City of Redwood City Proposal for Ferry Financial Feasibility Study & Cost-Benefit and Economic Impact Analyses October 11, 2018 Acknowledgments City of Redwood City Council Members Project Team Diane Howard, Mayor Christopher Dacumos, Management Analyst II, City of Redwood City Shelly Masur, Vice Mayor Jessica Manzi, Transportation Manager, City of Alicia C. Aguirre, Council Member Redwood City Ian Bain, Council Member Radha Mehta, Management Fellow, City of Janet Borgens, Council Member Redwood City Giselle Hale, Council Member Kristine A. Zortman, Executive Director, Port of Redwood City Diana Reddy, Council Member Kevin Connolly, Planning & Development Port of Redwood City Commission Manager, WETA Arthi Krubanandh, Transportation Planner, Ralph A. Garcia, Chair WETA Richard (Dick) Claire, Vice Chair Chad Mason, Senior Planner & Project R. Simms Duncan, Port Commissioner Manager, WETA Richard “Dick” Dodge, Port Commissioner James Connolly, Project Manager, COWI Jessica Rivas, Marine Engineer, COWI Lorianna Kastrop, Port Commissioner Ashleigh Kanat, Executive Vice President, EPS San Mateo County Transportation Jason Moody, Principal, EPS Authority Kate Traynor, Senior Associate, EPS Jennifer Williams, Analyst II, San Mateo County Lindsey Klein, Project Planner, PlaceWorks Transportation Authority Charlie Knox, Principal, PlaceWorks Peter Skinner, Director of Grants and Funding, Bill Hurrell, Vice President, CDM Smith San Mateo County Transportation Authority Piyali Chaudhuri, Project Manager, CDM Smith Peter Martin, Project Technical Lead, CDM Smith Sean R. Vienna, Senior Transportation Planner, CDM Smith Eric McClellan, Senior Economist, CDM Smith Evan Bigos, Economist, CDM Smith Chiranjivi S. Bhamidipati, Transportation Planner, CDM Smith Paula F. Hirsch, Lead Administrative Assistant, CDM Smith Table of Contents Section 1 Introduction ..................................................................................................... 1-1 Section 2 Existing Conditions ........................................................................................... 2-1 2.1 Background ...................................................................................................................................... 2-1 2.2 Transportation Context .................................................................................................................... 2-2 2.2.1 Regional Commute Patterns ................................................................................................. 2-2 2.2.2 Transportation Demand Management ................................................................................. 2-4 2.2.3 Transportation Providers and Future Projects ...................................................................... 2-5 2.3 Future Transportation Projects ...................................................................................................... 2-11 2.3.1 San Mateo 101 Express Lanes Project ................................................................................ 2-11 2.3.2 Dumbarton Transportation Corridor .................................................................................. 2-12 2.3.3 BART to Silicon Valley Extension ......................................................................................... 2-12 2.3.4 BART Second Transbay Rail Crossing .................................................................................. 2-12 2.4 Redwood City ................................................................................................................................. 2-13 2.4.1 City Characteristics .............................................................................................................. 2-13 2.4.2 Major Employers in Redwood City ...................................................................................... 2-14 2.4.3 Development Trends and Pipeline ...................................................................................... 2-14 2.5 Proposed Ferry Terminal Site ......................................................................................................... 2-18 2.5.1 Ferry Terminal Requirements ............................................................................................. 2-20 2.5.2 Site Characteristics .............................................................................................................. 2-21 Section 3 Public Outreach ................................................................................................ 3-1 3.1 Phase One ........................................................................................................................................ 3-2 3.1.1 Public Outreach ..................................................................................................................... 3-2 3.2 Phase Two ........................................................................................................................................ 3-7 3.2.1 Employer Outreach ............................................................................................................... 3-7 3.2.2 Water Users Outreach .......................................................................................................... 3-8 3.2.3 Chamber of Commerce Outreach ....................................................................................... 3-11 3.3 Key Findings ................................................................................................................................... 3-11 Section 4 Ferry User Demand ........................................................................................... 4-1 4.1 Development of Service Scenarios ................................................................................................... 4-1 4.1.1 Service Scenario 1: Oakland to Redwood City ...................................................................... 4-5 4.1.2 Service Scenario 2: San Francisco to Redwood City .............................................................. 4-6 4.1.3 First and Last Mile Access Connections ................................................................................ 4-7 4.2 Travel Demand Modeling and Ridership Estimates ......................................................................... 4-8 4.2.1 Ridership Travel Demand Model .......................................................................................... 4-8 4.3 Key Findings ................................................................................................................................... 4-17 Section 5 Terminal Facility (Engineering Report)............................................................... 5-1 5.1 Ferry Terminal Requirements .......................................................................................................... 5-2 5.1.1 Design Vessels ....................................................................................................................... 5-2 5.1.2 Terminal Components ........................................................................................................... 5-2 5.2 Option 1 - North Side at Westpoint Slough Location ....................................................................... 5-6 5.3 Option 2 - West Side at Westpoint Slough Location ........................................................................ 5-8 i Table of Contents • 5.4 Comparison of Options .................................................................................................................. 5-11 5.4.1 Cost Estimates .................................................................................................................... 5-11 5.5 Key Findings ................................................................................................................................... 5-13 Section 6 Financial Analysis ............................................................................................. 6-1 6.1 Approach ......................................................................................................................................... 6-1 6.1.1 Evaluation Metrics ................................................................................................................ 6-1 6.1.2 Route Summaries ................................................................................................................. 6-1 6.1.3 Ferry Services........................................................................................................................ 6-1 6.1.4 WETA .................................................................................................................................... 6-2 6.1.5 Other Considerations ........................................................................................................... 6-2 6.2 Assumptions .................................................................................................................................... 6-3 6.2.1 Terminal Costs ...................................................................................................................... 6-3 6.2.2 Ferry Costs ............................................................................................................................ 6-4 6.2.3 Ridership ............................................................................................................................... 6-5 6.3 Financial Feasibility .........................................................................................................................