The Indian Ocean Drive Economic and Social Impact Study Wheatbelt Development Commission Western Australian Planning Commission Feasibility Strategy Impact Level 2, Suite 8, 72 Melville Parade South Perth WA 6151 Tel: (08) 9367 1511 Fax: (08) 9367 4066 Email: [email protected] Indian Ocean Drive Economic and Social Impact Study Table of Contents 1. Executive Summary................................................................................................................................................8 2. Introduction ........................................................................................................................................................12 2.1 Background......................................................................................................................................................... 12 2.2 Objectives............................................................................................................................................................ 12 2.3 Purpose of This Report....................................................................................................................................... 13 2.4 Study Area .......................................................................................................................................................... 13 2.5 Methodology ....................................................................................................................................................... 13 2.5.1 Stage One............................................................................................................................................ 13 2.5.2 Stage Two............................................................................................................................................ 13 2.6 Inputs.................................................................................................................................................................. 14 2.7 Outputs ............................................................................................................................................................... 15 2.8 Achievement of Objectives .................................................................................................................................. 15 3. Planning and Environmental Framework................................................................................................................17 3.1 State Planning Strategy ...................................................................................................................................... 17 3.2 Central Coast Regional Strategy.......................................................................................................................... 17 3.3 Central Coast Tourism Strategy.......................................................................................................................... 20 3.4 Lancelin to Cervantes Coastal Road Public Environmental Review (2000)......................................................... 20 3.5 Coast Road Traffic Study..................................................................................................................................... 20 3.5.1 Traffic Forecasts.................................................................................................................................. 20 3.5.2 Network Implications ........................................................................................................................... 21 4. Community Consultation.......................................................................................................................................23 4.1 Purpose of the Workshops.................................................................................................................................. 23 4.2 Approach............................................................................................................................................................. 23 4.3 Recurrent Themes............................................................................................................................................... 24 4.3.1 Environment, Community Values and Lifestyle Impact ........................................................................ 24 Page 2 Indian Ocean Drive Economic and Social Impact Study 4.3.2 Development Impact............................................................................................................................ 24 4.3.3 Business Impact .................................................................................................................................. 25 4.3.4 Route Alignment and Traffic Management........................................................................................... 25 4.3.5 Vision and Opportunities..................................................................................................................... 26 5. Population, Social and Economic Data...................................................................................................................28 5.1 Population........................................................................................................................................................... 28 5.1.1 Base Population Projections ............................................................................................................... 28 5.1.2 Population Drivers............................................................................................................................... 30 5.1.3 Updated Population Projections.......................................................................................................... 30 5.1.4 Household Occupancy......................................................................................................................... 31 5.2 Visitor Projections............................................................................................................................................... 31 5.3 Socio-Demographics ........................................................................................................................................... 33 5.3.1 Household Type .................................................................................................................................. 33 5.3.2 Profile of Occupation and Employment Type....................................................................................... 34 5.3.3 Average Income By Local Government Area ....................................................................................... 34 5.4 Industry Profile.................................................................................................................................................... 35 6. Existing Infrastructure and Services ......................................................................................................................39 6.1 Current Housing Stocks....................................................................................................................................... 39 6.2 Current Visitor Accommodation Stocks ............................................................................................................... 40 6.2.1 Indian Ocean Drive Development Register .......................................................................................... 40 6.2.2 Total Proposed Residential Development Units – Occupied Unit Equivalents..................................... 42 6.2.3 Total Proposed Tourist Accommodation ............................................................................................. 43 6.3 Existing Social Services & Facilities..................................................................................................................... 44 6.3.1 Existing Police Service Statistics.......................................................................................................... 45 6.3.2 Police Resources Indian Ocean Drive Study Area................................................................................ 45 6.3.3 Existing Health Services ...................................................................................................................... 46 Page 3 Indian Ocean Drive Economic and Social Impact Study 6.3.4 Existing Health Service Ratios ............................................................................................................. 47 6.3.5 Existing Education Services................................................................................................................. 47 6.3.6 Existing Fire and Emergency Services................................................................................................. 48 6.3.7 Department for Community Development............................................................................................ 48 6.3.8 Department of Justice.......................................................................................................................... 48 6.3.9 Department of Training and TAFE ....................................................................................................... 49 6.3.10 Water Corporation and Waters & Rivers Commission........................................................................... 49 6.3.11 Western Power ...................................................................................................................................