DRAFT STANCOG FY 2021-22 Unmet Transit Needs Analysis Report Adopted by Resolution- DRAFT MONTH, YEAR BACK OF THE COVER PAGE THIS PAGE IS INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK Draft – FY 2021/22 STANCOG UNMET TRANSIT NEEDS ANALYSIS REPORT 2 Contents Unmet Transit Needs (UTN) Executive Summary ....................................................................................... 6 Acknowledgements ....................................................................................................................................... 7 Introduction ................................................................................................................................................... 8 Summary of Findings for the FY 2021/22 UTN Assessment ................................................................... 8 Public Involvement ....................................................................................................................................... 9 Outreach activities .................................................................................................................................... 9 Comments Received ............................................................................................................................... 14 UTN Process ............................................................................................................................................... 15 StanCOG’s Adopted UTN Process ......................................................................................................... 15 Definition of Unmet Transit Need ...................................................................................................... 17 Definition of Reasonable to Meet ....................................................................................................... 17 Social Services Transportation Advisory Council (SSTAC) .............................................................. 18 Existing Conditions ..................................................................................................................................... 20 Size and Location of Groups Likely to be Transit Dependent ................................................................ 20 Population Estimates for Stanislaus County ....................................................................................... 21 Assessing Transit Dependency by Age (Population over 65) ............................................................. 22 Assessing Transit Dependency by Disability (Disabled Population).................................................. 23 Assessing Transit Dependency by Income (Persons of Limited Means) ............................................ 24 Transit Dependent Census Tracts ....................................................................................................... 25 Analysis of Transportation Services in Stanislaus County ......................................................................... 26 Modesto Area Express (MAX) ............................................................................................................... 26 Stanislaus Regional Transit System (StaRT) .......................................................................................... 37 Turlock Transit........................................................................................................................................ 43 Amtrak – San Joaquins ........................................................................................................................... 48 MOVE Stanislaus.................................................................................................................................... 48 Adequacy of Existing Services ............................................................................................................... 50 Farmworker Vanpool Program Analysis ................................................................................................ 50 Resources Used in the UTN Assessment Process ....................................................................................... 51 Collection and Analysis of UTNs ............................................................................................................... 53 Public Outreach ....................................................................................................................................... 53 Analysis of Comments ................................................................................................................................ 54 UTN Findings ......................................................................................................................................... 61 Draft – FY 2021/22 STANCOG UNMET TRANSIT NEEDS ANALYSIS REPORT 3 Concluding Remarks ........................................................................................................................... 62 Comments Received Prior to the April 2021 Policy Board Meeting .................................................. 62 Social Services Transportation Advisory Council Comments (SSTAC) ............................................ 62 Citizens Advisory Committee Comments (CAC) ............................................................................... 62 Technical Advisory Committee Comments (TAC) ............................................................................ 62 Management and Finance Committee Comments (MFC) .................................................................. 62 Appendices .................................................................................................................................................. 63 Appendix A ............................................................................................................................................. 64 Population Density by Census Tract ................................................................................................... 65 Map of Population Over 65 by Census Tract ...................................................................................... 66 Map of Persons Living with a Disability by Census Tract ................................................................. 67 Map of Persons of Limited Means by Census Tract ........................................................................... 68 Appendix B – Comments Received for FY 2021/22 .............................................................................. 69 Draft – FY 2021/22 STANCOG UNMET TRANSIT NEEDS ANALYSIS REPORT 4 Tables and Figures Table 1: Stanislaus County Population ....................................................................................................... 21 Table 2: Population over 65 ........................................................................................................................ 22 Table 3: Disabled Population ...................................................................................................................... 23 Table 4: Persons of Limited Means ............................................................................................................ 24 Table 5: MAX/MADAR Services............................................................................................................... 28 Table 6: MAX/MADAR Fares ................................................................................................................... 33 Table 7: StaRT Services .............................................................................................................................. 38 Table 8: StaRT Fares .................................................................................................................................. 40 Table 9: Turlock Transit Services ............................................................................................................... 44 Table 10: Turlock Transit Fares .................................................................................................................. 45 Table 11: Resources .................................................................................................................................... 51 Table 12: Analysis of Comments Received during the FY 2021/22 Assessment ....................................... 54 Figure 1: StanCOG UTN Virtual Townhall Meetings- English Flyer ........................................................ 10 Figure 2: StanCOG UTN Virtual Townhall Meetings- Spanish Flyer........................................................ 10 Figure 3: StanCOG UTN Flyer ................................................................................................................... 12 Figure 4: StanCOG UTN Flyer ................................................................................................................... 13 Figure 5: Stanislaus County Population ...................................................................................................... 21 Figure 6: Population over 65 ....................................................................................................................... 22 Figure 7: Disabled Population .................................................................................................................... 23 Figure 8: Persons of Limited Means ........................................................................................................... 24 Figure 9: Transit Dependent Census Tracts (MAP) ...................................................................................