IN THE EYE OF STORMS : ISRAEL & THE MIDDLE EAST Preliminary Agenda and Program Table of Contents Overview Plan PROGRAM 2 PLENARY SESSIONS (January 31-February 2) 3 HERZLIYA ROUNDTABLE SESSIONS (January 30-31) 10 SPECIAL EVENTS 14 EXPERT IDF FIELD TRIP (January 29) 15 *The program is preliminary and subject to change; as of January 30, 2012; speakers marked with asterisks are to be confirmed. 1 PLENARY SESSIONS HERZLIYA ROUNDTABLE SESSIONS PROGRAM SPECIAL EVENTS EXPERT IDF FIELD TRIP January 29 January 30 January 31 February 1 February 2 08:30-17:00 09:00-12:00 09:00-13:00 09:00-14:00 09:00-09:45 08:00-09:30 09:00-09:30 Expert IDF Field Trip Short-Term Scenarios Toward a New European The 2012 Herzliya Game: Oil Contemporary Challenges The Future of Long-Term Opening Briefing for the Middle East Strategy for the Middle @US$250 Savings and Pensions in East Head of the Opposition Israel Director of IDF Military Intelligence 09:45-11:15 10:00-11:30 10:00-12:30 10:00-12:30 09:30-11:00 09:45-11:15 09:45-11:15 It's the Women in Cyber Warfare The Nexus of Ethics, Auditing The Rise of Keep or Export? Economy: The National and Security in Terror and and Governance Political Islam The Gas US and Europe Security: An Social Networks Crime Performance Across the Findings and in the Global International Middle East: Israel's Energy Marketplace Perspective Arab Spring or Independence Islamist Winter 11:30-13:00 11:30-13:00 11:00-12:30 11:15-12:45 11:15-12:30 Israel and the Global Economy: No Peace, No Process: Israel- Cyber Warfare: The Ticking Galilee: Setting The Gathering Storm Palestinian Relations From Theory to Clock: Dissuading Priorities for Practice and Containing Regional Governor of the Bank of Israel Iran's Strategic Development Ambitions 13:00-16:00 13:30-16:00 13:45-15:15 13:45-15:15 13:45-15:15 13:30-14:45 13:30-14:45 Middle East 2020: Advancing Israel's Governing Israel's Israel – A Strategic Asset Oil @USD250: The The Future of Israel's Higher The Strategic Roles of the Scenarios for the Diplomatic Normalization Economy: Social for the United States? Herzliya Game Education US, Europe and NATO in the Coming Decade in the International Justice vs. Debrief Middle East Community Capitalism 16:30- 16:30-18:30 16:30-18:30 16:00 15:30-17:00 15:30-17:00 15:30-17:00 16:00-18:30 15:00-16:15 15:00-16:15 18:30 Shift to the The Libel and Inaugural Ceremony: The Post Social Facing The Strategic Strategy and Israeli R&D and the Global Iran: Will East? Can Asian Slander Act: Balance of Israel's National Protest: New Delegitimization Implications Deterrence Marketplace The Shifting Balance of Sanctions Powers Play a Should the Security Media, Citizen and Anti- of the Global in the Arab Power: Saudi Arabia, Iran, Work? Role in the professional Empowerment Semitism: Do Economic and Muslim Egypt and Turkey in the Middle East? investigating President of the State of Israel and Policy- Israeli Policies Crisis: The World Middle East media fear the Making Affect the State Rise of Asia? new of Jewish amendments? Diaspora? 18:30 17:15-18:45 17:15-18:45 16:15-17:45 Israel and the West: Foreign Market Concentration and Divine Law vs. Human Law: To where is Israel's Society HRH Prince El Hassan bin Talal Ministers Competitiveness: Toward a Level Headed? Playing Field? 19:00 19:15 18:00-20:00 19:00 The Future of the Global Zionism in the 21st Century In the Eye of Storms: Israel's National Security in a Different On Leadership Economy Middle East President of the World Bank IDF Chief of Staff Minister of Foreign Affairs of Canada Minister of Defense Prof. Clarence Johns, Stanford University Fmr. Prime Minister of Greece 19:30 19:45 20:30 20:00-20:45 Reception in Honor of The Official Opening Cocktail Reception In honor of the 110 th Anniversary of the Keren Kayemeth Herzliya Address the International Reception of the 2012 Herzliya Le'Israel-Jewish National Fund Participants of the 2012 Conference Secretary-General of the United Nations Herzliya Conference PARTICIPATION IN THE “H ERZLIYA ROUNDTABLE ” SESSIONS AND SPECIAL EVENTS IS OPEN ONLY TO EXECUTIVE OR GOLD EXECUTIVE PARTICIPANTS OR BY PERSONAL AND SEPARATE INVITATION *The program is preliminary and subject to change; as of January 30, 2012; speakers marked with asterisks are to be confirmed. 2 HERZLIYA PLENARY SESSIONS (January 31-February 2) Tuesday, January 31, 2012 15:00 HERZLIYA AUD . WELCOME AND REGISTRATION 16:00 HERZLIYA AUD . INAUGURAL CEREMONY : THE BALANCE OF ISRAEL 'S NATIONAL SECURITY Welcome: Maj. Gen. (res.) Danny Rothschild , Director, Institute for Policy and Strategy; Chair, Annual Herzliya Conference Series Opening Remarks: Prof. Alex Mintz , Dean, Lauder School of Government, Diplomacy and Strategy, IDC Herzliya; Editor-in- Chief, Political Psychology Herzliya Indices: Prof. Rafi Melnick , Provost, IDC Herzliya Prof. Gabriel Ben-Dor , Haifa University The Herzliya Assessment: Maj. Gen. (res.) Danny Rothschild , Director, Institute for Policy and Strategy; Chair, Annual Herzliya Conference Series Introduction: Prof. Rafi Melnick , Provost, IDC Herzliya Keynote Address: H.E. Shimon Peres , President of the State of Israel MC: Mr. Jonathan Davis , Vice President for External Relations and Head of the Raphael Recanati International School, IDC Herzliya 18:30 HERZLIYA AUD . Keynote Address: HRH Prince El Hassan bin Talal of Jordan (via live video conference) 19:00 HERZLIYA AUD . THE FUTURE OF THE GLOBAL ECONOMY Introduction: Mr. Chairman, Richard D. Heideman, International Advisory Board of the Herzliya Conference Interview with: The Honorable Robert B. Zoellick , President of the World Bank Moderator: Dr. Josef Joffe , Publisher-Editor, Die Zeit; Senior Fellow, Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies and Marc & Anita Abramowitz Fellow, Hoover Institution, Stanford University ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Introduction: Mr. Mark Isakowitz , President, Fierce, Isakowitz & Blalock Keynote Address: The Honorable George A. Papandreou , Fmr. Prime Minister of Greece *The program is preliminary and subject to change; as of January 30, 2012; speakers marked with asterisks are to be confirmed. 3 Wednesday, February 1, 2012 09:00-09:45 HERZLIYA AUD . CONTEMPORARY CHALLENGES Introduction: Dr. Boaz Ganor , Ronald Lauder Chair in Counter Terrorism; Executive Director, International Institute for Counter-Terrorism (ICT); Deputy Dean, Lauder School of Government, Diplomacy and Strategy Keynote Address: MK Tzipi Livni , Head of the Opposition; Fmr. Minister of Foreign Affairs 09:45-11:15 HERZLIYA AUD . 10:00-11:30 CHAIS AUD . IT'S THE ECONOMY : THE US AND EUROPE IN THE WOMEN IN NATIONAL SECURITY : AN INTERNATIONAL GLOBAL MARKETPLACE PERSPECTIVE Prof. Jacob Frenkel , Chairman, JPMorgan Chase International; IN COOPERATION WITH THE INSTITUTE FOR INCLUSIVE SECURITY Chairman, Group of Thirty (G-30); Fmr. Governor of the Bank of Hon. Dr. Marta Lucia Ramirez de Rincon , Fmr. Minister of Defense of Israel Colombia Dr. ZHU Min , Deputy Managing Director, International Hon. Elisabeth Rehn , Fmr. Minister of Defense of Finland Monetary Fund; Fmr. Deputy Governor of the People's Bank of Ms. Danielle Pletka , Vice President, Foreign and Defense Policy China Studies, American Enterprise Institute (AEI) Ms. Abby Joseph Cohen , President, Global Markets Institute Lt. Gen. (ret.) Orit Adato , Fmr. Commissioner of the Israeli Prison and Senior Investment Strategist, Goldman Sachs Service Prof. Niall Ferguson , Laurence A. Tisch Professor of History, Dr. Ofra Graicer , Center for Intelligence Research, IDF Harvard University Moderator: Ms. Lea Landman , Research Fellow, Institute for Policy Moderator: Mr. Sever Plocker , Yedioth Ahronoth and Strategy, IDC Herzliya; Acting Executive Director, WIIS Israel 11:30-13:00 HERZLIYA AUD . 11:30-13:00 CHAIS AUD . ISRAEL AND THE GLOBAL ECONOMY : THE NO PEACE , NO PROCESS : ISRAEL -PALESTINIAN GATHERING STORM RELATIONS Prof. Rafi Melnick , Provost, IDC Herzliya Hon. Robert Wexler , President, S. Daniel Abraham Center for Middle Mr. Israel Makov , Chairman of the Board, Institute for Policy East Peace and Strategy, IDC Dr. Robert Danin , Eni Enrico Mattei Senior Fellow for Middle East Dr. Yossi Bachar , Chairman of the Board, Israel Discount Bank and Africa Studies, Council on Foreign Relations Mr. Sharon Kedmi , Director General, Ministry of Industry, Mr. Jacob Perry , Chairman of the Board, Mizrahi Tefahot Bank; Fmr. Trade, and Labor Head of Israel Security Agency Mr. Doron Cohen , Acting Director General, Ministry of Finance Amb. Dr. Dore Gold , President, Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs Ms. Ayelet Nir, Chief Economist and Strategist, Psagot Mr. Adi Mintz , Fmr. Chairman, Yesha Council Investment House Moderator: Ms. Tamar Ish-Shalom , Channel 10 Moderator: Ms. Stella Korin-Lieber , Globes ---------------------- Prof. Stanley Fischer , Governor, Bank of Israel *The program is preliminary and subject to change; as of January 30, 2012; speakers marked with asterisks are to be confirmed. 4 13:45-15:15 HERZLIYA AUD . 13:45-15:15 CHAIS AUD . 13:45-15:15 ARAZI AUD . GOVERNING ISRAEL 'S ECONOMY : ISRAEL – A STRATEGIC ASSET FOR OIL @$250: THE HERZLIYA SOCIAL JUSTICE VS . CAPITALISM THE UNITED STATES ? GAME DEBRIEF Prof. Zvi Eckstein , Dean, School of Economics, MK Amb. Daniel Ayalon , Deputy Minister Mr. Yossie Hollander , Chairman, Israeli IDC Herzliya of Foreign Affairs Institute for Economic Planning Prof. Dan Ben-David , Executive Director, Taub Amb. Daniel Shapiro , Ambassador of the Sir Mark Allen , CMG, Senior Advisor for Center for Social Policy Studies; Department of United States to Israel British Petroleum (BP); Senior Associate Public Policy, Tel-Aviv University Prof. Uzi Arad , Fmr. National Security Member, St. Antony's College, Oxford MK Amir Peretz , Fmr. Chairman of the Advisor to the Prime Minister; Lauder University Histadrut Labor Union School of Government, Diplomacy, and Dr.