Future Development Scoping Study For Harworth Bircotes Volume 2: Background Data and Baseline Analysis September 2009 BASSETLAW DISTRICT COUNCIL FUTURE DEVELOPMENT SCOPING STUDY FOR HARWORTH BIRCOTES FINAL REPORT Acknowledgements This study was part funded by East Midlands Development Agency September 2009 Nathaniel Lichfield & Partners Ltd 14 Regent's Wharf All Saints Street London N1 9RL Offices also in T 020 7837 4477 Cardiff F 020 7837 2277 Manchester Newcastle upon Tyne [email protected] www.nlpplanning.com Future Development Scoping Study for Harworth Bircotes VOLUME 2 – Background Data and Baseline Analysis Contents 2 1.0 Introduction 1 Purpose of Volume 2 1 Structure of Volume 2 1 2.0 Policy Context 3 National Growth Agenda 3 National Policy Guidance 3 Strategic Policy Guidance 6 Local Policy Guidance 9 Summary 12 3.0 Economic Baseline 13 Local Context 13 Economic Potential and Growth Sectors 22 Applying the Market Assessment to the Economic Baseline 30 Offices 31 Industrial 32 Conclusions on Economic Potential 32 4.0 Commercial Market Assessment 34 5.0 Housing Profile 49 6.0 Housing Market 60 House Prices and Rents 60 Transactions and Turnover 63 Vacancies 65 Summary of Findings 65 Residential Market Assessment 66 7.0 Transportation 73 Local Highway Network 73 Pedestrian Facilities 74 Cycling 75 Public Transport 75 Baseline Traffic Data 76 Existing Travel Characteristics 80 Committed Development / Infrastructure 80 Potential Transport Improvements to Support Growth 81 8.0 Utilities 84 40592/709547v2 Future Development Scoping Study for Harworth Bircotes VOLUME 2 – Background Data and Baseline Analysis Wastewater Treatment 84 Sewer Capacity 84 Potable Water Supply 85 Energy Network 86 Renewable Energy 86 9.0 Services & Key Facilities 88 Retail Provision 88 Leisure Facilities 89 Education 90 Community and Health 92 Open Space 93 10.0 Land Use Constraints 94 11.0 Developer & Land Owner Interest 98 Proposals for Colliery 99 12.0 Stakeholder Engagement 101 Stage 1 Consultation 101 Community Group Consultees - Key Issues Discussed 105 Stage Two Consultation 106 13.0 Summary of Key Issues 112 Appendices Appendix 1 Economic Trends Data Appendix 2 Market Assessment Tables and Supporting Information Appendix 3 Transport Assessment Maps Appendix 4 First Round Stakeholder Presentation Appendix 5 Second Round Stakeholder Presentation and Feedback Form Appendix 6 Stakeholder Invitees and Attendees 40592/709547v2709547_2 Figures Figure 1 Ward boundaries 14 Figure 2 Percentage Change in Employment 2003-2007. 15 Figure 3 Claimant Unemployment (% of working population) since 2004. 16 Figure 4 Claimant Unemployment (% of working population) since 1998. 17 Figure 5 Occupational Profile of Labour Force. 18 Figure 6 Sought Occupation of Claimant Unemployed in Bassetlaw. 19 Figure 7 Indices of Multiple Deprivation Rank by Super Output Area (2007) 20 Figure 8 Location Quotient Analysis, Harworth Growth Zone 23 Figure 9 Location Quotient Analysis, Bassetlaw 25 Figure 10 Representation, Growth and Size of Key Employment Sectors, Bassetlaw 27 Figure 11 Housing type in Bassetlaw 50 Figure 12 Housing Tenure in Bassetlaw 51 Figure 13 Council Tax Bands in Bassetlaw, 2007 53 Figure 14 Household Composition in Bassetlaw 56 Figure 15 Projected population change in Bassetlaw 58 Figure 16 Household Projections for Bassetlaw 2006 to 2026 59 Figure 17 Average (mean) House Prices in Bassetlaw 2004-2008 60 Figure 18 Lower Quartile House Prices in Bassetlaw 1997-2007 61 Figure 19 Average house prices by property in Bassetlaw 2004-2008 62 Figure 20 Average house prices in Bassetlaw by whether new build or resale 2004-2008 62 Figure 21 Changes in the number of transactions (indexed) in Bassetlaw 2004-2008 64 Figure 22 Transactions by property type, Bassetlaw, 2004-2008 64 Figure 23 Transactions by property type, Harworth and Bircotes, 2004-2008 65 Figure 24 Land Use Map 96 Figure 25 Movement Framework 97 Figure 26 Land ownership map 98 Tables Table 1 Proportion of Knowledge Based Businesses Source: UK Competitiveness Index 2008 21 Table 2 Representation and Growth of Key Employment Sectors, Harworth Growth Zone 24 Table 3 Analysis of office requirements registered for North Nottinghamshire from 1 Jan 2008 to 1 Jan 2009 37 Table 4 Analysis of industrial requirements registered for North Nottinghamshire from 1 Jan 2008 to 1 Jan 2009 39 40592/709547v2 Future Development Scoping Study for Harworth Bircotes VOLUME 2 – Background Data and Baseline Analysis Table 5 Harworth and Surrounding Area Office Supply - New Build 43 Table 6 Harworth and Surrounding Area Office Supply – Second Hand 43 Table 7 Harworth and surrounding areas industrial supply - new build 45 Table 8 Harworth and surrounding areas industrial supply - second hand 45 Table 9 Number of households on the waiting list for Harworth and Bircotes February 2009 Source: Council estimates based on waiting list data 52 Table 10 New Build in Bassetlaw Source: CLG Live Table 253 54 Table 11 New Build rates in Bassetlaw and the sub-region Source: CLG Live Table 253 55 Table 12 Projected population change in Bassetlaw Source: ONS sub-national population projects 58 Table 13 Private Rents in Bassetlaw Source: Hometrack 63 Table 14 New Build Homes Supply in Harworth 68 Table 15 Re-sale Homes Supply in Harworth 68 Table 16 Residential Competing Supply 69 Table 17 Allocated Land Supply in Harworth Source: Bassetlaw Local Plan 70 Table 18 Bus Services and Frequencies 75 Table 19 Potential Transport Mitigation Measures 83 40592/709547v2 Future Development Scoping Study for Harworth Bircotes VOLUME 2 – Background Data and Baseline Analysis 1.0 Introduction Purpose of Volume 2 1.1 In December 2008 Nathaniel Lichfield and Partners (NLP), Waterman Boreham and Innes England, were appointed by Bassetlaw District Council to undertake a study to investigate the scope for the growth of the district’s third largest settlement, Harworth Bircotes. 1.2 The study provides a basis for translating the focus of the emerging East Midlands Regional Spatial Strategy into a local planning and regeneration solution. The emerging RSS identifies the area north of Worksop and towards Robin Hood Airport as a suitable location for employment growth and regeneration with particular reference to former mining communities and operations such as Harworth Bircotes. 1.3 This document is the second of two volumes in respect of this study. It provides the detailed findings from the review of background data and baseline analysis that has formed the basis of the Vision Statement that is set out in Volume 1. 1.4 Further background data is also provided within the separate Sustainability Appraisal that has been carried out in respect of the study. Structure of Volume 2 1.5 Volume 2 is structured as follows:- • Section 2 summarises the key policy context forming the background to the study • Section 3 sets out the economic baseline for the study by reviewing recent economic conditions and trends • Section 4 includes work undertaken by Innes England in assessing the commercial market in Harworth Bircotes • Section 5 summarises the current housing and demographic profile • Section 6 reviews the current housing market in respect of the settlement • Section 7 provides a review of the key transportation issues based on work carried out by Waterman Boreham • Section 8 summarises the key services and facilities in the Harworth Bircotes • Section 9 sets out current known developer and landowner interests including sites which may be available to assist in the delivery of the growth • Section 10 summarises the findings from the stakeholder consultation to identify key issues to be taken into account in identifying growth scenarios for the town P1/113 40592/709547v2 Future Development Scoping Study for Harworth Bircotes VOLUME 2 – Background Data and Baseline Analysis • Section 11 identifies the key issues which have fed into the review of the key opportunities and threats to the delivery of growth in the Harworth Bircotes (see Section 4.0 of Volume 1) P2/113 40592/709547v2 Future Development Scoping Study for Harworth Bircotes VOLUME 2 – Background Data and Baseline Analysis 2.0 Policy Context 2.1 This section provides a synopsis of the national, strategic and local policy context for Harworth Bircotes with particular regard to the strategic drivers for regeneration and growth. National Growth Agenda 2.2 In 2003 the government launched its Sustainable Communities Plan (SCP). The SCP aimed to tackle housing supply issues in the wider South East and low demand in other parts of the country, particularly in northern areas. It aimed to do this through setting out a long-term programme of action for delivering sustainable communities in both urban and rural areas. 2.3 To tackle the housing supply issues in the South East the Sustainable Communities Plan identified 4 specific Growth Areas to bring forward growth in housing supply, tackle infrastructure and transport issues and improve skills to support the economic success of the wider South East. Following on from this, and outside of these Growth Areas, the government announced 29 Growth Points in 2006 which were brought forward through the New Growth Points initiative. This was designed to support local communities wanting to pursue large scale and sustainable growth. 2.4 In July 2007, the Housing Green Paper ‘Homes for the future: more affordable, more sustainable’ was published and identified that growth in the number of households was still outstripping housing stock growth. To meet this demand the Green Paper proposed to deliver 2 million new homes by 2016 and 3 million new homes by 2026 and identified further growth points and eco-towns as further methods to meet the higher figures. 2.5 In July 2008 twenty second round Growth Points were identified, including Doncaster and South Yorkshire (the Sheffield City Region). 2.6 Harworth Bircotes, due to its close proximity to this growth point, has the potential to benefit from any growth and can also dovetail into the proposed development within the sub-region which has the potential to act as a catalyst for regeneration and also enhance Harworth Bircotes’s role within the wider Sheffield City Region.