A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Góra, Marek; Rohozynsky, Oleksandr Research Report Restructuring and social safety nets in Russia and Ukraine - social security influence on labor mobility: Possible opportunities and challenges CASE Network Studies & Analyses, No. 397 Provided in Cooperation with: Center for Social and Economic Research (CASE), Warsaw Suggested Citation: Góra, Marek; Rohozynsky, Oleksandr (2009) : Restructuring and social safety nets in Russia and Ukraine - social security influence on labor mobility: Possible opportunities and challenges, CASE Network Studies & Analyses, No. 397, Center for Social and Economic Research (CASE), Warsaw This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/128196 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. 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They can be subject to further publication. The views and opinions expressed here reflect the author(s) point of view and not necessarily those of CASE Network. The report was prepared within a project on Economic and Social Consequences of Industrial Restructuring in Russia and Ukraine (ESCIRRU) carried out under the FP6 (Sixth Framework Program) and financed by DG Research. The project was led by the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin – German Institute for Economic Research) and partners from across the EU as well as Russia and the Ukraine. The report summarizes the results of the Workpackage WP8 – DP2 on Restructuring and Social Safety Nets in Russia and Ukraine – Social security influence on labor mobility: Possible opportunities and challenges coordinated by CASE – Center for Social and Economic Research. The content of this publication is the sole responsibility of the authors and can in no way be taken to reflect the views of the European Union or any other institutions the authors may be affiliated to. Publication was financed from the CASE Academic Excellence Program. Keywords: mobility of labour, social safety net, transition countries JEL: E24, H55, J61, J62 © CASE – Center for Social and Economic Research, Warsaw, 2009 Graphic Design: Agnieszka Natalia Bury EAN 9788371785054 Publisher: CASE-Center for Social and Economic Research on behalf of CASE Network 12 Sienkiewicza, 00-010 Warsaw, Poland tel.: (48 22) 622 66 27, 828 61 33, fax: (48 22) 828 60 69 e-mail: [email protected] http://www.case-research.eu 1 CASE Network Studies & Analyses No.397- Restructuring and Social Safety Nets in ... The CASE Network is a group of economic and social research centers in Poland, Kyrgyzstan, Ukraine, Georgia, Moldova, and Belarus. Organizations in the network regularly conduct joint research and advisory projects. The research covers a wide spectrum of economic and social issues, including economic effects of the European integration process, economic relations between the EU and CIS, monetary policy and euro-accession, innovation and competitiveness, and labour markets and social policy. The network aims to increase the range and quality of economic research and information available to policy-makers and civil society, and takes an active role in on-going debates on how to meet the economic challenges facing the EU, post- transition countries and the global economy. The CASE Network consists of: • CASE – Center for Social and Economic Research, Warsaw, est. 1991, www.case-research.eu • CASE – Center for Social and Economic Research – Kyrgyzstan, est. 1998, www.case.elcat.kg • Center for Social and Economic Research - CASE Ukraine, est. 1999, www.case-ukraine.kiev.ua • CASE –Transcaucasus Center for Social and Economic Research, est. 2000, www.case-transcaucasus.org.ge • Foundation for Social and Economic Research CASE Moldova, est. 2003, www.case.com.md • CASE Belarus - Center for Social and Economic Research Belarus, est. 2007. 2 CASE Network Studies & Analyses No.397- Restructuring and Social Safety Nets in ... Contents Abstract........................................................................................................................................ 5 1. Introduction.......................................................................................................................... 6 2. Developments and current labor mobility......................................................................... 7 2.1 Economic and SSN development in CIS ................................................................... 7 2.2 Russia......................................................................................................................... 12 2.3 Ukraine ....................................................................................................................... 14 2.4 Important common and distinct features................................................................ 18 3. Effects of social safety nets on labor mobility in Russia and Ukraine......................... 20 3.1 Social benefits individually perceived as an alternative to labor income............ 20 3.1.1 Effect on mobility between employment, unemployment, and economic activity.................. .............................................................................................................. 22 3.1.2 Effect on mobility between different sectors of economy............................. 25 3.1.3 Effect on geographical mobility of labor force ............................................... 27 3.2 Available data............................................................................................................ 28 3.2.1 Russia ................................................................................................................. 29 3.2.2 Ukraine................................................................................................................ 29 3.3 Do social safety nets reduce mobility? ................................................................... 31 3.3.1 Data Analysis, Case of Russia ......................................................................... 32 3.3.2 Data Analysis, Case of Ukraine ........................................................................ 33 4. Results of the model ......................................................................................................... 35 5. Policy lessons and conclusions ...................................................................................... 38 Tables and figures..................................................................................................................... 41 References................................................................................................................................. 48 3 CASE Network Studies & Analyses No.397- Restructuring and Social Safety Nets in ... Marek Góra is a professor of economics at the Warsaw School of Economics (SGH), where he got his Ph.D. and habilitation. He has been lecturing and conducting research at SGH since 1984. Currently, Marek Góra teaches macroeconomics, pension economics, labour economics, and economic policy for graduate and Ph.D. students. Previously, he also taught econometrics and economic forecasting. During his academic carrier, Marek Góra completed research at the London School of Economics, Erasmus University Rotterdam and Ifo Institute for Economic Research in Munich. Marek Góra is a Research Fellow at the William Davidson Institute, University of Michigan and a Research Fellow at Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA), Bonn. Marek Góra is an author of various articles in the fields of pension economics, labour economics, unemployment, labour market policies. Marek Góra is the co-author of the design of the pension reform called Security through Diversity and the leader of a team of experts who worked on the reform. Oleksandr Rohozynsky, Ph.D. in Policy Analysis (2007, Dissertation on Social Safety Net Reform in Ukraine), holds masters degrees in Applied Mathematics, Economics, Policy Analysis, and Business Administration. He is an economist and researcher with over nine year experience working in Ukraine and the US, including: leading and managing projects for Ukrainian think-tank; working with various international organizations, including World Bank, Soros International Economic Advisory Group, HIID/CASE; and providing support and advise to decision-makers in Ministry of Economy,