Ohio Midterm Voters SUPRC/Cincinnati Enquirer Field 10/4 – 10/8 FINAL October 2018 STUDY Region: (N=500) n % Cleveland/Northeast ------------------------------------------- 141 28.20 Southeast ----------------------------------------------------------- 87 17.40 Southwest/Cincy -------------------------------------------------- 83 16.60 Columbus/West ------------------------------------------------- 128 25.60 Toledo/Northwest ------------------------------------------------- 61 12.20 *********************************************************************************************************** Hello, my name is __________ . I am conducting a survey for Suffolk University, and I would like to get your opinions on some political questions. Would you be willing to spend five minutes answering some questions? Thank You. Are you currently registered to vote? {IF YES, PROCEED. IF NO/ UNDECIDED, TERMINATE} 1. Gender (N=500) n % Male ---------------------------------------------------------------- 244 48.80 Female ------------------------------------------------------------ 256 51.20 2. How likely are you to vote in the upcoming November general election for Governor and U.S. Senate - would you say you are almost certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50, or that it is not likely you will vote? (N=500) n % Almost certain---------------------------------------------------- 463 92.60 Probably vote ------------------------------------------------------ 37 7.40 3. Do you consider yourself to be a Democrat, Republican, or Unaffiliated/Independent? (N=500) n % Democrat --------------------------------------------------------- 192 38.40 Republican ------------------------------------------------------- 174 34.80 Unaffiliated/Independent -------------------------------------- 115 23.00 Refused ------------------------------------------------------------- 19 3.80 4. What is your age category? (N=500) n % 18-24 Years -------------------------------------------------------- 28 5.60 25-34 Years -------------------------------------------------------- 60 12.00 35-44 Years -------------------------------------------------------- 87 17.40 45-54 Years -------------------------------------------------------- 95 19.00 55-64 Years -------------------------------------------------------- 95 19.00 65-74 Years -------------------------------------------------------- 72 14.40 75+ Years ----------------------------------------------------------- 53 10.60 Refused ------------------------------------------------------------ 10 2.00 Likely Ohio Voters 1 of 7 Suffolk University Ohio Midterm Voters SUPRC/Cincinnati Enquirer Field 10/4 – 10/8 5. For statistical purposes only, can you please tell me your ethnic background/ancestry? (READ) (N=500) n % White/Caucasian ------------------------------------------------ 385 77.00 Black/African-American ----------------------------------------- 76 15.20 American Indian / Alaska Native ------------------------------- 6 1.20 Asian ----------------------------------------------------------------- 11 2.20 Native Hawaiian / Other Pacific Islander --------------------- 1 0.20 Hispanic/Latino ---------------------------------------------------- 17 3.40 Other ------------------------------------------------------------------ 2 0.40 Refused -------------------------------------------------------------- 2 0.40 6. If the general election for United States Senate were held today and the candidates were Democrat Sherrod Brown or Republican Jim Renacci, for whom will you vote or toward whom do you LEAN at this time? {ROTATE 6.1 to 6.2 ONLY} (N=500) n % Vote/Lean Brown – Democrat ------------------------------- 268 53.60 Vote/Lean Renacci – Republican --------------------------- 180 36.00 (Write-in) Stephen Faris ------------------------------------------ 0 0.00 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------------- 50 10.00 Refused -------------------------------------------------------------- 2 0.40 7. How interested are you in the U.S. Senate race – extremely interested, very interested, somewhat interested, not very interested, or not at all interested? (N=500) n % Extremely interested ------------------------------------------- 223 44.60 Very interested -------------------------------------------------- 127 25.40 Somewhat interested ------------------------------------------ 123 24.60 Not very interested ----------------------------------------------- 15 3.00 Not at all interested ------------------------------------------------ 7 1.40 Undecided ----------------------------------------------------------- 5 1.00 8. What is the most important issue when voting for U.S. Senate – {RANDOMIZE} the economy, immigration, Donald Trump, foreign affairs, trade, healthcare, corruption, gun control? (N=500) n % The economy ------------------------------------------------------ 95 19.00 Immigration --------------------------------------------------------- 47 9.40 Donald Trump---------------------------------------------------- 111 22.20 Foreign affairs ----------------------------------------------------- 11 2.20 Trade ----------------------------------------------------------------- 14 2.80 Healthcare -------------------------------------------------------- 117 23.40 Corruption ---------------------------------------------------------- 40 8.00 Gun control --------------------------------------------------------- 27 5.40 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------------- 38 7.60 Likely Ohio Voters 2 of 7 Suffolk University Ohio Midterm Voters SUPRC/Cincinnati Enquirer Field 10/4 – 10/8 9. If the general election for Governor were held today and the candidates were Democrat Richard Cordray, Republican Mike DeWine, Green Party Constance Gadell-Newton, and Libertarian Travis Irvine, for whom will you vote or toward whom do you LEAN at this time? {ROTATE 9.1 to 9.4} (N=500) n % Vote/Lean Cordray- Democrat ------------------------------- 232 46.40 Vote/Lean DeWine- Republican ----------------------------- 202 40.40 Vote/Lean Gadell-Newton – Green Party -------------------- 1 0.20 Vote/Lean Irvine - Libertarian ----------------------------------- 9 1.80 (Write-in) Rebecca Ayers ---------------------------------------- 0 0.00 (Write-in) Richard Duncan --------------------------------------- 2 0.40 (Write-in) Renea Turner ------------------------------------------ 0 0.00 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------------- 48 9.60 Refused -------------------------------------------------------------- 6 1.20 10. How interested are you in the Governor’s race – extremely interested, very interested, somewhat interested, not very interested, or not at all interested? (N=500) n % Extremely interested ------------------------------------------- 219 43.80 Very interested -------------------------------------------------- 135 27.00 Somewhat interested ------------------------------------------ 123 24.60 Not very interested ----------------------------------------------- 12 2.40 Not at all interested ------------------------------------------------ 6 1.20 Undecided ----------------------------------------------------------- 5 1.00 11. What is the most important issue when voting for Governor – {RANDOMIZE} the economy, education, taxes, abortion, opioids, healthcare, corruption, gun control? (N=500) n % The economy ---------------------------------------------------- 111 22.20 Education ----------------------------------------------------------- 75 15.00 Taxes ---------------------------------------------------------------- 39 7.80 Abortion ------------------------------------------------------------- 22 4.40 Opioids -------------------------------------------------------------- 38 7.60 Healthcare -------------------------------------------------------- 111 22.20 Corruption ---------------------------------------------------------- 40 8.00 Gun control --------------------------------------------------------- 30 6.00 Undecided ---------------------------------------------------------- 34 6.80 12. There are two candidates for Attorney General this November: Democrat Steve Dettelbach and Republican Dave Yost. At this point for whom will you vote or toward whom do you lean at this time? (N=500) n % Vote/Lean Dettelbach - Democrat -------------------------- 210 42.00 Vote/Lean Yost – Republican -------------------------------- 180 36.00 Undecided -------------------------------------------------------- 104 20.80 Refused -------------------------------------------------------------- 6 1.20 Likely Ohio Voters 3 of 7 Suffolk University Ohio Midterm Voters SUPRC/Cincinnati Enquirer Field 10/4 – 10/8 13. There are three candidates for Auditor: Libertarian Robert C. Coogan, Republican Keith Faber, and Democrat Zack Space. At this point for whom will you vote or toward whom do you lean at this time? (N=500) n % Vote/Lean Coogan – Libertarian ------------------------------ 24 4.80 Vote/Lean Faber — Republican ----------------------------- 167 33.40 Vote/Lean Space – Democrat ------------------------------- 180 36.00 Undecided -------------------------------------------------------- 124 24.80 Refused -------------------------------------------------------------- 5 1.00 14. There are three candidates for Secretary of State: Democrat Kathleen Clyde, Republican Frank LaRose, and Libertarian Dustin R. Nanna. At this point for whom will you vote or toward whom do you lean at this time? {ROTATE 14.1 to 14.3 ONLY} (N=500) n % Vote/Lean Clyde – Democrat -------------------------------- 214 42.80 Vote/Lean LaRose