EDI LTD (Economic Development Initiatives) FINAL REPORT Consultancy Services for the Design and Implementation of Household Survey and Community Profile for Transport Sector (RFP# QCBS/03/07) On behalf of the Millennium Challenge Account (MCA) - Tanzania November 2009 EDI (Economic Development Initiatives) Ltd Head Office Dar es Salaam Office Contact Person: PO Box 393 PO Box 105167, Dr. Joachim De Weerdt, Research Director Bukoba, Mikocheni, Tel: 0754 742494/0786 742494 Kagera, Tanzania Dar es Salaam, Tanzania Email: j.deweerdt@edi‐africa.com Tel: 028 2220059 (General line/Fax) Tel: 022 5505981 (General line/Fax) Dr Matt Wiseman, Consultant 8 02 2220078 (Finance) Email: M.Wiseman@edi‐africa.com LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS AADT Annual Average Daily Traffic BADEA Arab Bank for Economic Development in Africa CWEST Capture With Enhanced Survey Technology DID Difference‐In‐Differences DMS Database Management Supervisor DPE Database Programming Expert EDI Economic Development Initiatives FGD Focus Group Discussion FTP File Transfer Protocol HBS Household Budget Survey HQ Headquarters LG‐RICS Local Government Road Inventory and Conditions Survey LOL Ladder of Life MCA Millennium Challenge Account MKUKUTA National Strategy for Growth and Reduction of Poverty MOID Ministry of Infratructure Development PC Personal Computer PPP Purchasing Power Parity RO Research Officer RPC Research Project Coordinator RPD Research Project Director RS Research Supervisor TLU Tropical Livestock Units TSIP Transport Sector Investment Programme UMPC Ultra‐Mobile Personal Computer Consultancy Services for the Design and Implementation of Household Survey and Community Profile for Transport Sector CONTENTS PAGE General Introduction ..............................................................................................................................1 Part I: Mainland Tanzania 1. Introduction ....................................................................................................................................3 2. Evaluation Strategy....................................................................................................................4 2. Selection of Comparison Roads ......................................................................................................7 2.1 Tunduma – Sumbawanga Road ....................................................................................8 2.2 Mtwara Corridor .........................................................................................................13 2.3 Tanga – Horohoro Road ..............................................................................................16 3. Sampling Strategy .........................................................................................................................19 4. Sample .....................................................................................................................................21 5. Survey Instruments .......................................................................................................................28 5.1 Community Profile Questionnaire ..............................................................................28 5.2 Household Questionnaire ...........................................................................................29 5.3 Ladder of Life ..............................................................................................................30 5.4 Traffic Counts ..............................................................................................................32 5.5 Road Quality................................................................................................................32 6. Fieldwork Setup ............................................................................................................................33 6.1 Listing Team ................................................................................................................33 6.2Survey Teams ..............................................................................................................34 6.1 Timing of Fieldwork.....................................................................................................34 7. Descriptive Statistics ..................................................................................................................... 36 7.1 Tanga – Horohoro Road ..............................................................................................39 7.2 Tunduma – Sumbawanga Road ..................................................................................45 7.3 Mtwara corridor..........................................................................................................54 8. Matching Treatment and Comparison Vitongoji ..........................................................................68 8.1 Tanga – Horohoro Road ..............................................................................................74 8.2 Tunduma – Sumbawanga Road ..................................................................................76 8.3 Mtwara Corridor..........................................................................................................79 ii Consultancy Services for the Design and Implementation of Household Survey and Community Profile for the Transport Sector List of References................................................................................................................................119 iii Consultancy Services for the Design and Implementation of Household Survey and Community Profile for the Transport Sector LIST OF TABLES 1. Table I.1: The Distribution of the Sample in Mainland Tanzania ...............................................19 2. Table I.2: Sampled Vitongoji per Village per Stratum, Tanga – Horohoro Road .........................23 3. Table I.3: Sampled Vitongoji per Village per Stratum, Mtwara Corridor, Ruvuma Region ..........24 4. Table I.4: Sampled Vitongoji per Village per Stratum, Mbeya Region .......................................26 5. Table I.5: Sampled Vitongoji per Village per Stratum, Rukwa Region........................................27 6. Table I.6: Timing of Fieldwork.................................................................................................35 7. Table I.7: Variables in the Baseline Descriptive Analysis...........................................................37 8. Table I.8: Basic Demographics, Tanga and Mkinga Districts......................................................39 9. Table I.9: Access to Infrastructure, Tanga and Mkinga Districts................................................40 10. Table I.10: Agricultural Characteristics, Tanga and Mkinga Districts .........................................41 11. Table I.11: Health Statistics, Tanga and Mkinga Districts..........................................................42 12. Table I.12: Welfare Indicators, Tanga and Mkinga Districts......................................................44 13. Table I.13: Basic Demographics, Mbozi District .......................................................................46 14. Table I.14: Access to Infrastructure, Mbozi District..................................................................46 15. Table I.15: Agricultural Characteristics, Mbozi District .............................................................47 16. Table I.16: Health Statistics, Mbozi District .............................................................................48 17. Table I.17: Welfare Indicators, Mbozi District..........................................................................49 18. Table I.18: Basic Demographics, Sumbwanga Rural District......................................................50 19. Table I.19: Access to Infrastructure, Sumbwanga Rural District................................................51 20. Table I.20: Agricultural Characteristics, Sumbwanga Rural District ...........................................52 21. Table I.21: Health Statistics, Sumbwanga Rural District............................................................53 22. Table I.22: Welfare Indicators, Sumbwanga Rural District........................................................54 23. Table I.23: Basic Demographics, Namtumbo District................................................................55 24. Table I.24: Access to Infrastructure, Namtumbo Distric ...........................................................56 25. Table I.25: Agricultural Characteristics, Namtumbo District .....................................................57 26. Table I.26: Health Statistics, Namtumbo District......................................................................58 27. Table I.27: Welfare Indicators, Namtumbo District..................................................................59 28. Table I.28: Basic Demographics, Songea Rural District .............................................................60 29. Table I.29: Access to Infrastructure, Songea Rural Distric.........................................................61 30. Table I.30: Agricultural Characteristics, Songea Rural District...................................................62 31. Table I.31: Health Statistics, Songea Rural District ...................................................................63 32. Table I.32: Welfare Indicators, Songea Rural District ...............................................................64 iv Consultancy Services for the Design and Implementation