Catalogue no. 91-215-X ISSN 1911-2408 Annual Demographic Estimates: Canada, Provinces and Territories (Total Population only) 2018 Release date: September 27, 2018 How to obtain more information For information about this product or the wide range of services and data available from Statistics Canada, visit our website, www.statcan.gc.ca. You can also contact us by email at [email protected] telephone, from Monday to Friday, 8:30 a.m. to 4:30 p.m., at the following numbers: • Statistical Information Service 1-800-263-1136 • National telecommunications device for the hearing impaired 1-800-363-7629 • Fax line 1-514-283-9350 Depository Services Program • Inquiries line 1-800-635-7943 • Fax line 1-800-565-7757 Standards of service to the public Note of appreciation Statistics Canada is committed to serving its clients in a prompt, Canada owes the success of its statistical system to a reliable and courteous manner. 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Annual Demographic Estimates: Canada, Provinces and Territories (Total Population only), 2018 Notice to readers Population by age and sex will be available on December 13, 2018. Estimates released in this publication are based on the 2016 Census counts adjusted for census net undercoverage (CNU) and incompletely enumerated Indian reserves (IEIR) to which is added the estimated demographic growth for the period going from May 10, 2016 to the date of the estimate. These estimates are not to be mistaken with the 2016 Census counts. Population estimates by age and sex based on the 2016 Census counts, adjusted for CNU and IEIR, will be available on December 13, 2018. The analysis in this publication is based on preliminary data. These data will be revised over the coming years, and it is possible that some trends described in this publication will change as a result of these revisions. Therefore, this publication should be interpreted with caution. Most of the components, used to produce preliminary population estimates, are estimated using demographic models or based on data sources less complete or reliable, albeit more timely, than those used for updated or final estimates. Statistics Canada – Catalogue no. 91-215-X 3 Annual Demographic Estimates: Canada, Provinces and Territories (Total Population only), 2018 Acknowledgements The completion of this publication and the dissemination of the annual demographic estimates rests on the assiduous and meticulous work of the members of the Population Estimates Section of the Demography Division. The contribution of editorial, communications, translation and dissemination services staff of Statistics Canada was essential to the project’s achievement and is appreciated. 4 Statistics Canada – Catalogue no. 91-215-X Annual Demographic Estimates: Canada, Provinces and Territories (Total Population only), 2018 Table of contents Highlights ...................................................................................................................................6 Analysis: Total population .........................................................................................................7 Methodology ............................................................................................................................20 Quality of demographic data ..................................................................................................27 Explanatory notes for the tables ............................................................................................37 Appendix A – Glossary ............................................................................................................38 Appendix B – Sources and remarks.......................................................................................41 Related products .....................................................................................................................43 Charts and Figures Chart 1.1 Population growth rate, 1997/1998 to 2017/2018, Canada .............................7 Chart 1.2 Population growth rate, most recent annual period available,G7 countries .....8 Chart 1.3 Factors of population growth, 1997/1998 to 2017/2018, Canada ...................9 Chart 1.4 Population distribution by province or territory, July 1, 2018 ........................10 Chart 1.5 Population growth rate, 2016/2017 and 2017/2018, Canada, provinces and territories .................................................................................................11 Chart 1.6 Factors of population growth, 2017/2018, Canada, provinces and territories .................................................................................................12 Chart 1.7 New immigrants distribution by province or territory, 1997/1998 to 2017/2018 ......................................................................................................13 Chart 1.8 Interprovincial migration by province or territory, 2017/2018 ........................14 Chart 1.9 Largest interprovincial migration flows, by province or territory of origin and destination, 2017/2018 ...........................................................................15 Chart 1.10 Intercensal demographic growth rate, 2006 to 2011 and 2011 to 2016, Canada, provinces and territories ..................................................................16 Statistical tables Table 1.1-1 Annual population estimates, July 1, Canada, provinces and territories - Population ......................................................................................................18 Table 1.1-2 Annual population estimates, July 1, Canada, provinces and territories - Total growth rates ...........................................................................................18 Table 1.1-3 Annual population estimates, July 1, Canada, provinces and territories - Total growth ....................................................................................................18 Table 1.2 Annual population estimates and factors of demographic growth - Canada 18 Table 1.3 Annual estimates of components of demographic growth - Canada ............19 Table 1.4 Annual estimates of interprovincial migrants by province or territory of origin and destination, Canada, July 1, 2017 to June 30, 2018 ..............................19 Statistics Canada – Catalogue no. 91-215-X 5 Annual Demographic Estimates: Canada, Provinces and Territories (Total Population only), 2018 Highlights Total population • On July 1, 2018, Canada’s population was estimated at 37,058,856, up 518,588 in the past year (2017/2018). • An increase of this magnitude has not been seen since 1956/1957 (+529,200), a period characterized by the height of the baby boom and an influx of several thousand Hungarian immigrants. • Canada’s population growth rate of 1.4% last year was the highest since the early 1990s. • In 2017/2018, Canada’s population growth remained the highest among all G7 countries. • Last year, Canada’s international migratory increase was the highest ever recorded (+412,747), surpassing the peak of 320,750 set in 2016/2017. • The high number of both immigrants (+303,257) and net non-permanent residents1 (+165,729) was largely behind the rapid increase in Canada’s population. • In 2017/2018, international migratory increase accounted for more than three-quarters (79.6%) of Canada’s population growth. This proportion has been increasing almost steadily since the early 1990s (44.3% on average). • In 2017/2018, the population growth rate was highest in Nunavut (+2.2%) and lowest in the Northwest Territories (-0.9%). • For the first time since 2000/2001, Ontario had the highest population growth rate of all provinces (+1.8%), tied with Prince Edward Island. • Compared with the previous year, the population growth rate in 2017/2018 rose in the country’s four most populous provinces—Ontario, Quebec, British Columbia and Alberta—as well as in Nova Scotia. • Following two years of losses, Alberta started to post interprovincial migration gains again (+1,438). Ontario posted positive interprovincial migratory increase (+17,886) for a third consecutive year. 1. The number of net non-permanent residents is calculated by subtracting the number of non-permanent residents estimated at the beginning of the period from the number estimated at the end of the period. There are three main categories of non-permanent residents: work permit holders, study permit holders and refugee claimants. 6 Statistics Canada – Catalogue no. 91-215-X Chart 1.1 Population growth rate, 1997/1998 to 2017/2018, Canada Annual Demographic Estimates: Canada, Provinces and Territories (Total Population