CITY OF FREDERICTON Fredericton Ball Field Study Needs Assessment and Feasibility Study March 2020 – 19-9400 Commercial Confidentiality Statement This document contains trade secrets or scientific, technical, commercial, financial and labour or employee relations information which is considered to be confidential to Dillon Consulting Limited (“Dillon”). Dillon does not consent to the disclosure of this information to any third party or person not in your employ. Additionally, you should not disclose such confidential information to anyone in your organization except on a “need-to-know” basis and after such individual has agreed to maintain the confidentiality of the information and with the understanding that you remain responsible for the maintenance of such confidentiality by people within your organization. If the head or any other party within any government institution intends to disclose this information, or any part thereof, then Dillon requires that it first be notified of that intention. Such notice should be addressed to: Dillon Consulting Limited, 235 Yorkland Boulevard, Suite 800, Toronto, Ontario M2J 4Y8, Attention: President. Table of Contents i Table of Contents Executive Summary 1.0 Introduction 1 1.1 Study Goals, Objectives, and Scope ...................................................................................... 1 1.2 Approach ............................................................................................................................... 2 2.0 Situational Analysis 3 2.1 Plans and Studies .................................................................................................................. 3 2.1.1 Recreation Master Plan......................................................................................................... 3 2.1.2 Fredericton Growth Strategy ................................................................................................ 3 2.1.3 Municipal Plan and Zoning By-Law ....................................................................................... 6 2.1.4 Parks and Recreation Assets Condition and Valuation Study ............................................... 7 2.2 Population Projections .......................................................................................................... 7 2.3 Trends & Standards ............................................................................................................... 8 2.3.1 Participation Trends .............................................................................................................. 8 2.3.2 Ball Field Services Trends ...................................................................................................... 8 2.3.3 Industry Standards .............................................................................................................. 12 2.4 Field Inventory, Condition, and Utilization Assessment ..................................................... 20 3.0 Engagement 21 3.1 Engagement Approach ........................................................................................................ 21 3.1.1 Stakeholder Engagement .................................................................................................... 21 3.1.2 Online Engagement ............................................................................................................. 21 3.2 Engagement Results ............................................................................................................ 21 3.2.1 Phone Interviews with City Staff ......................................................................................... 21 3.2.2 Online Surveys - City Staff ................................................................................................... 22 3.2.3 Stakeholder Round Table Meeting Results ......................................................................... 24 3.2.4 Ball Field User Online Survey Results .................................................................................. 25 3.2.5 Online Engagement - General Public .................................................................................. 26 CITY OF FREDERICTON Fredericton Ball Field Study - Needs Assessment and Feasibility Study March 2020 – 19-9400 Table of Contents ii 4.0 Technical Analysis 26 4.1 Field Use Analysis and Future Need Projections ................................................................ 26 4.1.1 Utilization Target................................................................................................................. 28 4.1.2 Average Cumulative Field Capacity ..................................................................................... 29 4.1.3 Average Cumulative Field Use ............................................................................................ 31 4.1.4 Population Projections ........................................................................................................ 35 4.1.5 Future Field Need Projections - Status Quo ........................................................................ 36 4.1.6 Future Need Projections – Recommended Scenario .......................................................... 39 4.2 Future Need Recommendations ......................................................................................... 41 5.0 Implementation 43 5.1 SHORT TERM ACTIONS ........................................................................................................ 43 5.2 MEDIUM TERM ACTIONS .................................................................................................... 45 5.3 LONG TERM ACTIONS ......................................................................................................... 46 Figures Figure 1: Map of City of Fredericton Targeted Growth Areas (City of Fredericton Growth Strategy) ................................................................................................................................ 5 Figure 2: Needs, Opportunities, & Challenges .................................................................................... 22 Figure 3: Improvement Need Chart ..................................................................................................... 23 Figure 4: Ball Field Demand Chart ....................................................................................................... 23 Figure 5: Opportunities, Strengths, Priorities - Current & Future ....................................................... 25 Figure 6: Additional Time Needs Chart ................................................................................................ 25 Tables Table 1: Historical & Projected Population from Growth Strategy ....................................................... 7 Table 2: Projected Population Changes ................................................................................................. 8 Table 3: Baseball and Softball Field Space Needs adapted from Beacon Athletics (ballfields.com) .... 11 Table 4: Regulation Baseball Field Dimensions .................................................................................... 13 Table 5: Regulation Softball Field Dimensions ..................................................................................... 13 Table 6: Service Ratio Comparisons in Similar Local Cities .................................................................. 15 Table 7: Fredericton Ball Field Capacity & Utilization ......................................................................... 20 CITY OF FREDERICTON Fredericton Ball Field Study - Needs Assessment and Feasibility Study March 2020 – 19-9400 Table of Contents iii Table 8: Rentable Field Hours .............................................................................................................. 29 Table 9: Stream 1 - Season Capacity.................................................................................................... 30 Table 10: Stream 2 – Potential & Prime Booking Times ...................................................................... 31 Table 11: Utilization Analysis ............................................................................................................... 32 Table 12: Rate of Change – City Population ........................................................................................ 35 Table 13: Rate of Change - Metro Population ..................................................................................... 36 Table 14: Status Quo - Future Field Needs Projections ....................................................................... 38 Table 15. Scenario 7 ............................................................................................................................. 40 Table 16: Scenario 1 - Future Field Needs Projections .......................................................................... 4 Table 17: Scenario 2 - Future Field Needs Projections .......................................................................... 6 Table 18: Scenario 3 - Future Field Needs Projections .......................................................................... 7 Table 19: Status Quo - Future Field Needs Projections ......................................................................... 8 Table 20. Scenario 5 ............................................................................................................................... 9 Table 21. Scenario 6 ............................................................................................................................