YouGov / Welsh Barometer Survey Results Sample Size: 1009 Adults in Wales Fieldwork: 20th - 23rd January 2020 VI : Westminster VI : Constituency VI : List Past Vote 2019 EU Ref 2016 Plaid Brexit Plaid Brexit Plaid Brexit Plaid Total Con Lab Lib Dem Con Lab Con Lab Con Lab Lib Dem Remain Leave Cymru Party Cymru Party Cymru Party Cymru Weighted Sample 1009 282 249 34 91 23 244 225 147 26 225 213 135 26 272 310 45 75 380 418 Unweighted Sample 1009 292 274 39 97 19 252 251 154 23 230 245 148 23 292 360 54 86 443 413 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % WESTMINSTER HEADLINE VOTING INTENTION Westminster Voting Intention [Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote, don't know, or refused] Con 41 100 0 0 0 0 99 3 6 14 100 2 10 20 95 1 14 7 15 72 Lab 36 0 100 0 0 0 1 95 23 0 0 95 23 4 1 83 22 1 54 14 Lib Dem 5 0 0 100 0 0 0 1 4 0 0 2 4 0 0 4 55 0 9 1 Plaid Cymru 13 0 0 0 100 0 0 1 66 0 0 2 62 0 0 8 2 88 18 5 Brexit Party 3 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 86 0 0 0 76 3 0 0 0 0 7 Green 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 7 3 3 1 Other 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 ASSEMBLY HEADLINE VOTING INTENTION: Assembly Constituency Voting Intention [Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote, don't know or refused to answer] Con 36 93 1 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 98 2 4 10 88 2 13 5 13 63 Lab 32 2 85 7 3 4 0 100 0 0 2 93 8 4 3 71 17 4 47 17 Lib 5 1 2 80 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 1 4 47 2 8 1 Plaid 20 3 12 13 95 0 0 0 100 0 0 5 85 0 3 19 16 86 27 9 Brexit Party 4 1 0 0 0 93 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 86 4 0 0 0 0 8 Green 2 0 1 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 3 7 3 4 1 Other 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 2 Assembly Constituency Other Parties Voting Intention [Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote, don't know or refused to answer] UKIP 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Socialist Labour 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Communist 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Abolish The Welsh Assembly Party 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 Gwlad Gwlad 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Other 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 1 © 2020 YouGov plc. All Rights Reserved www.yougov.com YouGov / Welsh Barometer Survey Results Sample Size: 1009 Adults in Wales Fieldwork: 20th - 23rd January 2020 Gender Age Social Grade Region Cardiff and Mid and South South Total Male Female 18-24 25-49 50-64 65+ ABC1 C2DE North South West East West Central Weighted Sample 1009 489 520 114 386 249 259 504 505 193 209 225 209 174 Unweighted Sample 1009 427 582 85 354 262 308 543 466 200 219 198 211 181 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % WESTMINSTER HEADLINE VOTING INTENTION Westminster Voting Intention [Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote, don't know, or refused] Con 41 44 39 23 31 43 59 40 43 52 42 32 38 44 Lab 36 29 43 39 48 37 19 35 37 21 30 48 42 37 Lib Dem 5 6 3 4 5 6 4 6 3 6 3 3 7 3 Plaid Cymru 13 14 11 30 11 10 9 14 10 16 19 9 8 11 Brexit Party 3 5 1 3 1 3 5 2 5 3 4 5 3 0 Green 2 1 2 1 3 1 2 2 1 2 2 1 1 3 Other 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 2 1 1 ASSEMBLY HEADLINE VOTING INTENTION: Assembly Constituency Voting Intention [Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote, don't know or refused to answer] Con 36 39 32 22 26 34 52 35 36 47 36 27 32 38 Lab 32 27 38 29 43 36 19 31 34 18 27 42 42 33 Lib 5 5 5 6 4 7 5 7 3 6 3 5 8 4 Plaid 20 20 20 39 21 18 13 22 17 24 28 18 11 19 Brexit Party 4 5 2 3 1 3 7 2 5 3 4 5 3 2 Green 2 2 3 1 3 1 3 2 2 2 2 1 3 3 Other 1 2 0 0 2 0 2 1 2 0 1 3 2 1 Assembly Constituency Other Parties Voting Intention [Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote, don't know or refused to answer] UKIP 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Socialist Labour 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Communist 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Abolish The Welsh Assembly Party 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 Gwlad Gwlad 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Other 1 2 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 1 2 1 0 2 © 2020 YouGov plc. All Rights Reserved www.yougov.com Sample Size: 1009 Adults in Wales Fieldwork: 20th - 23rd January 2020 VI : Westminster VI : Constituency VI : List Past Vote 2019 EU Ref 2016 Plaid Brexit Plaid Brexit Plaid Brexit Plaid Total Con Lab Lib Dem Con Lab Con Lab Con Lab Lib Dem Remain Leave Cymru Party Cymru Party Cymru Party Cymru Weighted Sample 1009 282 249 34 91 23 244 225 147 26 225 213 135 26 272 310 45 75 380 418 Unweighted Sample 1009 292 274 39 97 19 252 251 154 23 230 245 148 23 292 360 54 86 443 413 % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % % Assembly List Voting Intention [Weighted by likelihood to vote, excluding those who would not vote, don't know or refused to answer] Con 33 86 0 0 0 0 90 2 0 0 100 0 0 0 81 2 13 6 13 56 Lab 31 1 81 10 4 4 1 89 9 0 0 100 0 0 2 71 17 4 46 16 Lib 5 1 2 78 3 0 0 1 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 5 48 2 9 1 Plaid 19 5 12 12 87 0 2 5 84 0 0 0 100 0 5 17 11 86 26 10 Green 3 0 4 0 1 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 9 3 5 1 UKIP 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 Brexit Party 4 2 0 0 0 87 1 1 0 85 0 0 0 100 4 0 3 0 0 8 Socialist Labour 1 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 Communist 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Abolish The Welsh Assembly Party 3 5 0 0 1 6 4 0 0 11 0 0 0 0 5 1 0 0 1 6 Gwlad Gwlad 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Some other party 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 1 If there were a general election held tomorrow, which party would you vote for? Conservative 28 100 0 0 0 0 96 2 5 12 95 2 8 19 86 1 10 6 12 52 Labour 25 0 100 0 0 0 1 87 20 0 0 88 20 6 1 67 19 1 41 11 Liberal Democrat 3 0 0 100 0 0 0 1 3 0 0 1 3 0 0 3 37 0 7 1 Plaid Cymru 9 0 0 0 100 0 0 1 58 0 0 1 54 0 0 7 2 66 15 4 Brexit Party 2 0 0 0 0 100 0 0 0 82 0 0 0 75 3 0 0 0 0 5 Green 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 5 3 3 0 Some other party 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 1 Would not vote 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 1 1 3 0 1 1 2 5 5 7 Don’t know 15 0 0 0 0 0 3 7 11 6 3 7 10 0 8 17 25 19 15 17 Refused 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 2 0 0 2 3 3 © 2020 YouGov plc.