2-1 2R2.1.30 2(2020)130 1 1. n l l l 2 1. 1.1 n n l l • • • • • • n l n l • n l 3 1. 1.1 n l l NSSLNational Security Space Launch Evolved Expendable Launch Vehicle (EELV) CRSCommercial Resupply Services CCPCommercial Crew Development DoD:Department of Defense NRO:National Reconnaissance Office A-2. 4 1. 1.1 n l q NASA ⁻ Flight Opportunities(FO) Award(15M) ⁻ Venture Class LaunCh ServiCes(VCLS) RoCket Lab$6.9MVirgin Orbit$4.7M ⁻ SBIR/STTR » SBIR Small Business Innovation ResearCh1 A-15. NASA 20173.2% » STTRSmall Business TeChnology Transfer: 10 20160.45% q DARPA DARPA Launch ChallengeDLC ⁻ 2020 ⁻ VeCtor SpaCeVoX SpaCe3 A-16. DLC 5 1. 1.1 n l l l NASA2015 AFRL 6 1. 1.2 n <>European Space Policy2007 • • ⁻ Ariane 5 ESA Vega SoyuZ ⁻ <>Space Strategy for Europe2016 • autonomousEU ⁻ ⁻ ⁻ EU ⁻ n ESA l Future LaunChers Preparatory Programme (FLPP) 2003 ⁻ 5 ⁻ ⁻ ⁻ ⁻ l FLPP 7 1. 1.3 n 2016(China‘s Space Activities in 2016)5 5/ / (CALT) 2017-2045 2020(LMCZ) 8 2025 2030SR 2040 2045 8 1. 1.4 n l 2030 l l 5 l 2016-2025 • • • • (3) 9 1. 1.5 n l (ISRO)SLVASLVPSLV GSLV, GSLV MkIII l 20192(Department of SpaceDOS) ISRODOS • (Small Satellite Launch Vehicle: SLV) • (Polar SLV) • • n l DOSISRO Semi-CryogeniC ProjeCt 200/ Reusable LaunCh VehiCle - TeChnology Demonstrator (RLV-TD) 2016 India’s Human SpaCe Flight GSLV MkIII2022 10 2. n l l l l l l 11 71.6m 60.6-75.5m 70m 58.3-69.5m 58.2m 59m 54.8m 49m 52.5-56.3m 53m 49.5m 43m 56.6m TsSKB- Khruniche ULA ULA SpaceX Airbus KBKhA Yuzhmash ISRO CALT MHI Progress v 2.6 10.1t 2.76.9t 3.626.7t 10.5t 3.2t 6.2t 5.4-7.3t 3.66.1t 2.7-4t 2.95.5t 5.5t※1 1037/106 8 9/10 80/81 80/82 101/106 98/109 1/1 71/84 12/17 106/109 47/48 22/23(CSG ) 97% 90% 99% 98% 95% 90% 100% 85% 71% 97% 98% 96%(CSG) 2004 2002 2010 1996 1966 2001 2014 1999 2001 1984 2001 (2020111) GTO36,000km ※1ΔV=1800m/s 12 111m 118m 95m 58.3-69.5m 66m 63m 63m 59.8m 62m Starship/Sup Irtysh SLS Vulcan New Glenn OmegA Ariane6 9 H3 er Heavy (Soyuz-5) Boeing, Northrop RKK Energia, Orbital ATK, Grumman ULA SpaceX Blue Origin TsSKB- Arianespace CALT MHI Aerojet Innovation Progress Rocketdyne Systems 13t※2 4.9-10.1t 5t 66t 7.4-16.3t※1 4.5-12t 6.5t (LEO:130t) (LEO:250t) (2) 5.25-7.8t (LEO:16-18t) (LEO:140t) 2021 2021 2022 2021 2021 2024 2020 2020 (2020111) 1ΔV=1800m/s 2ΔV= 13 44m 34.3m 29.9m 26.0m 16m 16.9m 14.8m 9.5m Electron Pegasus Vega Dnepr PSLV OS-M1 SS520 Northrop Rocket Lab Avio ISRO OneSpace IA Grumman 590kg 150-225kg 325kg 1,430kg 2,300kg 1,750kg 112kg 4kg 9/10 39/44 14/15 21/22 47/50 0/1 4/4 3/4 90% 89% 93% 95% 94% 0% 100% 75% 2017 1994 2012 1999 1993 2019 2013 2017 (2020111) 14 34m 35m 29m 29m 25m 22m 18m 20.7m Alpha1.0 Launcher-One TERRAN1 SSLV VegaC Miura-5 SpaceOne ZERO Firefly Relativity Virgin Orbit ISRO Avio PLD Space SpaceOne Aerospace Space 600kg 300-500kg 700kg 300kg 2,200kg 83kg 150kg 100kg 2020 2020 2021 2020 2020 2022 2021 2022-2023 (2020111) 15 2. 2.1 (1) n n n n Falcon 9 ©SpaceX ©SpaceX ©SpaceX©SpaceX ©ULA ©ULA 2018 ULA Falcon Heavy BRYCE “2018 Orbital Launches Atlas V Delta IV : Falcon 9 Year in Review” 16 2. 2.1 (2) n n l n n l AR-2220181010 ©Boeing ©Blue Origin ©Blue Origin ©ULA ©Boeing ©Aerojet Rocketdyne Blue originNew ULAVulcan DARPAXS-1 Glenn1 1 17 2. 2.1 (2) n l Starship l l ü m 118 ü × Super Heavy 18.4 m m 18.4 ©SpaceX ©SpaceX ©SpaceX ©SpaceX ©SpaceX Raptor Starhopper Starship Super Heavy 18 2. 2.1 (2) n n Block1 Block1B Crew Block1B Cargo Block2 Crew Block2 Cargo () ( 2020~ 2028~ 2028~ TBD TBD Orion/ 26t 34-37t 37-40t >45t >45t ※ 286m3 ※ 537m3 ※ 286m3 ※ 905m3 ※ A-1 Space Launch SystemSLS 19 2. 2.1 (3) n n l n n ©Rocket Lab ©Relativity Space Rocket LabElectron Virgin orbit Relativity Space LauncherOne Terran 1 20 2. 2.1 (4) n n n n n ©NASA ©NASA ©DARPA ©SNC Orion - DARPAX-37B Dream Chaser 21 2. 2.1 (5) n l n l l ©LoCkheed Martin ©Boeing TBCC LMSR-72 Boeing 22 2. 2.2 (1) n Ariane5SoyuZVega3 n Ariane 5 SoyuZ Ariane 6 2020 l Ariane 6Ariane59 l GTO 5tonSSO800km 5.5tonA62GTO11ton A642 l (GEO)4.5 n Vega Vega C 2020 4 13 4 1 Ariane 6 Ariane 5 Soyuz Vega Ariane 64 Ariane 62 Vega-C GTO:10.5t SSO:4.4t SSO:1.3t GTO:11.5t SSO:6.0t SSO:2.08t (ΔV=1.5km) (820km) (800km) (ΔV=1.5km) (800km) (800km) © ArianeSpace 23 2. 2.2 (2) n Ariane6Ariane 6 l CALLISTO, Prometheus, Themis1 l 20251 u Prometheus(): ESACNES u CALLISTO: CNES/DLR/JAXA1 u Themis() CNESArianeGroupCALLISTO Prometheus u Icarus Ariane 6 Jean Marc ASTORG(CNES/DLA) “CNES FUTURE LAUNCHER ROADMAP” 24 2. 2.2 (3) n l FLPP(Future LaunCher Preparatory Program) n l PLD SpaCe(MIURA 1)300kg (MIRUA 5) l • n l SpaCeport ©ORBEX ©PLD Space ©ORBEX © Sutherland spaceport PLD SpaceMIURA 5 ORBEXPrime Sutherland spaceport 25 2. 2.2 (4) n SABRE l 80BoeingRolls RoyCe36 n SABRESkylonLAPCAT IILong-Term AdvanCed Propulsion ConCepts and TeChnologies II Skylon n l LEO 17GTO 7.32200 LAPCAT II n ReaCtion EnginesSABREScimitar5300 © ReaCtion Engines © EC Skylon LAPCAT-A2 © ReaCtion Engines 26 2. 2.2 (5) n n ATVOrion20202021 n Intermediate eXperimental VehiCle(IXV)2015 l IXVSpaCe Rider n SpaCe RiderVEGA-C l © NASA © ESA © ESA ATVOrion IXV Space Rider 27 2. 2.3 (1) n l 2019323308 l 201837201921 l 20032F n 5GTO:14 ton LTO:8.2 ton 11SSO:350 kg l 520193220204 5 l 1120196 40 323 30 308 15 20 95% 10 0 © CALT © CALT 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 5 11 28 2. 2.3 (1) n 1 n 18 l 10-20 l 2019122 n 55B LEO 25ton l n 2030-2050SLS9GTO 66ton LEO 140ton LTO 50ton2028 ©CCTV )9SLS 818 9 bloCk1 29 2. 2.3 (2) n 2014 l n 20197iSpaCeHyperbola-1 n 2019LinkspaceSpaCe Transportation l LinkspaCe1300m20198 l SpaCe Transportation26.2km20198 © ispaCe © ispaCe ©LinkSpaCe ©LinkSpaCe © SpaCe Transportation ispaceHyperbola-1 Space Transportation Linkspace 1 30 2. 2.3 (3) n CASC(China AerospaCe SCienCe and TeChnology Corporation l 2025 l 2030122035 l 2040 © 31 2. 2.3 (4) n l CASIC2 Tengyun l CASCTERE l XTER20194 © CASC © CASIC • • CASC © SpaCe Transportation CASIC2 Turbo-aided RroCket-augmented • 4~6 Ram/sCramjet EengineTRRE Tengyun • 2020 (TBCC) • 2 2030 • 201941 5 3.5 Tengyun TRRE XTER 32 2. 2.4 n n n 3 50m 2 40m 30m 20m 10m SoyuZ FG SoyuZ FG SoyuZ2.1a/b SoyuZ2.1v ProtonM Proton Angara AngaraA3 AngaraA5 Irtysh Crewed Fregat Medium 1.2 (SoyuZ 5.1/5.3) • 1966 • 1967 • • • ⁻ SoyuZ FG ProtonM • 20141.2 • 5ton(GTO)17.3t(LEO) ⁻ SoyuZ2.1 • ProtonMedium/ Federation • 2011 Light A5 33 2. 2.5 n l l 50m 40m 30m 20m 10m PSVL-XL GSLV Mk II GSLV Mk III SSLV PSLV GSLV Mk II/Mk III SSLV • 413 • PSLV N2O4/UH25 • 2m34m 24 LOX/LH23 120t3 • 1.86ton(475kmSSO) 3 (4) • 1$30M2 • • 500km45 ⁻GSLV MkII: 2.2ton(GTO) LEO500kgSSO300kg ⁻GSLV MkIII: 4.0ton(GTO) • 2022MkIII 34 2. 2.5 n (RLV-TD) RLV-TD: Reusable LaunCh VehiCle-TeChnology Demonstrator l l 20165ISRO65km5 n (SCramjet Engine TeChnology Demonstrator) l l 20168 6(6) 4 © ISRO © ISRO © ISRO © ISRO RLV-TD Scramjet Engine Technology Demonstrator 35.