DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION AND COMMUNICATIONS (DOTC) REPUBLIC OF THE PHILIPPINES THE SUPPLEMENTARY SURVEY ON NORTH SOUTH COMMUTER RAIL PROJECT (PHASE II-A) IN THE REPUBLIC OF THE PHILIPPINES PRE-FINAL REPORT NOVEMBER 2015 JAPAN INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION AGENCY ORIENTAL CONSULTANTS GLOBAL CO., LTD. ALMEC CORPORATION KATAHIRA & ENGINEERS INTERNATIONAL 1R TOSTEMS, INC. JR(先) 15-049 DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION AND COMMUNICATIONS (DOTC) REPUBLIC OF THE PHILIPPINES THE SUPPLEMENTARY SURVEY ON NORTH SOUTH COMMUTER RAIL PROJECT (PHASE II-A) IN THE REPUBLIC OF THE PHILIPPINES PRE-FINAL REPORT NOVEMBER 2015 JAPAN INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION AGENCY ORIENTAL CONSULTANTS GLOBAL CO., LTD. ALMEC CORPORATION KATAHIRA & ENGINEERS INTERNATIONAL TOSTEMS, INC. Exchange Rate ( June 2015) 1 Philippine Pesos (PhP) = Japanese Yen (JpY) 2.72 1 US dollar (US$) = JpY 120.7 1 US$ = PhP 44.4 The Supplementary Survey on North South Commuter Rail Project (Phase II-A) in the Republic of the Philippines PRE-FINAL REPORT Republic of the Philippines STUDY LOCATION MAP Basic Data of Philippines Source: Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Japan, National Statistics Office of Philippines (NSO) 2 ■Area: 29.9 Thousand Km (2012), consist of ■Total Amount of Trade (FOB) (NSO, 2014) 7,109 islands. (1) Exports: US$ 61.80 billion ■ Population: 92.34 million (National Population (2) Imports: US$ 63.92 billion Census, 2010) ■Major Items of Trade ■Capital: Manila (Population in Metro Manila: (1) Exports: Electrical and electronic equipments approx. 11.86 million (ditto)) (majority: semiconductors) (2) Imports: Raw materials, intermediates (majority: ■Ethnic: Malayo-Polynesian (the largest group), Chinese, Hispanics, mixed race of them intermediates of chemical goods), capital goods and minorities (2014) (majority: communication and electronic equipments) and fuel (e.g. crude oil), consumer ■ Language: Filipino, English and about 80 goods languages (2014) ■Currency : Philippine peso ■Religion: Christians (Catholics:83%, Others:10%) 1 peso = 2.70 yen (JICA, April 2015) and Muslim(5%) (2014) ■ODA Performance of Japan (Accumulated Total) ■Major Industry: Agriculture, service industry (2015) (1) Loan Aid: 2,420.92 billion yen (E/N, 2013) ■GDP per Capita: US$ 2,865(IMF, 2014) (2) Grand Aid: 275.98 billion yen (E/N, 2013) ■GDP Growth: 6.1%(NSO, 2014) (3) Technical Assistance: 213.48 billion yen ■Inflation Rate: 4.1%(NSO, 2014) (JICA, 2011) The Supplementary Survey on North South Commuter Rail Project (Phase II-A) in the Republic of the Philippines PRE-FINAL REPORT THE SUPPLEMENTARY SURVEY ON NORTH SOUTH COMMUTER RAIL PROJECT (PHASE II-A) IN THE REPUBLIC OF THE PHILIPPINES PRE-FINAL REPORT TABLE OF CONTENTS LOCATION MAP ABBREVIATION LIST Page CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION 1.1 Background of the Study ················································································· 1-1 1.2 Objectives of the Study ··················································································· 1-1 1.3 Study Area ·································································································· 1-1 1.4 Items to be Studied ························································································ 1-3 CHAPTER 2 NECESSITY AND BACKGROUND OF THE PROJECT 2.1 Situation and Issues in GCR Transportation Sector ··················································· 2-1 2.1.1 Transport Infrastructure ··········································································· 2-1 2.1.2 Philippines National Railways (PNR) ··························································· 2-2 2.1.3 Urban Mass Transit Lines ········································································· 2-4 2.2 Reconfirmation of Latest Plans and Policies in the Transportation Sector ························ 2-6 2.2.1 Summary of the Recent Development Plans in Metro Manila ······························· 2-6 2.2.2 Transportation Plans and Projects ····························································· 2-10 2.3 Confirmation of Project Necessity ···································································· 2-23 2.3.1 Necessity of Integration with Region Development Strategy ······························ 2-23 2.3.2 Necessity of Solving Traffic Problem ························································· 2-24 2.3.3 Necessity to Increase Competitive in Global Market ······································· 2-25 CHAPTER 3 ROUTE PLAN 3.1 Review of Route Plan and Travel Demand Forecast ·················································· 3-1 3.1.1 Methodology························································································ 3-1 3.1.2 Traffic Survey ······················································································ 3-3 3.1.3 Population Forecast ················································································ 3-6 3.1.4 Demand Forecast ··················································································· 3-7 3.1.5 Highlights of Results ············································································ 3-19 3.2 Comparative Analysis of Alternatives ································································ 3-20 3.2.1 Without Project Option (Zero Option) ························································ 3-20 3.2.2 Route Alternative Options ······································································ 3-20 3.2.3 Depot Alternative Options ······································································ 3-23 3.2.4 Structure Alternative Options ·································································· 3-24 i CHAPTER 4 PROPOSAL OF PROJECT FRAMEWORK 4.1 Route Plan ·································································································· 4-1 4.1.1 Overview ···························································································· 4-1 4.1.2 Alignment Plan ····················································································· 4-2 4.1.3 Location of Station················································································· 4-3 4.1.4 Route Plan ·························································································· 4-4 4.2 Rolling Stock Plan ······················································································· 4-11 4.2.1 Introduction ······················································································· 4-11 4.2.2 Prerequisite for Rolling Stock Plan ···························································· 4-11 4.2.3 Review of Existing Rolling Stock in Manila ················································· 4-11 4.2.4 Requirement for Rolling Stock ································································· 4-12 4.2.5 Passenger Capacity and Train Formation ····················································· 4-13 4.2.6 Body Materials ··················································································· 4-16 4.2.7 Acceleration Performance ······································································ 4-17 4.2.8 Main Specifications ·············································································· 4-17 4.2.9 Maintenance ······················································································ 4-20 4.2.10 Superiority of Japanese Rolling Stock Technology for Commuter Train ················ 4-21 4.3 Operation Plan ··························································································· 4-22 4.3.1 Basic Concepts of Operation Plan ····························································· 4-22 4.3.2 Operating Route ·················································································· 4-22 4.3.3 Passenger Demand ··············································································· 4-23 4.3.4 Capacity of Rolling Stock ······································································ 4-23 4.3.5 Operation Headway ·············································································· 4-23 4.3.6 Travel Time ······················································································· 4-24 4.3.7 Required Number of Trains ····································································· 4-24 4.3.8 Rolling Stock Procurement Plan ······························································· 4-25 4.4 Civil Facilities Plan ······················································································ 4-26 4.4.1 Alternative Structure Types ····································································· 4-26 4.4.2 Proposed Structure Plan ········································································· 4-34 4.4.3 Recommendation of the Construction Package ·············································· 4-42 4.4.4 Inspection Policy ················································································· 4-52 4.4.5 Universal Design and Gender Considerations for Station Facility ························ 4-54 4.5 Depot and Workshop Plan ·············································································· 4-56 4.5.1 Inspection and Maintenance System ·························································· 4-56 4.5.2 Preconditions ····················································································· 4-56 4.5.3 Necessary Number of Tracks ··································································· 4-58 4.5.4 Necessary Facilities ··············································································