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'l:T...... .._.....,_, JOINT BANK-FUND UBRARY .......... fiii..Jillrwp' HG3881.5 .W57 W56 1983 ·-­•ll Ill .............. ..,..._,_.,o.uo> ....K. of ""i W"ld [i' ""'"' oroon ................. iT n ·­, _ , ........ l(&.illnq JLC003006 ·--•" Public Disclosure Authorized Abstracts of Current Studies 1983 The World Bank Research Program The World Bank Washington, D.C. 20433, U.S.A. © 1983 by the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development I The World Bank I818 H Street, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20433, U.S.A. All rights reserved First printing December 1983 Manufactured in the United States of America ISSN 0253-9535 ISBN 0-8213-0280-9 Foreword The World Bank's research program is intended to contribute to a deeper insight into the development process and the policies affecting it, to introduce new techniques or methodologies into the Bank's operational and analytical work at country, sectoral, and project levels, and to help strengthen indigenous research capacity in developing member countries. Now in its fourteenth year, the program covers a broad range of development-oriented issues in about sixty countries, with most research undertaken by the Bank's own staff. To the extent possible, collaborators from client countries are also actively involved in the research process. The wide-ranging topical interest of the research portfolio is a reflection of the types of policy advice and information that are sought by member countries, according to their needs and priorities, and of the data requirements of the Bank as a leading development institution. \Vithin Abstracts, the objectives, methodology, achievements, and sources of detailed information on ongoing or nearly com­ pleted research projects are set forth. This basic information is presented to keep development practitioners and researchers well informed of the Bank's research activities, with the intention of maintaining and expanding the dialogue on development issues. Anne 0. Krueger Vice President Economics and Research Staff 3 The Abstracts were compiled and edited by Sharon Blinco in the Office of the Vice President, Economics and Research Staff. Margaret de Tchihatchef of the Publications Department was re­ sponsible for the production of the book. Contents Foreword 3 List of Abstracts of Current Studies, by Functional Category 7 Introduction 15 Abstracts of Current Studies I. Development Policy and Planning 19 I-A. Income Distribution 19 1-B. Planning, Growth, and Country Economic Analysis 29 2. International Trade and Finance 75 3. Agriculture and Rural Development 93 4. Industry 129 5. Transportation and Telecommunications 159 6. Energy 169 7. Urbanization and Regional Development 182 8. Population and Human Resources 205 8-A. Education 205 8-B. Labor and Employment 227 8-C. Population, Health, and Nutrition 235 Indexes Country/Regional Index 261 Numerical Index 264 5 List of Abstracts of Current Studies, by Functional Category 1. Development Policy and Planning 1-A. Income Distribution 620-47 The Living Standards Measurement Study 19 672-21 Studies on Brazilian Distribution and Growth 21 672-57 Income Formation and Expenditures of Poor Urban Households 24 673-22 The Distribution of Welfare in the Ivory Coast 27 1-B. Planning, Growth, and Country Economic Analysis 670-68}' _ International Comparison Project 29 671 91 671-27 Social Accounts and Development Models 32 671-58} _ A General Algebraic Modeling System (CAMS) 33 673 06 671-66 Research Support for the World Development Report 36 672-04 Research Dissemination: A Computable General Equilibrium Model of Turkey 39 672-16 Reduced Information Methods of International Real1ncome Comparisons 41 7 8 Abstracts, by Functional Category 672-25A Development of a SAM Basis for Planning and Modeling in Egypt 43 672-26A Multisector and Macroeconomic Models of Structural Adjustment in Yugoslavia 44 672-38A Development of Social Accounts and Models for the Cyprus Five-Year Plan 47 672-47 The Development and Extension of Macromodeling in Relation to Thailand 48 672-49 Development Paths for Oil Exporters: A Long-run Macroeconomic Analysis 49 672-61 Taxation and Pricing Policies in Rural and Urban Korea 52 672-65 Economic Consequences of the Coffee Boom in East Africa: A Comparative Analysis of Kenya and Tanzania 55 672-66 Econometric Modeling of Investment and Saving in Korea 57 672-71 Tax and Contractual Arrangements for Exploiting Natural Resources 58 672-73 Evaluation and Estimation of National Accounts Statistics of Centrally Planned Economies 60 672-75 Cross-Country Analysis of Growth in Sub- Saharan Africa 62 672-77 Medium- and Long-Run Issues in Economies with an Exhaustible Resource-Based Traded Sector 64 672-87 A A Computable General Equilibrium Model for the Ivory Coast 66 672-92 Book on Modern Tax Theory for Developing Countries 68 673-13 Analysis of the Tax Systems in Developing Countries: Applications to Pakistan and Mexico 69 673-14 Collaborative Research with China (Phase II) 71 673-21 Relative Efficiency of Public and Private Expenditures on Social Services in Chile (Small Study) 72 673-23A Social-Accounting-Matrix-Based Computable General Equilibrium Model for Cameroon 73 Abstracts, by Functional Category 9 2. International Trade and Finance 671-35 Export Incentives in Developing Countries 75 Penetration of Industrialized Country Markets 671-67} by Imports of Manufactures from Developing 671-82 Countries 76 671-68 Key Institutions and Expansion of Manufactured Exports 80 672-32 The Direction of Developing Countries' Trade: Patterns, Trends, and Implications 82 672-33 Agricultural Trade Patterns in an Expanding European Community and Their Effects on Tunisia 84 672-41 Changes in Comparative Advantage in Manufactured Goods 86 672-85 Liberalization with Stabilization in the Southern Cone 88 673-01 Assessment of Country Foreign Borrowing Strategies 90 3. Agriculture and Rural Development 671-45 Programming and Designing Investment: Indus Basin 93 671-80 Evaluation of Food Distribution Schemes 95 671-89 India: Impact of Agricultural Development on Employment and Poverty (Phase II) 97 672-02 The Construction of Econometric Models for the Supply of Perennials: A Case Study of Natural Rubber and Tea in Sri Lanka 99 672-14 Agricultural Innovations in India: A District and Farm-Level Analysis of Fertilizer Use and HYV Adoption 102 672-18 Food Policy Analysis for Practitioners 103 672-24A Agriculture Sector Modeling Conference: A Research Application 104 10 Abstracts, by Functional Category 672-29 The Impact of Agricultural Extension: A Case Study of the Training and Visit Method in Haryana, India 105 672-30 Production and Distributional Implications of Dairy Development Projects: Effects on Incomes, Consumption, and Nutrition of the Poor 107 672-39 Market and Agricultural Policy Determinants of Rural Incomes 109 672-50A Canal