Gold Coast Rapid Transit 8 Transport and Traffic Impacts This document has been prepared specifically for TransLink in relation to this Project and should not be relied upon by other parties nor used for any other purpose without the specific permission of the Gold Coast Rapid Transit Project Team. REVISION SCHEDULE Rev. Date Description Prepared Reviewed Approved No. By By By 1.0 30 June 08 PRELIM DRAFT PK LSS / GM 2.0 29 August 08 REVISION 2 – DRAFT LSS LSS 3.0 6 Sept 08 REVISION 3 – DRAFT DB / LSS LSS 4.0 19 February 09 REVISION 4 - FINAL LSS LSS LSS Gold Coast Rapid Transit Concept Design Impact Management Plan Volume 2 Chapter 8 – Traffic and Transport Contents 1. Introduction 1 1.1 Background and Context 1 1.2 Previous Work 4 1.3 Terms of Reference (ToR) 5 1.4 Methodology 5 1.5 Sections of the Chapter 6 2. Transport and Traffic Demand Forecasting 7 2.1 Overview 7 2.2 Strategic Transport Modelling Methodology 9 2.3 Simulation Modelling Methodology 13 3. Existing Transport System 17 3.1 Travel Demand, Characteristics and Trends 17 3.2 Road Network 22 3.3 Public Transport 41 3.4 Pedestrians and Cyclists 49 3.5 Parking 55 4. The Project 59 4.1 Description of the Project 59 4.2 Services 59 4.3 Other Projects 67 5. Future Overview and Project Need 68 5.1 Demographics 68 5.2 Land Use 71 5.3 Drivers for the Project 72 5.4 Strategic Justification 72 5.5 Opportunity – Consequences of Delay 73 5.6 The Strategic Network 74 6. Future Situation without the GCRT System 77 6.1 Travel Demand and Network Performance 77 Vol 2 Chp 8 – i Gold Coast Rapid Transit Concept Design Impact Management Plan Volume 2 Chapter 8 – Traffic and Transport 6.2 Road Network 79 7. Impacts of the GCRT System 93 7.1 Travel Demand and Network Performance 93 7.2 Future Public Transport Assessment 99 7.3 Future Road Network Assessment 125 7.4 Local Access Effects 138 7.5 Future Pedestrian and Cyclist Assessment 144 7.6 Future Parking Assessment 149 8. Conclusions 155 Vol 2 Chp 8 – ii Gold Coast Rapid Transit Concept Design Impact Management Plan Volume 2 Chapter 8 – Traffic and Transport Figures Figure 8-1 Study Area 3 Figure 8-2 Model Interaction 8 Figure 8-3 Road Network Model Validation (2006 Base Year Model) 12 Figure 8-4 Study Area Extent (GCRT VISSIM Model) 14 Figure 8-5 GCRT VISSIM Travel Time Validation (Southbound – PM Peak) 16 Figure 8-6 GCRT VISSIM Travel Time Validation (Northbound – PM Peak) 16 Figure 8-7 Population Distribution 18 Figure 8-8 Employment Distribution 20 Figure 8-9 Key Activity Generators 21 Figure 8-10 Existing Road Hierarchy (Gold Coast City Transport Plan) 23 Figure 8-11 Rapid Transit Alignment Details 25 Figure 8-12 Existing daily weekday Gold Coast Highway (Sundale Bridge) traffic flow profile - (DMR Streams Intersection Counts, 2006) 29 Figure 8-13 Existing daily weekday Gold Coast Highway (Sth of T.E Peters Drive) traffic flow profile - (DMR Streams Intersection Counts, 2006) 29 Figure 8-14 Traffic Volume Profile on Key Corridors (Strategic Transport Model) 31 Figure 8-15 Existing Bus Route Services (GCRT Bus Network Strategy Report) 42 Figure 8-16 Existing daily weekday Gold Coast Highway (Bus Route 700) public transport patronage loading profile (TransLink Ticketing Database, October 2006) 45 Figure 8-17 Gold Coast Railway Upgrade and Extension 49 Figure 8-18 Existing Cycling Facilities along the GCRT corridor 52 Figure 8-19 Existing Pedestrian Hotspots along the Rapid Transit Corridor 54 Figure 8-20 Existing Parking along the GCRT Corridor 56 Figure 8-21 GCRT System Physical Infrastructure 60 Figure 8-22 Growth Areas and Changes in Population 69 Figure 8-23 Employment Density in 2026 70 Figure 8-24 Key improvements planned for the Gold Coast Transport Infrastructure (Source?) 76 Figure 8-25 GCRT System Morning Peak Passenger Boarding Catchments (2026) (Strategic Transport Model) 100 Figure 8-26 GCRT System Evening Peak Passenger Boarding Catchments (2026) (Strategic Transport Model) 101 Vol 2 Chp 8 – iii Gold Coast Rapid Transit Concept Design Impact Management Plan Volume 2 Chapter 8 – Traffic and Transport Figure 8-27 Forecast Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) System Daily Patronage 106 Figure 8-28 Forecast Light Rapid Transit (LRT) System Daily Patronage 107 Figure 8-29 Modelled LRT Travel Times AM Peak Period (Year 2011) 110 Figure 8-30 Modelled LRT Travel Times PM Peak Period (Year 2011) 110 Figure 8-31 Modelled BRT Travel Times AM Peak Period (Year 2011) 111 Figure 8-32 Modelled BRT Travel Times PM Peak Period (Year 2011) 111 Figure 8-33 2011 Bus Network Strategy without the GCRT System 121 Figure 8-34 2011 Bus Network Strategy with the GCRT System 122 Figure 8-35 2016 Bus Network Strategy with the GCRT Corridor 123 Figure 8-36 2026 Bus Network Strategy with the GCRT System 124 Figure 8-37 Local Access Effects (Section 2) 139 Figure 8-38 Local Access Effects (Section 3) 140 Figure 8-39 Local Access Effects (Section 3 continued) 141 Vol 2 Chp 8 – iv Gold Coast Rapid Transit Concept Design Impact Management Plan Volume 2 Chapter 8 – Traffic and Transport Tables Table 8-1 Public Transport Matrix Validation (2006 Base Year Model) 11 Table 8-2 VISSIM Model Travel Time Validation Results 15 Table 8-3 Key Activity Clusters along the Rapid Transit Corridor 19 Table 8-4 Road Hierarchy along the Rapid Transit Corridor 22 Table 8-5 Existing Road Characteristics 26 Table 8-6 Existing Traffic Volumes – Rapid Transit Corridor (Strategic Transport Model) 28 Table 8-7 Existing Traffic Volumes – Other Key Roads (Strategic Transport Model) 30 Table 8-8 Average weekday commercial vehicle percentages (TTM Survey, 2007) 32 Table 8-9 Level of Service Definitions 33 Table 8-10 Link Performance – Rapid Transit Corridor 33 Table 8-11 Link Performance – Other Key Roads 34 Table 8-12 Intersection Performance – GCRT Corridor 36 Table 8-13 Intersection Performance – Adjacent to Rapid Transit Corridor 38 Table 8-14 Selected Travel Time Routes for Private Motor Vehicles 39 Table 8-15 Current Estimated Travel Times for Selected Routes for Motor Vehicles 40 Table 8-16 Existing Line-Haul Bus Routes 43 Table 8-17 Existing Cross-Town Bus Routes 43 Table 8-18 Existing Local Bus Routes 44 Table 8-19 Bus Interchanges along the Rapid Transit Corridor 46 Table 8-20 Existing Daily Public Transport Patronage along/adjacent to GCRT Corridor (TransLink Surveys, May 2006) 46 Table 8-21 Rail Services 47 Table 8-22 Rail / Bus Integration 48 Table 8-23 Rapid Transit Corridor Cycle Network Hierarchy Classification 51 Table 8-24 Pedestrian Counts at Mid-Block Locations (Stated Preference and Pedestrian Survey Report, Bitzios Consultion 2007) 53 Table 8-25 Pedestrian Counts at Intersections (TTM Survey, 2007) 55 Table 8-26 Description of Existing On Road Car Parking along Rapid Transit Alignment 57 Table 8-27 Rapid Transit Stations 61 Vol 2 Chp 8 – v Gold Coast Rapid Transit Concept Design Impact Management Plan Volume 2 Chapter 8 – Traffic and Transport Table 8-28 Mid-Block Configuration 62 Table 8-29 Intersection Changes 64 Table 8-30 Population Forecasts 68 Table 8-31 Future Land Use along the GCRT Corridor 71 Table 8-32 Relevant Policies and Strategies for the Gold Coast Region 72 Table 8-33 Transport Plan Mode Share Targets 73 Table 8-34 PM Peak Period Travel Time Assessment (VISSIM Modelling – Do Nothing) 74 Table 8-35 Overall Network Performance without the Rapid Transit System 77 Table 8-36 Network Performance without the Rapid Transit System (Typical Weekday) 78 Table 8-37 Public Transport Trips to / from key Gold Coast activity centres 79 Table 8-38 Daily Private Vehicle Trips to / from key Gold Coast activity centres 79 Table 8-39 Future Daily Traffic Volumes – Rapid Transit Corridor 81 Table 8-40 Future Evening Peak Period Traffic Volumes – Rapid Transit Corridor 81 Table 8-41 Future Daily Traffic Volumes – Other Key Roads 82 Table 8-42 Future Evening Peak Period Traffic Volumes – Other Key Roads 83 Table 8-43 Link Performance – Rapid Transit Corridor 84 Table 8-44 Link Performance – Other Key Roads 85 Table 8-45 PM Peak Period Travel Time Assessment (VISSIM Modelling – Do Nothing) 87 Table 8-46 PM Peak Period Network Performance Assessment (VISSIM Modelling – Do Nothing) 88 Table 8-47 Intersection Performance – GCRT Corridor 89 Table 8-48 Intersection Performance – Other Key Intersections 91 Table 8-49 Overall Network Performance with the Rapid Transit System (Section 2 and 3 Only) 93 Table 8-50 Network Performance Comparison with and without the Rapid Transit System 94 Table 8-51 Network Performance with the Rapid Transit System (Section 2 and 3 Only) 94 Table 8-52 Network Performance Comparison with and without the GCRT system 95 Table 8-53 Public Transport Trips to / from key Gold Coast activity centres (w/ GCRT) 96 Vol 2 Chp 8 – vi Gold Coast Rapid Transit Concept Design Impact Management Plan Volume 2 Chapter 8 – Traffic and Transport Table 8-54 Comparison of Public Transport Trips with and without the GCRT system 96 Table 8-55 Private Vehicle Trips to / from key Gold Coast activity centres with and without the GCRT system 98 Table 8-56 Comparison of Private Vehicle Trips with and without the GCRT System 98 Table 8-57 GCRT System Indicative Service Frequency 99 Table 8-58 Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) System Patronage – Station Movements (Section 2 & 3 Only) 102 Table 8-59 Light Rapid Transit (LRT) System Patronage – Station Movements (Section 2 & 3 Only) 103 Table 8-60 Forecast Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) System Patronage - Total Volumes 105 Table 8-61 Forecast Light Rail Transit (LRT) System Patronage - Total Volumes 106 Table 8-62 Rapid Transit 2011 AM Peak Period