NAVAL RESEARCH PROGRAM NAVAL POSTGRADUATE SCHOOL 2015 ANNUAL REPORT 2015 Annual Report 16 May 2016 The information within this report is unlimited distribution, and has been prepared by: Naval Postgraduate School (NPS) Naval Research Program (NRP) Research & Sponsored Programs Office 699 Dyer Road, Bldg 234 Monterey, CA 93943 [email protected] Provided by: President, NPS: Ronald Route, VADM (USN), (Ret) Provost, NPS Provost: Dr. James Newman Dean of Research, NPS: Dr. Jeffrey Paduan NPS NRP Program Manager: Rodman Abbott, CAPT, USNR (Ret.) NPS NRP Deputy Program manager: Lt Col Lou Camardo NPS NRP National Capital Region Representative: Robert Osterhoudt, CAPT, USN (Ret.) Naval Postgraduate School Naval Research Program FY15 Annual Report MESSAGE FROM THE DEAN OF RESEARCH The Research and Sponsored Programs Office is pleased to support the Naval Research Program (NRP) in the second complete fiscal year of the program. The Naval Research Program is now an official Navy and Marine Corps chartered program, having had the charter officially signed jointly by the Chief of Naval Research and Commander, Marine Corps Battle Lab in August of 2015. The results of the research sponsored within FY15 have made significant contributions in the Department of the Navy (DON), providing input to key operational decision-makers and in areas that support cost savings in a fiscally constrained environment. The NRPs -funding and program goals are also directly in line with SECNAV’s goal to provide research to “support[s] the Navy in reaching well-informed, objective decisions on strategic, operational, and programmatic issues through collaborative research.” This report highlights salient features and activities across the spectrum of NPS NRP research activities conducted on behalf of both Navy and Marine Corps topic sponsors during the 2015 fiscal year. Each of the 43 research projects’ executive summary included herein outlines key results. While most of the summaries detail final results, some projects have multi-year project lengths and, therefore, progress to date is reported. The NRP is one critical component of the NPS research portfolio. Under the stewardship of the NPS president, it utilizes direct funding to assist the naval community while also informing NPS students and faculty about the latest operational questions. Looking forward to FY16, the program management will continue to be under the direction of Mr. Rodman Abbott. His leadership builds upon the already well established program foundations that have been laid down in FY14 and FY15. My hope is that the naval communities will join with me in the continued support and contribution of the Naval Research Program. Sincerely, Dr. Jeffrey Paduan NPS Dean of Research Naval Postgraduate School Naval Research Program FY15 Annual Report i Naval Postgraduate School Naval Research Program FY15 Annual Report ii TABLE OF CONTENTS Message From the Dean of Research ......................................................................................... i List of Abbreviations and Acronyms............................................................................................... v Naval Research Program Overview ........................................................................................... 1 Background ................................................................................................................................ 1 Organization .............................................................................................................................. 1 Mission and Goals.................................................................................................................... 2 Program Administration .......................................................................................................... 2 Accomplishments ..................................................................................................................... 3 FY15 Research Highlights ........................................................................................................... 4 Navy ........................................................................................................................................ 4 Marine Corps .......................................................................................................................... 5 United States Navy ...................................................................................................................... 7 N1: Personnel ............................................................................................................................... 7 How Japanese Negotiate: Current Practices and Their Challenges for U.S. Negotiators ......... 7 Work Life Balance in the Context of the Navy .......................................................................... 9 Improving Navy MPTE Studies with Model-Driven Big Data .................................................. 11 Social Media Use in the U.S. Navy: Opportunities and Challenges......................................... 13 Leadership Training in Virtual Worlds ..................................................................................... 19 Analysis of Suicide Behaviors in the Navy Population ............................................................ 21 N2/N6: Information Dominance ............................................................................................... 23 Integration and Optimization of UUV/USV Operations in Environmental Characterization ................................................................................................................................................. 23 Big Data Architecture and Analytics (BDAA) for Improving Combat Identification (CID) and the Common Tactical Air Picture (CTAP) ................................................................................. 25 Crowd Sourcing Human Analyst Playbooks for Insider Threat Mitigation ............................. 27 N3/N5: Plans & Strategy ............................................................................................................ 29 Maritime Strategy and Alliance Policy in East Asia ............................................................. 29 Responding to Russian Noncompliance with Nuclear Arms Control Agreements ................. 32 Responses to Chinese Naval Expansion into the Indian Ocean .............................................. 34 N4: Material Readiness & Logistics .......................................................................................... 37 CAD Interoperability for Navy Reuse in X3d Printing, Maintenance and Training ................. 37 Developing a Paradigm for High Energy Density Capacitive Energy Storage ......................... 39 Energy Management Systems to Reduce Electrical Energy Consumption ............................. 41 Energy Management Systems to Reduce Electrical Energy Consumption - Analysis ............. 42 Graphitic Oxide and Graphene as Enhancers for Energetic Mixtures .................................... 43 Study of Graphite Oxide and Graphene as Enhancers for NATO F-76 and Biofuel ................ 46 Aircraft Carrier Group (CVN) Speed of Advance Project ......................................................... 49 Removal of the Plan of Intended Movement (PIM) Moving Window .................................... 50 Fleet Training Fuel Efficiency Metrics & Cost Benefit of Conus Hot Fuel Pit Sites ................. 52 N8: Integration of Capabilities & Resources ........................................................................... 53 Developing Synthetic Theater Operations Research Model (STORM) Analytic Utility, Phase II ................................................................................................................................................. 53 Naval Postgraduate School Naval Research Program FY15 Annual Report iii N9: Warfare Systems ................................................................................................................. 56 Representing Uncertainty of Hierarchical and Response Surface Models to Improve Design of Experiment .......................................................................................................................... 56 Analysis of Pricing Models in the Defense Industry to Support Cost Projection .................... 58 Atmospheric Characterization of the Marine Base Layer for a Submarine Based High Energy Laser ........................................................................................................................................ 60 Integration of a High Energy Laser into the Virginia Class Submarine.................................... 61 Traceability of Funding Lifecycle ............................................................................................. 63 ASN (RDA): Research, Development & Acquisition ................................................................. 69 Ballistic Missile Submarine Surface-Transit ............................................................................ 69 High Energy Laser Employment in Self Defense Tactics on Naval Platforms.......................... 71 Developing Resilience in a Ready Force: Assessments and Intervention ............................... 72 Developing Flag Officers of 2025 and Beyond ........................................................................ 74 Climate Change Effects on Navy Island Bases ........................................................................