FINAL REPORT Louisiana Statewide Transportation Plan prepared for Louisiana Department of Transportation and Development prepared by December 2003 TABLE OF CONTENTS CHAPTER & TITLE PAGE NO. Acknowledgements i – vi Chapter 1 – Introduction 1-1 – 1-5 Chapter 2 – Values, Goals & Objectives 2-1 – 2-6 Chapter 3 –Public Involvement 3-1 – 3-8 Chapter 4 – Socioeconomic Characteristics 4-1 – 4-9 Chapter 5 – Existing Conditions 5-1 – 5-43 Chapter 6 – Summary Analysis of Freight Movement 6-1 – 6-25 Chapter 7 – Transportation Plan Development 7-1 – 7-55 Chapter 8 – Financing 8-1 – 8-35 Chapter 9 –Recommendations 9-1 – 9-18 Appendix A Louisiana Megaprojects Considered in the Update of the LSTP Appendix B Newsletters Appendix C Summary of Written Comments Wilbur Smith Associates i Table of Contents FIGURES PAGE NO. 3.1 Relationship of Modal Councils in Updating the LSTP 3-2 4.1 Historical Population 4-1 4.2 Parishes 4-4 4.3 Projected Population (Louisiana) 4-9 4.4 Projected Employment 4-9 5.1 Louisiana Major Highway Network 5-2 5.2 Rural Interstate ADT 5-3 5.3 Urban Interstate ADT 5-4 5.4 Percent of Highway Mileage and Vehicle Miles of Travel (VMT) 5-5 5.5 2001 Crashes: Total vs. State System 5-6 5.6 2001 Crashes by Type 5-6 5.7 Louisiana Total Daily Auto Traffic 5-7 5.8 Louisiana Total Daily Truck Traffic 5-8 5.9 2000 Traffic Congestion Problems 5-10 5.10 Louisiana’s STAA-Designated Truck Network 5-11 5.11 Domestic Tonnage by Mode (LA) 5-12 5.12 Total Domestic Truck Volume (LA) 5-12 5.13 Total Domestic Truck Freight Value (LA) 5-13 5.14 Total Truck Flows for Louisiana 5-16 5.15 Louisiana Airport System 5-18 5.16 Louisiana Rail System 5-22 5.17 Louisiana Rail Line Density 5-25 5.18 Destination of Rail Traffic Originating in Louisiana 5-27 5.19 Origination of Rail Traffic Terminating in Louisiana 5-27 5.20 Louisiana Freight Traffic History 5-28 5.21 Louisiana’s Ports and Waterways 5-30 5.22 Statewide Private Motor Carrier System (FY 00) 5-34 5.23 Lines with Passenger Rail Service 5-36 5.24 Statewide Public Transportation System (FY (99) 5-39 6.1 Louisiana Truck Tonnage by Traffic Type 6-3 6.2 Louisiana Truck Tonnage by Commodity and Type 6-3 6.3 Interstate Louisiana Truck Tonnage by Region 6-4 6.4 Forecasts of Louisiana Truck Tonnages by Traffic Type 6-5 6.5 Louisiana Rail Tonnage by Traffic Type 6-6 6.6 Louisiana Rail Tonnage by Commodity and Traffic Type 6-7 6.7 Interstate Louisiana Rail Tonnage by Region and Traffic Type 6-7 6.8 1999 Louisiana E-W Through Rail Tonnages (a) (b) 6-8 6.9 2030 Louisiana E-W Through Rail Tonnages (a) (b) 6-9 6.10 Forecasts of Louisiana Rail Tonnages by Traffic Type 6-10 6.11 Louisiana Domestic Waterborne Tonnage by Commodity and Traffic Type 6-11 6.12 Louisiana Domestic Waterborne Tonnage by Region 6-12 6.13 Forecasts of Louisiana Domestic Waterborne Tonnages 6-12 ii Table of Contents FIGURES PAGE NO. 6.14 International Louisiana Waterborne Tonnages 6-13 6.15 Forecasts of Louisiana International Waterborne Tonnages 6-15 6.16 2000 Domestic Tonnage by Airport 6-17 6.17 2000 International MSY Trade Partners by Airport 6-18 6.18 2000 International Trade Partners by Region 6-19 6.19 2000 Louisiana Non-Mail Air Cargo Tonnage 6-21 6.20 Louisiana Air Cargo Forecast 2000-2020 by Airport 6-23 6.21 Louisiana Domestic Air Cargo Forecast 6-24 6.22 Louisiana International Air Cargo Forecast 6-25 7.1 Pavement Preservation and Rehabilitation – Interstate 7-2 7.2 Pavement Preservation and Rehabilitation – NHS 7-3 7.3 Pavement Preservation and Rehabilitation – SHS 7-4 7.4 Pavement Preservation and Rehabilitation – RHS 7-5 7.5 Percentage of Bridges and Deck Areas by Category, 2000 7-6 7.6 Louisiana Bridges in Poor Condition by Type 7-7 7.7 2001 Crashes: Total vs. State System 7-8 7.8 2001 Crashes by Type 7-8 7.9 TIMED Projects 7-10 7.10 2030 Daily Rural Vehicle Volume 7-11 7.11 2000 Traffic Congestion Problems 7-13 7.12 2030 Traffic Congestion Problems without TIMED Projects 7-14 7.13 2030 Traffic Congestion Problems with TIMED Projects 7-15 7.14 Total Daily Auto Business Trips 7-16 7.15 Total Daily Tourist Trips 7-17 7.16 2030 Daily Truck Trips 7-18 7.17 2000 vs. 2030 Louisiana Truck Tonnage by Type of Movement 7-18 7.18(a) Megaprojects Proposed in the Statewide Transportation Plan Update 7-21 7.18(b) Megaprojects – Baton Rouge Area 7-22 7.19 2030 Traffic Congestion Problems with TIMED and Priority “A” Projects 7-28 7.20 2030 Traffic Congestion Problems with TIMED Priority “A” and Priority “B” Projects 7-29 7.21 Louisiana Airports with 30-Minute Drive Times 7-32 7.22 Commercial Service Airports 7-34 7.23 General Aviation – Reliever Airports 7-34 7.24 General Aviation – National Airports 7-35 7.25 General Aviation – Regional 7-35 7.26 General Aviation – Local 7-36 7.27 General Aviation – Limited 7-36 7.28 Costs to Address Louisiana Aviation System Needs, by Airport Category 7-37 7.29 Forecasts of Louisiana Rail Tonnages 7-38 7.30 Louisiana Grain Maritime Shipments and Capacities 7-44 7.31 Louisiana General Cargo Shipments and Capacity, 2001-2030 7-45 7.32 Port of New Orleans, Container Exports and Imports, 2001-2030 7-46 7.33 Louisiana Ridership Figures Annual Unlinked Passenger Trips 7-51 iii Table of Contents FIGURES PAGE NO. 7.34 Parishes Without Rural or Urban Transportation Systems 7-52 8.1 Motor Fuels Tax Rates for the United States 8-3 8.2 Motor Fuels Effective Tax Rates for the United States 8-4 8.3 Diesel Tax Rates for the United States 8-5 8.4 Diesel Tax Effective Rates for the United States 8-6 8.5 Passenger Car License Plate Registration for the United States 8-9 8.6 Projected Loss of Purchasing Power with No Revenue Increase 8-18 8.7 Projected Loss of Purchasing Power if No Revenue Increase 8-19 8.8 Sales Tax Rates for the United States 8-24 8.9 Heavy Vehicle License Fees for the United States 8-25 8.10 Local Option Gasoline Taxes in the US 8-28 9-1 Projects Included in the Priority ‘A’ Funding Scenario Developed for the Louisiana Statewide Transportation Plan Update 9-10 9-2 Projects Included in the Priority ‘A’ and ‘B’ Funding Scenario Developed for the Louisiana Statewide Transportation Plan Update 9-11 iv Table of Contents TABULATIONS PAGE NO. 4.1 Population by Parish 4-2 4.2 Projected Population by Parish 4-5 4.3 Projected Employment by Parish 4-6 4.4 Population by MSA 4-9 5.1 Louisiana Highway Network 5-3 5.2 Louisiana Domestic Truck Volumes by Commodity 5-14 5.3 Louisiana Domestic Truck Tonnages by Region 5-15 5.4 Airlines Serving Louisiana’s Commercial Service Airports 5-19 5.5 Annual Passenger Enplanements 5-20 5.6 Air Cargo Tonnage, 2000 5-21 5.7 Miles of Freight Railroad in Louisiana 5-23 5.8 Louisiana Freight Traffic, 1999 5-24 5.9 The Navigable Waterways Network in Louisiana by Major Segments 5-29 5.10 Deep-Draft Ports in Louisiana, Tonnages Handled, and National Ranking in 1999 (000 tons) 5-31 5.11 Registered Motor Carriers in Louisiana in 2001 5-33 5.12 Annual Amtrak Patronage for Louisiana Stations 5-37 5.13 Overview of Public Transportation Users, 2000 5-37 6.1 Primary Transearch Data Sources 6-1 6.2 Top Ten Imports Through Louisiana Ports 6-14 6.3 Top Ten Exports Through Louisiana Ports 6-14 6.4 2000 Domestic Tonnage by Direction 6-16 6.5 2000 International Annual Tonnage by Airport 6-17 6.6 2000 International Tonnage by Region 6-18 6.7 2000 Domestic Tonnage by Commodity (STC Classification) 6-20 6.8 Louisiana Air Cargo Forecast 2000-2020 by Airport 6-22 6.9 Louisiana Air Freight Forecast 6-24 7.1 Pavement Preservation and Rehabilitation Needs Summary 7-1 7.2 Required Budget to Maintain Current Level of Service for On-System Bridges 7-7 7.3 Priority “A” Megaprojects 7-23 7.4 Priority “B” Megaprojects 7-24 7.5 Priority “C” Megaprojects 7-25 7.6 Priority “D” Megaprojects 7-26 7.7 Preliminary List of High Priority Projects to be Funded Under the Proposed Intermodal Access Connector Program 7-26 7.8 Project Enplanements 7-30 7.9 General Aviation Based Aircraft Forecast 7-30 7.10 Air Cargo Tonnage Forecast 7-31 7.11 Survey Results - Immediate 7-40 7.12 Capacity Utilization Factors 7-42 7.13 Estimated Investment Needs 7-48 v Table of Contents TABULATIONS PAGE NO. 7.14 Louisiana Vision 2020 Benchmark 2.3.7 7-52 7.15 AMTRAK Performance and Financial Characteristics 1996-2000 7-53 7.16 Greyhound Lines 7-55 8.1 Louisiana Historical Growth Rates for Revenues Collected from Taxes on Gasoline and Special Fuels 8-7 8.2 30-Year Revenue Projection for 1 cent Tax on Motor Fuels and Special Fuels 8-8 8.3 30-Year Revenue Projection for License Plate Registration 8-10 8.4 Total Taxes and Fees for Mid-Sized Automobile 8-11 8.5 30-Year Revenue Projection for Aviation Sales Tax 8-12 8.6 30-Year Projection for Other Programs 8-13 8.7 30-Year Revenue Projection for Federal Highway Funds 8-14 8.8 30-Year Revenue Projection for Federal Earmarked Funds 8-14 8.9 Louisiana Transportation Trust Fund 8-15 8.10 30-Year Revenue Projection for Transportation Infrastructure Model for Economic Development (TIMED) Funds 8-16 8.11 30-Year Revenue Projection for Self-Generating Funds 8-16 8.12 30-Year Revenue Projection for Other Revenue Sources 8-17 8.13 All Highway Funding Sources 8-17 8.14 All Highway Funding Sources 8-20 8.15 30-Year Revenue Projection for Federal Transit Funds 8-21 8.16 30-Year Revenue Projection for Ports and Waterways Fund 8-21 8.17 Potential Transportation Funding Sources 8-33 9.1a Highway Policy Recommendations 9-4 9.1b Priority A Megaprojects (Scenario 2) 9-5 9.1c Priority B Megaprojects (Scenario 3) 9-6 9.1d Priority C Megaprojects 9-7 9.1e Priority D Megaprojects 9-8 9.1f Preliminary List of High Priority Projects to be Funded Under the Proposed Intermodal Access Connector Program 9-8 9.2 Trucking Recommendations 9-9 9.3 Aviation Recommendations 9-12 9.4 Freight Rail Recommendations 9-13 9.5 Ports and Waterways Recommendations 9-14 9.6 Surface Passenger Recommendations 9-15 9.7 ITS Recommendations 9-16 9.8 Bicycle/Pedestrian 9-17 vi ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The consultant team gratefully acknowledges the commitment, cooperation and professional contributions of the following persons, without whom this Plan would not be possible: Louisiana Investment in Infrastructure for Economic Prosperity (LIIEP) Commission The Honorable Dr.