“Strengthening Community Resilience to Climate-induced disasters in the Dili to Ainaro Road Development Corridor, Timor-Leste (DARDC)” Timor-Leste Mid-Term Review Report GEF Agency: United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) National Disaster Management Directorate (NDMD) under the Implementing Partner: Ministry of Social Solidarity (MSS) and the Directorate for Forestry under the Ministry of Agriculture and Fisheries (MAF) Funding: GEF-LDCF Focal Area: Climate Change Adaptation GEF Project ID: 5056 Region: Asia and Pacific UNDP PIMS: 5108 UNDP Atlas Project ID: 00081757 Project Timeline: August 2014 - July 2018 Submitted by: Jean-Joseph Bellamy & Anderias Tani Submitted on: August 23, 2017 TABLE OF CONTENTS LIST OF TABLES .............................................................................................................................................................. II LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS .......................................................................................................... III ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS ............................................................................................................................................... IV 1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ...................................................................................................................................... 1 2. CONTEXT AND OVERVIEW OF THE PROJECT ............................................................................................... 6 3. REVIEW FRAMEWORK ........................................................................................................................................ 8 3.1. OBJECTIVES ................................................................................................................................................... 8 3.2. SCOPE ............................................................................................................................................................ 8 3.3. METHODOLOGY ........................................................................................................................................... 10 3.3.1. Overall Approach ....................................................................................................................... 10 3.3.2. Review Instruments ................................................................................................................... 11 3.4. LIMITATIONS AND CONSTRAINTS ................................................................................................................. 12 4. REVIEW FINDINGS ............................................................................................................................................. 13 4.1. PROJECT STRATEGY ..................................................................................................................................... 13 4.1.1. ProJect Design ............................................................................................................................ 13 4.1.2. Results Framework / Log-frame .............................................................................................. 20 4.2. PROGRESS TOWARDS RESULTS .................................................................................................................... 23 4.2.1. Progress Towards Outcomes Analysis .................................................................................. 23 4.2.2. Remaining Barriers to Achieve the ProJect ObJective .......................................................... 33 4.3. PROJECT IMPLEMENTATION AND ADAPTIVE MANAGEMENT ....................................................................... 34 4.3.1. Management Arrangements .................................................................................................... 34 4.3.2. Stakeholder Engagement ......................................................................................................... 36 4.3.3. Work Planning ............................................................................................................................ 39 4.3.4. Finance and Co-finance ............................................................................................................ 40 4.3.5. ProJect-level Monitoring and Evaluation Systems ................................................................ 42 4.3.6. Reporting ..................................................................................................................................... 45 4.3.7. Communications ........................................................................................................................ 45 4.4. SUSTAINABILITY .......................................................................................................................................... 46 4.4.1. Financial risk to Sustainability .................................................................................................. 48 4.4.2. Socio-economic risk to Sustainability ..................................................................................... 49 4.4.3. Institutional framework and governance risk to Sustainability ............................................ 49 4.4.4. Environmental risk to Sustainability ........................................................................................ 49 5. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS ................................................................................................. 50 5.1. CONCLUSIONS .............................................................................................................................................. 50 5.2. RECOMMENDATIONS .................................................................................................................................... 52 ANNEX 1: PROJECT EXPECTED RESULTS AND PLANNED ACTIVITIES .......................................................... 57 ANNEX 2: MTR TERMS OF REFERENCE .................................................................................................................. 59 ANNEX 3: CODE OF CONDUCT FOR EVALUATORS AND AGREEMENT FORM .............................................. 66 ANNEX 4: REVIEW MATRIX ....................................................................................................................................... 67 ANNEX 5: LIST OF DOCUMENTS REVIEWED ......................................................................................................... 73 ANNEX 6: INTERVIEW GUIDE .................................................................................................................................... 76 ANNEX 7: REVIEW MISSION AGENDA ..................................................................................................................... 78 ANNEX 8: LIST OF PEOPLE INTERVIEWED ............................................................................................................. 81 ANNEX 9: MTR RATING SCALES ............................................................................................................................... 83 ANNEX 10: GEF TRACKING TOOL ............................................................................................................................. 84 ANNEX 11: AUDIT TRAIL ............................................................................................................................................ 85 ANNEX 12: EVALUATION REPORT CLEARANCE FORM ....................................................................................... 86 Mid-term Review of the UNDP-GEF-LDCF-Government of Timor-Leste Project “Strengthening Community Resilience to Climate-induced disasters in the Dili to Ainaro Road Development Corridor, Timor-Leste (DARDC)” (PIMS 5108) i List of Tables Table 1: Project Information Table ................................................................................................................... 2 Table 2: MTR Ratings and Achievement Summary Table ............................................................................... 5 Table 3: Steps Used to Conduct the Evaluation ............................................................................................. 10 Table 4: Project Logic Model .......................................................................................................................... 20 Table 5: List of Delivered Results ................................................................................................................... 24 Table 6: Initial Stakeholders Involvement Plan .............................................................................................. 36 Table 7: Annual Work Plans versus Actual Expenditures (LDCF grant) ........................................................ 39 Table 8: LDCF Project Funds Disbursement Status (in USD) ........................................................................ 40 Table 9: Co-financing Status .......................................................................................................................... 42 Table 10: List of Performance Indicators ........................................................................................................ 43 Table 11: List of Risks and Mitigation Measures at Formulation Phase ......................................................... 46 Mid-term Review of the UNDP-GEF-LDCF-Government of Timor-Leste Project “Strengthening Community Resilience to Climate-induced disasters in the Dili to Ainaro Road