बत से स्थ नो पर / ઘણીબધી જ廍યા પર Places (26-50)% of stations receives rainfall (SCT) Scattered / A Few Places छीट पुट / कुछेक स्थ नो पर / છુટુ છવાયુ (1-25)% of stations receives rainfall (ISOL) Isolated places पृथक / इक्क दुक्क स्थ नो पर / એક-બે જ廍યા પર No station reporting rain (DRY) Dry शुष्क / સુ囍કુ Page 4 of 4 .