1 1 March 2008 Marae TVNZ Maori Programmes Note to all Media : EMBARGOED until 11 am Sunday 2 March 2008 MARAE-DIGIPOLL SURVEY TVNZ Maori Programmes production, Marae recently commissioned Hamilton polls analysts DigiPoll to survey Maori voters from throughout New Zealand on their opinions towards various political issues. The survey was carried out from 7 – 27 February 2008. 1003 Maori voters were surveyed. 665 respondents are registered on the Maori Roll and 338 respondents are registered on the General Roll. The margin of error is +/- 3.1%. Question 2 of the results was put to Maori Roll voters only. The margin of error for this question is +/- 3.8% Attached also are two excel files for comparison with Q2; Excel File 1: contains breakdowns of Q2 by Maori electorate for current results, and breakdowns for same question from November 2007, April 2007 Marae-DigiPolls and Aug-Sept and Nov 2004 Marae-DigiPolls. (The last times we asked this question) Excel File 2 : contains results from the 2006 Marae-DigiPoll Maori electorate question. Because the sample sizes are small these results are indicative only. Contact : Victor Allen Researcher Marae TVNZ Maori Programmes 09 916 7544 021 316 796 [email protected] 2 Marae DigiPoll March 2008 Q1. Party Vote If an election was held today, which party would you vote for? Maori Roll General Roll Total Maori Party 49% 11% 38% Labour Party 33% 46% 37% National 9% 29% 15% Greens 2% 4% 3% NZ First 2% 4% 3% Other 0.3% 1.0% 0.6% Q2. Electorate Vote If an election was held today, and you were voting for your electorate MP, what party would your preferred candidate most likely come from ? NOTE : This question put to Maori Roll voters only. Sample size for Maori Roll voters – 665 respondents Margin of Error +/- 3.8% See Excel File 1 for Breakdown by Seat Maori Party 56% Labour 28% National 5% NZ First 4% Greens 2% ACT 0% Other 2% Q3. Preferred Prime Minister Of all political leaders in New Zealand who is your preferred Prime Minister? Maori Roll General Roll Total Helen Clark 37% 40% 38% John Key 8% 18% 11% Winston Peters 6% 8% 7% Tariana Turia 8% 0.3% 6% Pita Sharples 5% 2% 4% Other 3% 0.3% 2% None 10% 10% 10% Don’t know 19% 19% 19% 3 Q4. Of all Maori MPs in Parliament, which one do you favour most ? Maori Roll General Roll Total Pita Sharples 23% 19% 22% Tariana Turia 16% 4% 12% Winston Peters 7% 18% 10% Hone Harawira 12% 5% 10% Parekura Horomia 6% 8% 6% Te Ururoa Flavell 5% 2% 4% Nanaia Mahuta 4% 2% 4% Shane Jones 2% 3% 2% Georgina te Heuheu 1% 2% 1% Tau Henare 0% 2% 1% Dover Samuels 0% 0% 0% Mita Ririnui 0% 0% 0% Mahara Okeroa 0% 0% 0% Dave Hereora 0% 0% 0% Ron Mark 0% 0% 0% Metiria Turei 0% 0% 0% Pita Paraone 0% 0% 0% Don’t Know 14% 27% 18% Q5. In your opinion, which Maori MP is most effective in representing your views? Maori Roll General Roll Total Pita Sharples 25% 15% 22% Tariana Turia 13% 5% 11% Winston Peters 9% 14% 11% Parekura Horomia 5% 5% 5% Nanaia Mahuta 3% 2% 2% Hone Harawira 12% 4% 7% Te Ururoa Flavell 5% 3% 4% Dover Samuels 0% 1% 0% Mita Ririnui 0% 0% 0% Georgina te Heuheu 0% 2% 1% Mahara Okeroa 0% 1% 0% Ron Mark 1% 2% 1% Shane Jones 1% 2% 1% Tau Henare 0% 1% 0% Metiria Turei 0% 0% 0% Pita Paraone 0% 0% 0% Don’t Know 17% 35% 23% Q6. How satisfied are you with the government Maori Roll General Roll Total Very satisfied 5% 4% 5% Satisfied 49% 47% 49% Not satisfied 38% 38% 38% Don’t know 1% 1% 1% 4 Q7. How satisfied are you with the performance of Prime Minister Helen Clark? Maori Roll General Roll Total Very satisfied 10% 12% 11% Satisfied 49% 47% 49% Not satisfied 38% 38% 38% Don’t know 1% 1% 1% Q8. How satisfied are you with the performance of the Labour Maori MPs? Maori Roll General Roll Total Very satisfied 7% 4% 6% Satisfied 50% 53% 51% Not satisfied 37% 36% 37% Don’t know 5% 3% 4% Q9. How satisfied are you with the performance of the Maori Party MPs? Maori Roll General Roll Total Very satisfied 25% 8% 20% Satisfied 58% 52% 56% Not satisfied 12% 29% 18% Don’t know 3% 9% 4% Q10. How satisfied are you with the performance of the National Party Maori MPs, Georgina te Heuheu and Tau Henare? Maori Roll General Roll Total Very satisfied 4% 4% 4% Satisfied 41% 39% 40% Not satisfied 43% 37% 41% Don’t know 10% 19% 13% Q11. What is the most important issue for you right now ? Top 5 Maori Roll General Roll Total Education 16% 9% 14% Health 11% 18% 13% Tax Cuts 9% 16% 11% Maori Issues / Treaty 14% 3% 10% Law & Order 8% 12% 9% Q12. Every three years a general election is held where you can vote for your local Member of Parliament and your preferred political party. Did you know that a general election will be held later this year? Maori Roll General Roll Total Yes 74% 78% 75% No 24% 21% 23% Don’t Know 0% 0% 0% 5 Q13. Have you joined KiwiSaver, the work-based retirement savings plan? Maori Roll General Roll Total Yes 20% 20% 20% No 78% 79% 79% Don’t Know 1% 0% 1% Q14. Last year 41,634 New Zealanders, the largest number in 20 years, moved permanently to Australia. If the opportunity rose for you to live in Australia, would you? Maori Roll General Roll Total Yes 40% 42% 41% No 56% 56% 56% Don’t know 3% 1% 2% Q15. Tariana Turia and Pita Sharples are co-leaders of the Maori Party. In the event of change, from co-leadership to single leadership, who would you prefer as leader for the Maori Party? Maori Roll General Roll Total Pita Sharples 48% 48% 48% Tariana Turia 26% 18% 24% Hone Harawira 9% 8% 8% Te Ururoa Flavell 6% 5% 5% Don’t Know 6% 13% 8% Q16. Do you think of yourself as a Maori Roll General Roll Total New Zealander first 12% 47% 23% Maori first 76% 36% 64% Both 10% 14% 11% Don’t know 0% 1% 0% .