DPS008 Technical Supplement 2 Housing August 2018 DPS008 Contents Table of Figures ................................................................................................................... 1 1.0 Introduction .......................................................................................................................... 2 Purpose of this Document ...................................................................................................... 2 Planning and Housing ............................................................................................................ 2 2.0 Policy Context ...................................................................................................................... 4 Regional Policy ...................................................................................................................... 4 Local Policy ......................................................................................................................... 12 3.0 Recent Studies ................................................................................................................... 17 Developer Contributions for Affordable Housing in Northern Ireland .................................... 17 Belfast City Population and Housing Growth Study .............................................................. 17 Size and Type of Housing Needed, Addendum to the Belfast City Housing Growth Options Report, December 2017 ....................................................................................................... 20 NIHE Housing Market Analysis (HMA) ................................................................................. 20 NIHE Housing Needs Assessment (HNA) ............................................................................ 21 Belfast Housing Land Availability (Housing Monitor) ............................................................ 21 UCS - Urban Capacity Study ............................................................................................... 22 4.0 Draft Plan Strategy Policy Approaches ............................................................................ 23 Housing Requirements ........................................................................................................ 23 Brownfield Development ...................................................................................................... 26 Windfall ................................................................................................................................ 27 Residual Housing Need ....................................................................................................... 29 Density................................................................................................................................. 30 Affordable Housing .............................................................................................................. 34 Affordability .......................................................................................................................... 34 Social Housing Need ........................................................................................................... 35 Intermediate need ................................................................................................................ 36 Definition of Affordable Housing ........................................................................................... 36 Site size ............................................................................................................................... 38 Proportion of Affordable Housing ......................................................................................... 39 Housing Mix ......................................................................................................................... 40 Housing Tenure ................................................................................................................... 40 Housing Type....................................................................................................................... 42 Accessible and Adaptable Accommodation ......................................................................... 46 Wheelchair Accessible Housing ........................................................................................... 48 Specialist Residential Accommodation................................................................................. 50 Traveller Accommodation .................................................................................................... 51 Travelling Community .......................................................................................................... 51 Housing Management Areas (HMA’s) and Intensive Housing Nodes ................................... 51 Intensive forms of Housing ................................................................................................... 51 Large Scale Purpose Built Managed Student Accommodation ............................................ 59 Student Accommodation ...................................................................................................... 59 Short-term let accommodation ............................................................................................. 62 Appendices Appendix A: Vacancy and Unfitness Levels .................................................................... 63 Appendix B: Homelessness .............................................................................................. 65 Appendix C: Density Paper case studies ......................................................................... 67 Appendix D: HOU7 table – Lifetime Homes Standards ................................................... 69 Appendix E: HOU7 table – HAG Wheelchair Standards .................................................. 70 DPS008 Technical Supplement 2: Housing Table of Figures Figure 1: NI Housing Growth Indicators 2012-2025 ..................................................................... 6 Figure 2: Application of a sequential approach and identification of suitable sites ........................ 9 Figure 3: Future Growth Scenarios ............................................................................................ 19 Figure 4: Housing Monitor 2016/17 summary table .................................................................... 21 Figure 5: Housing Monitor annual delivery rates and shortfall to HGI and POP (e: est) ............. 23 Figure 6: Historic house building rates versus Plan Strategy, HGI and Housing Monitor annual averages ......................................................................................................... 24 Figure 7: UCS housing numbers ................................................................................................ 25 Figure 8: Projected house building rates over plan period to meet growth targets ..................... 26 Figure 9: Chart showing level of brownfield development in Belfast since 1997/98 .................... 27 Figure 10: Windfall Delivery on zoned residential land ................................................................. 28 Figure 11: Historic windfall delivery (sites < 5 units) ..................................................................... 29 Figure 12: Average densities based on 50 sq.m. city grid ............................................................ 31 Figure 13: Belfast Comparative Density Study ............................................................................. 32 Figure 14: Existing density map and scale, including case study references ............................... 33 Figure 15: Density comparison between approvals, density paper (all dph) and DPS .................. 34 Figure 16: Belfast Household composition of housing applications at March 2017 ...................... 35 Figure 17: Detailed breakdown of social housing need in Belfast 2017-32 ................................... 35 Figure 18: Differing definitions of Affordable Housing .................................................................. 36 Figure 19: Historical completions since 1997 (schemes of < 5 units omitted) ............................... 40 Figure 20: Belfast Housing Tenure (New Belfast LGD, 2011 Census) ......................................... 41 Figure 21: Housing Tenure from 2001 Census (old Belfast district) ............................................. 41 Figure 22: Households by Type (Trends over 2001 and 2011 in Belfast) ..................................... 42 Figure 23: Projected Household Change by Type 2014-2035 (NISRA) ........................................ 42 Figure 24: Implied size of housing required 2014-2035 ................................................................ 43 Figure 25: Housing Size by Type in Comparator English Cities - Census 2011 ........................... 44 Figure 26: Comparison of forecast stock size requirements with existing profiles ........................ 44 Figure 27: Comparison of stock size requirements ...................................................................... 45 Figure 28: Mix of residential unit types ......................................................................................... 45 Figure 29: NISRA stats published October 2017 .......................................................................... 47 Figure 30: Specialised Housing Provision and Need...................................................................