MICHIGAN’S LABOR MARKET NEWS VOL. 75, ISSUE NO. 11 JANUARY 2020 Michigan’s Foreign-Born Population and Workforce Feature Article pg. 16 Map of the Month: Foreign-Born Population Concentration pg. 15 Data Spotlight: Notes on the 2018 ACS Five-Year Estimates pg. 26 TABLE OF CONTENTS Michigan payroll jobs rebound in November due to recalls following 4 Michigan Employment and auto industry strike. Unemployment Trends 6 Michigan Job Trends by Industry Sector NOVEMBER 2019 JOBLESS RATE 10 Regional Labor Market Analysis MICHIGAN 15 Map of the Month: Foreign-Born Population Concentration 16 Feature Article: Michigan’s Foreign-Born 4.0% Population and Workforce 22 Online Job Advertisements NATIONAL 24 Relevant Rankings 26 Data Spotlight: Notes on the 2018 ACS 3.5% Five-Year Estimates BRUCE WEAVER KEVIN DOYLE LEONIDAS MUREMBYA EDITOR CONTRIBUTOR REGIONAL CONTRIBUTOR Economic Manager Employment Projections Specialist Economic Specialist [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] MARK REFFITT ERIC GUTHRIE SHIBANI PUTATUNDA PROJECT MANAGER CONTRIBUTOR CONTRIBUTOR Economic Specialist State Demographer Economic Specialist [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] HAILEY BARRUS ALAN LEACH DYLAN SCHAFER DESIGNER CONTRIBUTOR CONTRIBUTOR Communications Representative Demographic Analyst Economic Analyst [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] JEFFREY AULA EVAN LINSKEY CONTRIBUTOR CONTRIBUTOR Economic Analyst Economic Analyst [email protected] [email protected] IT’S BIGGER THAN DATA. The Bureau of Labor Market Information and Strategic Initiatives is your one-stop shop for information and analysis on Michigan’s population, labor market, and more. ● Our Federal-State Programs division runs the state’s cooperative agreements with the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and the U.S. Census Bureau, making us the official source for this information. ● Our Research and Evaluation division conducts workforce research and program evaluation, giving you the insight you need to make smarter decisions. Michigan’s jobless rate edged lower by one-tenth of a percentage point to 4.0 percent in November. Over the year, the state’s jobless rate was steady, registering no change since November 2018, while the U.S. rate was lower by two-tenths of a percentage point at 3.5 percent. Payroll jobs in Michigan rebounded in November thanks in large part to auto workers returning from a strike. Payrolls were up 18,200 over the year. This month’s feature article highlights information on Michigan’s foreign- born population. An important component of Michigan’s population and workforce, foreign-born residents have distinct characteristics when compared to the general state population and will be a critical part of future population growth in Michigan. This article examines some of these characteristics and trends, providing an update to our 2017 Michigan’s Foreign-Born Population and Workforce report. Our Map of the Month shows the concentration of foreign-born persons in the nation and within Michigan, while our Data Spotlight provides a brief overview of the recently released 2018 American Community Survey Five-Year Estimates. We hope you enjoy this edition of Michigan’s Labor Market News. Please let us know if there is something you would like to know more about. JASON PALMER DIRECTOR Bureau of Labor Market Information and Strategic Initiatives [email protected] MICHIGAN’S NOVEMBER JOBLESS RATE EDGES DOWN OVER MONTH The November seasonally adjusted Michigan Difference Between National and from February 2019 onwards, the difference unemployment rate inched down by 0.1 Statewide Jobless Rate Expands between the two rates began to build, ultimately percentage points over the month to 4.0 percent. resulting in the largest deviation over the two- The recall of workers on layoff due a strike in in 2019 year period of seven-tenths of a percentage the auto sector contributed to a 5,000 monthly A comparison of the U.S. and Michigan jobless point in September of 2019. During September, reduction in the number of Michigan unemployed. rates over the two-year period from November Michigan’s jobless rate was 4.2 percent while 2017 to November 2019 reveals an increasing the U.S. jobless rate was 3.5 percent. Between The U.S. jobless rate declined by a tenth of a deviation between the two rates through the first October 2019 and November 2019, both the percentage point over the month. Michigan’s eleven months of 2019. statewide and national jobless rates fell by a November jobless rate was half a percentage tenth of a percentage point. The difference Between November 2017 and April 2018, point above the national rate of 3.5 percent. Over between the two rates was 0.5 percentage Michigan’s jobless rate remained above that of the year, the statewide jobless rate remained points in both October and November. unchanged while the national rate fell by two- the nation, with an average rate of 4.5 percent. tenths of a percentage point. In comparison, the national average jobless rate during this period was 4.0 percent; half a SHIBANI PUTATUNDA The statewide employment level expanded in percentage point below the statewide mean. November, increasing slightly by 4,000 or 0.1 Economic Specialist percent, matching the national rate of gain. Over Jobless rates in the last half of 2018 were the year, Michigan’s total employment moved generally similar, culminating in an identical up by 52,000, or 1.1 percent, also matching the rate of 4.0 percent for both Michigan and national percent employment advance. the U.S. during January of 2019. However, 4 | STATE OF MICHIGAN | DEPARTMENT OF TECHNOLOGY, MANAGEMENT, AND BUDGET | BUREAU OF LABOR MARKET INFORMATION AND STRATEGIC INITIATIVES MICHIGAN LABOR FORCE ESTIMATES (SEASONALLY ADJUSTED) NOVEMBER OCTOBER NOVEMBER CHANGE CHANGE 2019 2019 2018 OVER THE MONTH OVER THE YEAR Labor Force 4,956,000 4,957,000 4,902,000 -1,000 +54,000 Employed 4,759,000 4,755,000 4,707,000 +4,000 +52,000 Unemployed 197,000 202,000 196,000 -5,000 +1,000 Jobless Rate 4.0 4.1 4.0 -0.1 0.0 U.S. AND MICHIGAN JOBLESS RATES, NOVEMBER 2017–NOVEMBER 2019 6.0% 5.5% MI U.S. 5.0% 4.5% 4.0% 4.0% 3.5% 3.5% 3.0% 2.5% 2.0% MICHIGAN MONTHLY SEASONALLY ADJUSTED PAYROLL JOBS, NOVEMBER 2017–NOVEMBER 2019 4,500,000 4,480,000 4,460,000 4,447,100 4,440,000 4,420,000 4,400,000 4,380,000 4,360,000 4,340,000 JANUARY 2020 | MICHIGAN'S LABOR MARKET NEWS | 5 MICHIGAN JOB TRENDS BY INDUSTRY SECTOR Monthly Overview share existed in the Manufacturing sector, where RETAIL TRADE Michigan payroll jobs rebounded by 24,800 in Michigan significantly outpaced the U.S. in the Significant hiring occurs in November in the November to 4,447,100. Much of this gain took proportion of jobs. Retail sector due to the holiday shopping place in the Manufacturing (+19,600) sector, season. In November 2019, unadjusted On average, the Government sector provided as workers returned to jobs as the strike in Retail jobs rose by 8,000, which was below 13.7 percent of total nonfarm jobs in Michigan the auto sector ended. As a result, jobs in the the typical November gain of 11,000 jobs. As while Leisure and hospitality jobs accounted for state’s Transportation equipment manufacturing a result, seasonally adjusted payrolls in this 10.0 percent. The comparable shares nationally industry recorded a sharp increase of 19,000 industry declined by 2,500 over the month. were 14.9 percent and 11.1 percent, respectively. over the month. Significant job gains were also This decrease was a combination of larger- Michigan’s share of industry employment was reported in Professional and business services than-typical job reductions in Motor vehicle and less than national proportions in the remaining (+7,000), Other services (+2,000), and Education parts dealers and Building materials and garden five major groups. and health services (+1,700). Employment equipment and supplies dealers, and lower- levels declined in Trade, transportation and Significant Industry Employment than-typical seasonal hiring in Clothing and utilities (-2,900), Leisure and hospitality (-1,800), clothing accessories stores and Sporting goods, Construction (-800), and Government (-300) Developments hobby, book, and music stores. during November. MANUFACTURING In addition, some of the jobs generated by Over the Year Analysis November job levels in the Manufacturing holiday-related online shopping were recorded (+19,600) sector rebounded following the end of in the Transportation and warehousing sector Since November 2018, the number of Michigan the labor dispute in the automotive industry. This among firms that fill orders and deliver packages. nonfarm jobs rose by 18,200 or 0.4 percent. job gain was concentrated in Transportation Since November 2018, Retail jobs have This was well below the 1.5 percent growth equipment manufacturing (+19,000), as workers declined by 6,200 or by 1.3 percent. Nationally, rate nationally during this time. In Michigan, job on strike returned to the job and other workers employment rose by 2,000 over the month but gains occurred in eight of the 11 broad industry at auto suppliers were recalled from strike- decreased by 0.2 percent over the year. sectors with the largest payroll additions reported related layoffs. These strike-related recalls were in Leisure and hospitality (+9,000), Government also evident in Primary metal manufacturing Metropolitan Statistical Areas (+6,300), and Financial activities (+5,100). and Machinery manufacturing. November job The major sectors of Other services (+3,700), (MSAs) levels were little changed in the Nondurable Professional and business services (+3,400), On a not seasonally adjusted basis, 11 of goods component, notching lower by 200 over Construction (+1,900), Information (+1,800), Michigan’s 14 Metropolitan Statistical Areas the month.