studeni 2019. PROCJENA RIZIKA OD VELIKIH NESREĆA ZA PODRUČJE ZAGREBAČKE ŽUPANIJE ZAGREBAČKA ŽUPANIJA PROCJENA RIZIKA OD VELIKIH NESREĆA ZA PODRUČJE ZAGREBAČKE ŽUPANIJE Sadržaj UVOD ............................................................................................................................................................... 6 1. OSNOVNE KARAKTERISTIKA PODRUČJA ZAGREBAČKE ŽUPANIJE .......................................................... 10 1.1. GEOGRAFSKI POKAZATELJI ................................................................................................................. 10 1.1.1. Geografski položaj ......................................................................................................................... 10 1.1.2. Broj stanovnika .............................................................................................................................. 15 1.1.3. Gustoća naseljenosti ..................................................................................................................... 16 1.1.4. Spolno-dobna raspodjela stanovništva ......................................................................................... 17 1.1.5. Broj stanovnika kojoj je potrebna neka vrsta pomoći pri obavljanju svakodnevnih zadataka ...... 17 1.1.6. Prometna povezanost.................................................................................................................... 18 1.2. DRUŠTVENO-POLITIČKI POKAZATELJI ................................................................................................. 22 1.2.1. Sjedište upravnih tijela Zagrebačke županije ................................................................................ 23 1.2.2. Zdravstvene ustanove ................................................................................................................... 23 1.2.3. Odgojno-obrazovne ustanove ....................................................................................................... 25 1.2.4. Broj domaćinstava ......................................................................................................................... 27 1.2.5. Broj članova obitelji po domaćinstvu ............................................................................................ 27 1.2.6. Broj, vrsta (namjena) i starost građevina ...................................................................................... 27 1.3. EKONOMSKO-POLITIČKI POKAZATELJI ............................................................................................... 28 1.3.1. Broj zaposlenih i mjesta zaposlenja ............................................................................................... 28 1.3.2. Broj primatelja socijalnih, mirovinskih i drugih naknada .............................................................. 28 1.3.3. Proračun Zagrebačke županije ..................................................................................................... 29 1.3.4. Gospodarske grane ....................................................................................................................... 29 1.3.5. Velike gospodarske tvrtke ............................................................................................................. 31 1.3.6. Objekti kritične infrastrukture ....................................................................................................... 32 1.4. PRIRODNO-KULTURNI POKAZATELJI .................................................................................................. 37 1.4.1. Zaštićena područja ........................................................................................................................ 37 1.4.2. Kulturno povijesna baština ............................................................................................................ 38 1.5. POVIJESNI POKAZATELJI ..................................................................................................................... 39 1.5.1. Prijašnji događaji ........................................................................................................................... 39 1.5.2. Štete uslijed prijašnjih događaja ................................................................................................... 39 1.5.3. Uvedene mjere nakon događaja koji su uzrokovali štetu .............................................................. 40 1.6. POKAZATELJI OPERATIVNE SPOSOBNOSTI ......................................................................................... 40 1.6.1. Popis operativnih snaga ................................................................................................................ 40 2. IDENTIFIKACIJA PRIJETNJI I RIZIKA......................................................................................................... 42 2.1. POPIS IDENTIFICIRANIH PRIJETNJI I RIZIKA ......................................................................................... 42 2.2. ODABRANI RIZICI I RAZLOZI ODABIRA ................................................................................................ 43 2.3. KARTE PRIJETNJI ................................................................................................................................. 45 3. KRITERIJI ZA PROCJENU UTJECAJA PRIJETNJI NA KATEGORIJE DRUŠTVENIH VRIJEDNOSTI .................... 46 3.1. ŽIVOT I ZDRAVLJE LJUDI ...................................................................................................................... 46 3.2. GOSPODARSTVO ................................................................................................................................ 46 3.3. DRUŠTVENA STABILNOST I POLITIKA .................................................................................................. 47 4. VJEROJATNOST ..................................................................................................................................... 48 5. OPIS SCENARIJA .................................................................................................................................... 49 5.1. POTRES ............................................................................................................................................... 49 5.1.1. Uvod u rizik sa nazivom scenarija .................................................................................................. 49 5.1.2. Utjecaj na kritičnu infrastrukturu .................................................................................................. 53 5.1.3. Kontekst ......................................................................................................................................... 54 5.1.4. Uzrok ............................................................................................................................................. 64 5.1.5. Opis događaja ............................................................................................................................... 64 ZAGREBAČKA ŽUPANIJA 1 PROCJENA RIZIKA OD VELIKIH NESREĆA ZA PODRUČJE ZAGREBAČKE ŽUPANIJE 5.1.6. Analiza na području reagiranja-potres .......................................................................................... 69 5.1.7. Matrice rizika u slučaju potresa .................................................................................................... 75 5.1.8. Karte rizika .................................................................................................................................... 76 5.2. POPLAVA ............................................................................................................................................ 77 5.2.1. Uvod u rizik sa nazivom scenarija .................................................................................................. 77 5.2.2. Prikaz utjecaja na kritičnu infrastrukturu ...................................................................................... 79 5.2.3. Kontekst ......................................................................................................................................... 80 5.2.4. Uzrok ............................................................................................................................................. 81 5.2.5. Opis događaja ............................................................................................................................... 82 5.2.6. Analiza na području reagiranja-poplava ....................................................................................... 90 5.2.7. Matrice rizika u slučaju poplava .................................................................................................... 95 5.2.8. Karte rizika .................................................................................................................................... 97 5.3. EKSTREMNE VREMENSKE POJAVE-EKSTREMNE TEMPERATURE ........................................................ 97 5.3.1. Uvod u rizik s nazivom scenarija .................................................................................................... 97 5.3.2. Utjecaj na kritičnu infrastrukturu .................................................................................................. 98 5.3.3. Kontekst ......................................................................................................................................... 98 5.3.4. Uzrok ..........................................................................................................................................
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