Version 22/03/2010 The ESPON 2013 Programme ESPON CLIMATE - Climate Change and Territorial Effects on Regions and Local Economies Applied Research Project 2013/1/4 Revised Interim Report - Annexes - 1 Annex 1: Bibliography Bibliography AAAS (American Association for the Advancement of Science) (2006): AAAS Atlas of Population and Environment, http://atlas.aaas.org. ABI (Association of British Insurers) (2004): A Changing Climate for Insurance, London: ABI Adger, W.N.; Arnell, N.W.; Tompkins, E.L. (2005): Successful adaptation to climate change across scales. In: Global Environmental Change Part A, vol. 15, no. 2: 77-86. Agrawala, S.; Faukhauser, S. (2008): Economic Aspects of Adaptation to Climate Change, OECD. Alberini, A.; Chiabai, A.; Muehlenbachs, L. (2005): Using expert judgement to assess adaptive capacity to climate change: Evidence from a conjoint choice survey, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei, Milano. 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Blombäck P.; Poschen, P.; Lövgren, M. (2003): Employment trends and prospects in the European forest sector, A study prepared for the European Forest Sector Outlook Study, Geneva Timber and Forest Discussion papers, 29, UN. Brooks, N.; Adger, W.N.; Kelly, M.P. (2005): The determinants of vulnerability and adaptive capacity at the national level and the implications for adaptation.In: Global Environmental Change Part A, vol. 15, no. 2: 151-163. Carter, T. (2007): Assessing the adaptive capacity of the finish environment and society under a climate change: FINADAPT. Summary for policy makers. Helsinki. CEC (2009): Communication from the Commission to the European Parliament, the Council, the European Economic and Social Committee and the Committee of the Regions: Mainstreaming sustainable development into EU policies: 2009 Review of the European Union Strategy for Sustainable Development. Commission of the European Communities, COM(2009) 400 final. Brussels, 24th July 2009. Ciscar, J.C. (Ed.) (2009): Climate change impacts in Europe - Final report of the PESETA research project. Luxembourg (JRC). Coastal States Organization (2007): The Role of Coastal Zone Management Programs in Adaptation to Climate Change. CSO Climate Change Work Group, Washington, DC, 27 pp. Cooke, R.M. (1991): Experts in Uncertainty: Opinion and Subjective Probability in Science. New York, Oxford: Oxford Univ. Press. Costa, L.; Tekken, V.; Kropp, J. (2009): Threat of sea-level rise: Costs and benefits of adaptation in the European Union Coastal Countries. In: Journal of Coastal Research. de Franca Doria, M.; Boyd, E.; Tompkins, E.L.; Adger, W.N. (2009): Using expert elicitation to define successful adaptation to climate change. In: Environmental Science & Policy, vol. 12, no. 7: 810 – 819. 2 Annex 1: Bibliography Demirkesen, A.C., F. Evrendilek, and S. Berberoglu (2008): Quantifying coastal inundation vulnerability of Turkey to sea-level rise. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 138(1-3), 101-106. DG Regio (2009): Regions 2020 – The Climate Challenge for European Regions. Brussels. Easterling, W.E.; Aggarwal, P.K.; Batima, P.; Brandner, K.M.; Erda, L.; Howden, S.M.; Kirilenko, A.; Morton, J.; Soussana, J.-F.; Schmidhuber, J.; Tubiello, F.N. (2007): Food, Fibre and Forest Products. In: Parry, M.L.; Canziani, O.F.; Palutikof, J.P.; van der Linden, P.J.; Hanson, C.E. (Eds.): Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of working group II to the Forth Assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK: 273-313. EEA (2008): Impacts of Europe’s changing climate – 2008 indicator-based assessment, Report no 4/2008, Copenhagen. Engle, N.L.; Lemos, M.C. (in press): Unpacking governance: Building adaptive capacity to climate change of river basins in Brazil. In: Global Environmental Change. ESPON (2006): Territory matters for competitiveness and cohesion, Luxembourg: ESPON. European Commission (2009): White Paper - Adapting to climate change: Towards a European framework for action. European Commission (2009a): STAFF WORKING DOCUMENT accompanying the WHITE PAPER Adapting to climate change: Towards a European framework for action IMPACT ASSESSMENT. Brüssel. European Union (2007): Territorial Agenda of the European Union – Towards a more Competitive and Sustainable Europe of Diverse Regions. Leipzig. Ewert, F.; Rounsevell, M.D.A.; Reginster, I.; Metzger, M.J.; Leemans, R. (2005): Future scenarios of European agriculture land use: I. Estimating changes in crop productivity. In: Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, vol. 107, no. 2-3: 101-116. FitzGerald, D.M., M.S. Fenster, B.A. Argow, and I.V. Buynevich (2008): Coastal impacts due to sea-level rise. Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences, 36, 601-647. Freeman, P.K.; Warner, K. (2001): Vulnerability of infrastructure to climate variability: How does this affect infrastructure lending policies? Report commissioned by the Disaster Management Facility of the World Bank and the ProVention Consortium, Washington D.C. Füssel, H.-M.; Klein, R. (2006): Climate change vulnerability assessments: An evolution of conceptual thinking. In: Climatic Change vol. 75: 301-329. Gornitz, V., S. Couch, and E.K. Hartig (2002): Impacts of sea level rise in the New York City metropolitan area. Global and Planetary Change, 32(1), 61-88 Greiving, S. (2006): Integrated risk assessment of multi-hazards: A new methodology. Natural and technological hazards and risks affecting the spatial development of European regions. Geological Survey of Finland, Special Paper 42: 75–82. Haddad, B.M. (2005): Ranking the adaptive capacity of nations to climate change when socio- political goals are explicit. In: Global Environmental Change Part A, vol. 15, no. 2: 165- 176. Hallegatte, S., Henriet, F.; Corfee-Morlot, J. (2008): “The Economics of Climate Change Impacts and Policy Benefits at City Scale: A Conceptual Framework”, OECD Environment Working Papers, No. 4, OECD Publishing, doi: 10.1787/230232725661. Handl, J.; Knowles, J.; Kell, D.B. (2005): Computational cluster validation in post-genomic data analysis. In: Bioinformatics, vol. 221:3201-3212. Hanssen-Bauer, I.; Drange, H.; Førland, E.J.; Roald, L.A.; Børsheim, K.Y.; Hisdal, H.; Lawrence, D.; Nesje, A.; Sandven, S.; Sorteberg, A.; Sundby, S.; Vasskogog , K.; Ådlandsvik, B.(2009): Klima i Norge 2100. Bakgrunnsmateriale til NOU Klimatilplassing, Norsk klimasenter, September 2009, Oslo. 3 Annex 1: Bibliography Helmer, O. (1966): The Use of the Delphi Technique in Problems of Educational Innovations. Santa Monica: The Rand Corporation. Hollweg, H.-D.; Böhm, U.; Fast, I.; Hennemuth, B.; Keuler, K.; Keup-Thiel, E.; Lautenschlager, M.; Legutke, S.; Radtke, K.; Rockel, B.; Schubert, M.; Will, A.; Woldt, M.; Wunram, C; (2008): Ensemble Simulations over Europe with the Regional Climate Model CLM forced with IPCC AR4 Global Scenarios, M&D Technical Report No.3, Hamburg. Hunt, A.; Watkiss, P. (2007): Literature review on climate change impacts on urban city centres: initial findings. Organization for Economic Co-Operation and Development, Paris. IEA (2008) World Energy Outlook 2008, OECD/IEA, Paris. IPCC (2001): Climate Change 2001. Third assessment report, Working Group III: Mitigation. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. IPCC (2007a): Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment. Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. IPCC (2007b): Climate Change 2007 - Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of working group II to the Forth Assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Kropp, J. P.; Holsten, A.; Lissner, T.; Roithmeier, O.; Hattermann, F.; Huang, S.; Rock, J.; Wechsung, F.; Lüttger, A.; Costa, L.; Steinhäuser, F.; Pompe, S.; Kühn, I.; Walther, C.; Klaus, M.; Ritchie, S.; Mezger, M. (2009): Klimawandel in Nordrhein-Westfalen - Regionale Abschätzung der Anfälligkeit ausgewählter Sektoren - Abschlussbericht für das Ministerium für Umwelt und Naturschutz, Landwirtschaft und Verbraucherschutz NRW. Potsdam, Potsdam-Institut für Klimafolgenforschung (PIK): 257. Larsen, C., I. Clark, G.R. Guntenspergen, D.R. Cahoon, V. Caruso, C. Hupp, and T. Yanosky, (2004): The Blackwater NWR Inundation Mode. Rising Sea Level on a Low-lying Coast: Land Use Planning for Wetlands. Open file report 04–1302. U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA. http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2004/1302/ Lautenschlager, M.; Keuler, K.; Wunram, C.; Keup-Thiel, E.; Schubert, M.; Will, A.; Rockel, B.; Boehm, U. (2009): Climate Simulation with CLM, Climate