Chapter 14 Socio-Economics Abergelli PEIR 2018 – CHAPTER 14: SOCIO-ECONOMICS CONTENTS 14. Socio-Economics ............................................................................................... 3 14.1 Introduction ............................................................................................... 3 14.2 Changes since the 2014 PEIR .................................................................. 3 14.3 Legislation, policy and guidance ............................................................... 3 14.4 Methodology .............................................................................................. 5 14.5 Baseline Environment ............................................................................. 14 14.6 Embedded Mitigation ............................................................................... 17 14.7 Assessment of Effects – Socio-economics .............................................. 17 14.8 Assessment of Effects – Tourism and Recreation ................................... 25 14.9 Assessment of Effects: Community Infrastructure ................................... 31 14.10 Mitigation and Monitoring ...................................................................... 31 14.11 Significance of effects ............................................................................ 32 14.12 Residual Effects ..................................................................................... 32 14.13 Cumulative Effects ................................................................................. 37 14.15 References ........................................................................................... 41 TABLES Table 14-1: A summary of Changes since the 2014 PEIR to the Socio-Economic Assessment ................................................................................................................ 3 Table 14-2: Summary of consultation responses that have informed the scope and methodology of the socio-economic assessment ....................................................... 5 Table 14-3 Socio-economic Sensitivity Criteria ........................................................ 10 Table 14-4 Tourism Sensitivity Criteria ...................................................................... 11 Table 14-5 Community Infrastructure Sensitivity Criteria ........................................... 11 Table 14-6 Socio-economic Magnitude of Impact Criteria ......................................... 11 Table 14-7 Tourism Magnitude of Impact Criteria ..................................................... 12 Table 14-8 Community Infrastructure Magnitude of Impact Criteria ......................... 13 Table 14-9 Significance of Effect .............................................................................. 14 Table 14-10 GB Day Visits and Expenditure: 2013-2015 averages .......................... 15 Table 14-11 GB Overnight Trips and Spend by Local Authority - Swansea .............. 15 Table 14-12 Key Visitor Attractions in South West Wales ......................................... 15 Table 14-13 Workers Month, Person Year and Permanent Job Equivalents ............ 18 Table 14-14 Peak and Median Workers on Site ....................................................... 18 Table 14-15 Accommodation Capacity ..................................................................... 19 Table 14-16 Labour Market Absorption Capacity: Construction & Operational Phases (30; 45 and 60-minute drive times) .................................................................................. 21 Table 14-17 Accommodation Capacity ..................................................................... 22 Table 14-18 Power Generation Plant: Construction/Decommissioning .................... 26 Table 14-19 Power Generation Plant: Operation ...................................................... 27 Table 14-20 Gas Connection: Construction/Decommissioning ................................. 28 Table 14-21 Gas Connection: Operation .................................................................. 29 Table 14-22 Electrical Connection: Construction/Decommissioning ......................... 30 Table 14-23 Electrical Connection: Operation .......................................................... 31 Table 14-24: Socio-Economic Summary of Effects Arising during Construction/Decommissioning Phase ..................................................................... 33 Table 14-25: Summary of Residual Effects during Operation – Socio-Economic ..... 33 Prepared for: Abergelli Power Limited AECOM 14-1 Abergelli PEIR 2018 – CHAPTER 14: SOCIO-ECONOMICS Table 14-26 Summary of Residual effects – Tourism/Recreation, Construction/Decommissioning Phases ................................................................... 34 Table 14-27 Summary of residual effects – Tourism/Recreation, Operational Phase 35 Table 14-28 Summary of Residual Effects – Community Infrastructure, Construction/Decommissioning Phases ................................................................... 36 Table 14-29 Summary of Residual Effects – Community Infrastructure, Operational Phase ................................................................................................................................. 36 Table 14-30 Cumulative Projects .............................................................................. 37 Table 14-31 Cumulative Projects Absorption Capacity (30; 45 and 60-minute drive times) ................................................................................................................................. 40 FIGURES Figure 14.1: Socio-Economic Study Area Figure 14.2: Tourism/Business Survey Study Area Figure 14.3: Community Infrastructure Study Area Figure 14.4: Tourism Audit Figure 14.5: Community Infrastructure Audit – Schools Figure 14.6: Community Infrastructure Audit – GP Surgeries and Hospitals Figure 14.7: Community Infrastructure Audit – Pharmacies Figure 14.8: Community Infrastructure Audit – Dentists and Recreation & Arts Figure 14.9: Net Additionality Framework APPENDICIES Appendix 14.1: Socio-Economic Baseline Appendix 14.2: Tourism Business Survey Appendix 14.3: Community Infrastructure Audit Prepared for: Abergelli Power Limited AECOM 14-2 Abergelli PEIR 2018 – CHAPTER 14: SOCIO-ECONOMICS 14. Socio-Economics 14.1 Introduction 14.1.1 This chapter provides a preliminary assessment of the likely socio-economic effects arising from construction, operation, maintenance and decommissioning of the Project. 14.1.2 A detailed description of the Project Site and the Project is provided in Chapter 3: Project and Site Description. Appendix 14 includes further detail to accompany this chapter. a) Objectives of the assessment 14.1.3 The objectives of the assessment were to assess the likely significant effects on the labour market, tourism economy, and community infrastructure arising from the construction; and the operation, maintenance and decommissioning phases of the Project. 14.2 Changes since the 2014 PEIR 14.2.1 There have been changes to the Project as a result of design evolution and consultation as detailed in Chapter 3: Project and Site Description. To aid the reader, Table 14-1 below outlines the changes to this assessment compared with the 2014 PIER. Table 14-1: A summary of Changes since the 2014 PEIR to the Socio-Economic Assessment Section Section Changes since the 2014 PEIR Reference Socio-economic: The socio-economic baseline has been updated. Tourism: Audit of tourism receptors updated with Paintball Baseline Activity Centre added. Tourism volume and value updated Section 14.5 using most recently available data, Community Infrastructure: Audit of community infrastructure receptors updated using most recently available data. Approach to assessing socio-economic and tourism, and Methodology associated impacts is consistent with the 2014 PEIR Section 14.4 assessment. No significant labour market or tourism and recreation or Section 14.7 Significance community infrastructure effects are expected. This is of Effect consistent with the 2014 PEIR. 14.3 Legislation, policy and guidance 14.3.1 This section identifies and describes legislation, policy and guidance of relevance to the assessment of the potential socio-economic impacts associated with the construction, operation & maintenance and decommissioning of the Project. Prepared for: Abergelli Power Limited AECOM 14-3 Abergelli PEIR 2018 – CHAPTER 14: SOCIO-ECONOMICS 14.3.2 Legislation and policy has been considered on an international, national, regional, and local level. The following is considered to be relevant to the socio-economic assessment as it has influenced the sensitivity of receptors and requirements for mitigation or the scope and/or methodology of the PEIR. a) National Policy 14.3.3 National Policy Statement for Energy (Ref. 14.1) (NPS EN-1) acknowledges “the construction, operation and decommissioning of energy infrastructure may have socio-economic impacts at local and regional levels”. Paragraph 4.2.2 states that the Secretary of State “will find it helpful if the applicant sets out information on the likely significant social and economic effects of the development, and shows how any likely significant negative effects would be avoided or mitigated. This information could include matters such as employment, equality, community cohesion and well-being.” Paragraphs 5.12.2 and 5.12.3 identify that where the Project is likely to have socio-economic impacts at local or regional levels, the Applicant should undertake and include