Does Cornwall want Devolution? Dr John Ault Associate Research Fellow (British Election Study) (University of Exeter) Our Opinion Poll • Survation Polling Company • 25th November 2014 • Sample Size 500 • Residents aged 18+ in Camborne/Redruth constituency • Margin of error of +/-4.4% • Weighted based on 2011 ONS Census data Voting Intention – Camborne & Redruth 35 33 30 30 25 22 Voting Intention 20 If there were an election tomorrow 15 which party would you be most likely to vote for? 10 7 6 5 1 0 Con Lab LD UKIP Green Other Support or Opposition to Devolution to Cornwall 35 33 30 27 25 More Powers for Cornwall 20 15 There has been discussion of more 12 11 devolution from London to the regions 10 – would you support or oppose more 8 power over local decisions being transferred to Cornwall? 5 0 Strongly Support Somewhat Support Neither Support nor oppose Somewhat Oppose Strongly Oppose Support or Opposition to Devolution to Cornwall 70 60 60 50 More Powers for Cornwall 40 There has been discussion of more devolution from London to the regions 30 – would you support or oppose more 19 power over local decisions being 20 transferred to Cornwall? 10 0 Support Oppose Support or Opposition to Devolution to Cornwall 35 30 29 25 20 More Powers for Cornwall 20 19 15 13 Would you support or oppose the 11 creation of a Cornish Assembly with 10 similar powers to those the Welsh Assembly has in Wales? 5 0 Strongly Support Somewhat Support Neither Support nor oppose Somewhat Oppose Strongly Oppose Support or Opposition to Devolution to Cornwall 60 49 50 40 More Powers for Cornwall 31 30 Would you support or oppose the creation of a Cornish Assembly with similar powers to those the Welsh 20 Assembly has in Wales? 10 0 Support Oppose Support or Opposition to Devolution to Cornwall 40 35.4 35 30 More Powers for Cornwall 25 (Conservatives Only) 20.1 20 19.1 Would you support or oppose the 15 creation of a Cornish Assembly with 9.7 10 similar powers to those the Welsh 6.7 Assembly has in Wales? 5 0 Strongly Support Somewhat Support Neither Support nor oppose Somewhat Oppose Strongly Oppose Support or Opposition to Devolution to Cornwall 60 54.5 50 More Powers for Cornwall 40 (C0nservatives Only) 30 26.8 Would you support or oppose the creation of a Cornish Assembly with similar powers to those the Welsh 20 Assembly has in Wales? 10 0 Support Oppose Support or Opposition to Devolution to Cornwall 45 40.7 40.2 40 35 More Powers for Cornwall 30 (C0nservatives Only) 25 There has been discussion of more 20 devolution from London to the regions – would you support or oppose more 15 power over local decisions being transferred to Cornwall? 10 5 0 Support Oppose Support or Opposition to Devolution to Cornwall 35 32.5 30 26.6 24.3 More Powers for Cornwall 25 (Labour Only) 20 15 Would you support or oppose the creation of a Cornish Assembly with 10 similar powers to those the Welsh 5.2 Assembly has in Wales? 5 2 0 Strongly Support Somewhat Support Neither Support nor oppose Somewhat Oppose Strongly Oppose Support or Opposition to Devolution to Cornwall 70 59.1 60 More Powers for Cornwall 50 (Labour Only) 40 29.5 Would you support or oppose the 30 creation of a Cornish Assembly with similar powers to those the Welsh 20 Assembly has in Wales? 10 0 Support Oppose Support or Opposition to Devolution to Cornwall 50 44 45 40 More Powers for Cornwall 35 (UKIP Only) 30 25 20 Would you support or oppose the 14.3 creation of a Cornish Assembly with 15 13.2 10.7 9.4 similar powers to those the Welsh 10 Assembly has in Wales? 5 0 Strongly Support Somewhat Support Neither Support nor oppose Somewhat Oppose Strongly Oppose Support or Opposition to Devolution to Cornwall 60 54.7 50 More Powers for Cornwall 40 (UKIP Only) 30 27.5 Would you support or oppose the creation of a Cornish Assembly with similar powers to those the Welsh 20 Assembly has in Wales? 10 0 Support Oppose Support or Opposition to Devolution to Cornwall 35 31.3 30 28 25.9 More Powers for Cornwall 25 (Lib Dems 2010 Only) 20 15 Would you support or oppose the creation of a Cornish Assembly with 10 similar powers to those the Welsh 6.1 4.9 Assembly has in Wales? 5 0 Strongly Support Somewhat Support Neither Support nor oppose Somewhat Oppose Strongly Oppose Support or Opposition to Devolution to Cornwall 60 53.9 50 More Powers for Cornwall 40 (Lib Dems 2010 Only) 37.4 30 Would you support or oppose the creation of a Cornish Assembly with similar powers to those the Welsh 20 Assembly has in Wales? 10 0 Support Oppose Support or Opposition to Devolution to Cornwall 40 34.3 35 30 27.2 More Powers for Cornwall 25 (Non-Voters 2010 Only) 20 Would you support or oppose the 15 13.6 creation of a Cornish Assembly with 10 8.7 similar powers to those the Welsh 7.7 Assembly has in Wales? 5 0 Strongly Support Somewhat Support Neither Support nor oppose Somewhat Oppose Strongly Oppose Support or Opposition to Devolution to Cornwall 70 61.5 60 More Powers for Cornwall 50 (Non-Voters 2010 Only) 40 Would you support or oppose the 30 creation of a Cornish Assembly with similar powers to those the Welsh 20 Assembly has in Wales? 16.4 10 0 Support Oppose “ All party groups, except Conservatives, supported a Cornish Assembly with powers similar to those of the Welsh Assembly. Overall a margin of 49% to 31% were in favour. Those not voting in 2010 showed the highest levels of support for an Assembly. ” Camborne and Redruth Constituency Poll 25/11/14 .