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To learn more, www.brightline.org/people Successfully Bridging the Gap Between Strategy Design and Delivery Contents The Economist March 31st 2018 7 11 The world this week 36 Moldova Cheers for Moldovan wine 36 Spain and separatism Leaders Extraditing Puigdemont 15 Workplace of the future 37 Charlemagne AI-spy Going Dutch 16 Nuclear proliferation Making Satan great again United States 16 America and world trade The danger of the deal 38 Team Trump March madness 17 Ireland and Brexit The United Identity theft 39 Obamacare Northern Ireland Escape routes Kingdom underestimates the 18 The state of Iraq damage it is doing to its most Better days in Baghdad 40 Electoral districts Drawing the line fragile region: leader, page17. On the cover Twenty years after a landmark 40 Special elections As it pushes beyond the peace agreement, questions Letters Attempts to avoid them tech industry, artificial carefully set aside for future 20 On China, Colombia, intelligence could make 41 Suicide generations have been forced Stephen Hawking, workplaces fairer—or more Self-destructing back onto the agenda, page 22 sensible people oppressive: leader, page15. 42 Spanish in America AI has big consequences for The long adiós companies, consumers and Briefing 43 Lexington workers. See our special 22 Northern Ireland The warrior look report after page 46 Past and future collide The Americas The Economist online Britain 44 Mexico Anaya under fire Daily analysis and opinion to 25 Evidence in schools supplement the print edition, plus The education experiment 45 Bello audio and video, and a daily chart 26 Cartographical controversy Peru’s president Economist.com Boxed in 46 Uruguay’s economy E-mail: newsletters and 26 Relitigating Brexit The magic of Montevideo Hawkish America As the mobile edition Did Leave cheat? Iran nuclear deal heads for the Economist.com/email 27 Cambridge Analytica Special report: rocks, the biggest losers will Print edition: available online by A new industry grows up AI in business be Europe and America: 7pm London time each Thursday 27 Popular pastimes GrAIt expectations leader, page16. How the Economist.com/printedition A quizzical country After page 46 agreement that curtails Iran’s Audio edition: available online 30 NHS funding nuclear ambitions looks to download each Friday How to spend it doomed, page 60 Economist.com/audioedition Middle East and Africa 31 Bagehot Labour’s anti-Semitism 48 Iraq after Islamic State Under construction 51 African migrants Europe Homeward bound 33 The “identitarian” right 51 Illegal charcoal Volume 426 Number 9085 White, right and pretentious A very black market Published since September1843 34 Russian diplomats 52 Comic books in Africa to take part in "a severe contest between The defiant pariah intelligence, which presses forward, and Sub-Saharan superheroes an unworthy, timid ignorance obstructing 35 Italy’s populists our progress." Birds of a feather Editorial offices in London and also: 35 Media in Turkey Beijing, Berlin, Brussels, Cairo, Chicago, Madrid, Mexico City, Moscow, Mumbai, Nairobi, New Delhi, It’s an Erdogan- Good news from Iraq Fifteen New York, Paris, San Francisco, São Paulo, Seoul, eat-Dogan world years after America led the Shanghai, Singapore, Tokyo, Washington DC invasion of Iraq, the benighted country is at last finding a new sense of unity: leader, page 18. Will the new spirit hold? Page 48 1 Contents continues overleaf 8 Contents The Economist March 31st 2018 Asia 74 India’s economy Chugging along 53 China and North Korea Conviviality, not clarity 75 Oil futures China’s crude gambit 54 Pakistan’s judiciary Justice on the loose 75 American incomes Home improvement 55 Nepal and India A prickly pair 76 Funeral finance Death and the salesmen 55 Tourism in the Philippines 77 Free exchange A palm-fringed cesspool Wakandanomics Chinese abroad The long 56 India’s armed forces Martin Luther King He was arm of Chinese law- Paper elephant Science and technology assassinated half a century enforcement has ways of 78 Beekeeping ago. His remarkable speeches repatriating suspected What’s the buzz? combined folk religion, criminals, page 57. The China theology and the hard-earned government is trying to 57 Pursuing fugitives abroad 79 Education policy wisdom of his campaigns, prevent a vocal Uighur Forbidding kingdom Selective evidence page 81 diaspora forming, page 58 58 Repatriating Uighurs 80 Cardiology Nowhere to hide Patching broken hearts 59 Banyan 80 Data markets Subscription service Exchange value For our full range of subscription offers, Xi Jinping, Chairman of including digital only or print and digital Everything combined visit Economist.com/offers Books and arts You can also subscribe by mail or telephone at International 81 MLK’s speeches, the details provided below: 60 The Iran nuclear deal 50 years on Telephone: +44 (0) 845 120 0983 A kettle of hawks Like a mighty stream Web: Economist.com/offers 83 Refugee lives Post: The Economist Subscription Centre, Out of many, some P.O. Box 471, Business Haywards Heath, 83 Solar energy’s future RH16 3GY 63 Advertising agencies Rays of hope UK Tough on trade The Trump Mad men adrift administration’s strategy has 84 Johnson Subscription for 1 year (51 issues) 64 Ride-hailing in Build it and they will come Print only UK – £145 many risks and few upsides, South-East Asia page 71. Even if a trade war is Grabbing back averted and China makes 88 Economic and financial Principal commercial offices: concessions, America’s policy 65 Mexican mobile telecoms Red hot indicators The Adelphi Building, 1-11John Adam Street, is economically muddled and Statistics on 42 economies, London WC2N 6HT politically toxic: leader, page16 66 Consumer goods plus a closer look at Tel: +44 (0) 20 7830 7000 Compos menses mergers and acquisitions Rue de l’Athénée 32 66 Spain’s Mediapro 1206 Geneva, Switzerland Tel: +4122 566 2470 Political football Obituary 750 3rd Avenue, 5th Floor, New York, NY 10017 67 European oil majors Tel: +1212 5410500 From Mars to Venus 90 José Abreu Music as salvation 1301Cityplaza Four, 68 Schumpeter 12 Taikoo Wan Road, Taikoo Shing, Hong Kong Corporate crises Tel: +852 2585 3888 Other commercial offices: Chicago, Dubai, Frankfurt, Los Angeles, Finance and economics Paris, San Francisco and Singapore 71 US-China trade Tumbling down Bees Whatever are they 72 China’s supply chains complaining about? A new Collateral damage app listens in, page 78 73 Buttonwood Volatile markets PEFC certified This copy of The Economist is printed on paper sourced from sustainably managed forests certified by PEFC PEFC/16-33-582 www.pefc.org Registered as a newspaper. © 2018 The Economist Newspaper Limited. All rights reserved. Neither this publication nor any part of it may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording or otherwise, without the prior permission of The Economist Newspaper Limited. Published every week, except for a year-end double issue, by The Economist Newspaper Limited. The Economist is a registered trademark of The Economist Newspaper Limited. Printed by Wyndeham Peterborough Limited. This advertisement has been approved for issue by Pictet Asset Management Limited, authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. The value of an investment can go down as well as up, and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Asset Management Wealth Management Asset Services Geneva Lausanne Zurich Basel Luxembourg London Amsterdam Brussels Paris Stuttgart Frankfurt Munich Madrid Barcelona Turin Milan Verona Rome Tel Aviv Dubai Nassau Montreal Hong Kong Singapore Taipei Osaka Tokyo group.pictet The world this week The Economist March 31st 2018 11 nerve agent. More than 25 in $4bn-worth ofpublic-works Politics other countries and NATO contracts, which also involved have supported the move the Brazilian Development against Russia by announcing Bank. In return, Odebrecht their own expulsions. pledged $35m in donations to Mr Maduro’s presidential A fire in a shopping complex in campaign. Most ofthe pro- the Siberian city ofKemerovo jects, including a metro line, killed at least 64 people, more were never finished. than 40 ofthem children. The government’s slow response Brazil’s president, Michel triggered huge demonstra- Temersaid that he plans to run tions; some called forPresident for re-election in October, Egyptians voted in a presi- Vladimir Putin to resign. despite popularity ratings in dential election, which Abdel- the single digits. He later an- Fattah al-Sisi, the incumbent, is John Bolton said he favoured Italy’s parliamentarians elect- nounced that Henrique Mei- sure to win. The authorities keeping up the pressure on ed new speakers for the Senate relles, the finance secretary, prevented any serious chal- North Korea in the run-up to and the Chamber ofDeputies. will resign in order to launch a lengers from running. proposed talks on its nuclear Some saw the choices as a sign campaign ofhis own. programme. Mr Bolton was that a coalition government Kim-Xi talks on nuclear pickle speaking three days after involving the two big populist The proxy war Kim Jong Un, North Korea’s President Donald Trump ap- parties, the Northern League The Houthi rebel group in dictator, visited China in what pointed him as his national and the Five Star Movement, is Yemen fired a barrage ofmis- was his first trip abroad since security adviser, replacing H.R.