Global and Regional Sea Level Variability and Change Palma de Mallorca, June 10-12, 2015 Book of abstracts GLOBAL AND REGIONAL SEA LEVEL VARIABILITY AND CHANGE Palma de Mallorca, June 10-12, 2015 Global and Regional Sea Level Variability and Change Palma de Mallorca, June 10-12, 2015 Contents Keynote speakers ..................................................................................................................................... 9 Sea-level changes during past centuries reconstructed from salt-marsh sediments. Prof. Roland Gehrels, University of York, UK ............................................................................................................ 9 Considering vertical land motion in understanding sea level change. Prof. Guy Woppelmann, University of La Rochelle, France ......................................................................................................... 9 The time-mean ocean dynamic topography: How well can we measure, model, and understand it?. Prof. Chris W. Hughes, National Oceanography Centre, UK .............................................................. 10 What are the challenges facing quantifying impacts and adapting to global sea-level rise?. Dr. Sally Brown, University of Southampton, UK ............................................................................................. 10 Semi-empirical modelling of sea-level change. Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf, Postdam University, Germany ............................................................................................................................................. 11 Sea level variability: from surface gravity waves to mean sea level. Prof. Charitha Pattiaratchi, University of Western Australia, Australia ......................................................................................... 11 Modelling historical and future mean sea level change. Prof. Jonathan Gregory, University of Reading, UK ........................................................................................................................................ 12 Status and challenges on sea level monitoring and forecasting in the Mediterranean Dr. Begoña Pérez Gómez, Puertos del Estado, Spain ............................................................................................ 12 Paleo Sea Level....................................................................................................................................... 14 Oral Presentations ............................................................................................................................. 14 Holocene relative sea level changes in the Baltic Sea basin: syntheses of geological and archaeological data. Alar Rosentau .............................................................................................. 14 Sea-level highstands in Mallorca during the last interglacial. Thomas Lorscheid, Paolo Stocchi, Alessio Rovere, Lluís Gómez-Pujol, Bas de Boer, Thomas Mann, Hildegard Westphal, Joan J. Fornós ............................................................................................................................................. 14 Late Holocene sea-level change in the Falkland Islands: testing the Greenland melt hypothesis. Newton, T. L., Gehrels, W. R., Daley, T.J., Blake, W. ...................................................................... 15 Posters ............................................................................................................................................... 15 Decoding sea level changes during the MIS 5 by means of Phreatic Overgrowths on Speleothems (POS) research in coastal caves of Mallorca (western Mediterranean). Joan J. Fornós, Àngel Ginés, Joaquín Ginés, Francesc Gràcia, Yemane Asmeron, Bogdan P. Onac, Victor Polyak, Paola Tuccimei ......................................................................................................................................... 15 Fossil corals and speleothems as markers of past sea levels: towards a consistent global respository. F. D. Hibbert, E.J. Rohling, P.M. Chutcharavan, A.Dutton, F. Williams ...................... 16 Vertical Land Movements ...................................................................................................................... 16 Oral Presentations ............................................................................................................................. 16 Combination Results of the Tide Gauge Benchmark Monitoring (TIGA) Analysis Centre Re- processing Products. Addisu Hunegnaw, Norman Teferle ............................................................. 16 Global and Regional Sea Level Variability and Change Palma de Mallorca, June 10-12, 2015 Models of land uplift in northern Europe. Holger Steffen ............................................................. 17 Relative sea level history during the Holocene and models of the glacial isostatic adjustment process: constraints from the regions of forebulge collapse. Keven Roy, W.R. Peltier ................. 17 Posters ............................................................................................................................................... 18 Updated GPS vertical velocity field at tide gauges: application to global and regional sea level change. Médéric Gravelle, Alvaro Santamaria-Gomez, Marta Marcos, Phil Thompson, Guy Wöppelmann .................................................................................................................................. 18 Using InSAR to monitor vertical ground motions in coastal cities. G. Le Cozannet, D. Raucoules, G. Wöppelmann ............................................................................................................................. 18 GNSS reflectometry for tide gauge levelling. Alvaro Santamaría-Gómez, Christopher Watson, Médéric Gravelle, Matt King, Guy Wöppelmann ........................................................................... 19 Leveling for the altimetric control of tide gauge sensors and GNSS permanent stations in Barcelona’s and Ibiza’s ports. Tapia Gómez, A; López Bravo, R; Gili Ripoll JA; Martínez Benjamín, JJ; Pros LLavador, F; Palau Teixidò, V ............................................................................................. 19 A New Datum-Controlled Tide Gauge Record for Sea Level Studies in the South Atlantic Ocean: King Edward Point, South Georgia Island. Norman Teferle, Addisu Hunegnaw, Philip Woodworth, Peter Foden, Simon Williams, Jeffrey Pugh, Angela Hibbert .......................................................... 20 Mean Sea Level Observations and Processes ........................................................................................ 21 Oral Presentations ............................................................................................................................. 21 The GOCE geoid in support to sea level analysis. Thomas Gruber ................................................ 21 On the decadal trend of global mean sea level and its implication on ocean heat content change. Lee-Lueng Fu .................................................................................................................................. 21 Deep-ocean contribution to sea level and energy budget not detectable over the past decade. W. Llovel, J. K.Willis, F.W. Landerer, I. Fukumori ........................................................................... 22 Synchronization of sea level to oceanic and atmospheric forcing. Francisco M. Calafat.............. 22 Annual sea level variability of the coastal ocean: the Baltic Sea-North Sea transition zone. Marcello Passaro, Paolo Cipollini, Jerome Benveniste ................................................................... 22 Global and regional sea level change over the 20th century: How can it inform us about the 21st century? R. S. Nerem, B. D. Hamlington, F. Landerer, R. Leben, J. Willis, G. Blewitt, W. Hammond ....................................................................................................................................................... 23 A probabilistic reassessment of 20th century global mean sea level. Carling Hay, Eric Morrow, Robert E. Kopp, Jerry X. Mitrovica .................................................................................................. 23 Considerations for estimating the 20th century trend in global Mean Sea Level. Philip R. Thompson, Benjamin D. Hamlington ............................................................................................. 24 Sea level reconstruction from satellite altimetry and tide gauges using advanced signal decomposition techniques. Sandra-Esther Brunnabend, Jürgen Kusche, Roelof Rietbroek, and Ehsan Forootan .............................................................................................................................. 24 Comparing coastal and open ocean sea level variability and trend from altimetric data. A. Melet, M. Nonti, B. Chide, B. Meyssignac, F. Birol .................................................................................... 25 Global and Regional Sea Level Variability and Change Palma de Mallorca, June 10-12, 2015 Detection and attribution of global mean thermosteric sea level change. Aimée B. A. Slangen, John A. Church, Xuebin Zhang, Didier Monselesan ........................................................................ 25 Detecting anthropogenic footprints in sea level rise. Sönke Dangendorf, Marta Marcos, Alfred Müller, Eduardo Zorita,