Comprehensive Economic Development Strategy Eight-County Region of South Central Pennsylvania South Central Team PA December 2017 1 Contents Executive Summary ...................................................................................................................... 6 Organization, Management & Staff Support ................................................................................. 7 Planning Organization ........................................................................................................................... 7 Strategy Committee ............................................................................................................................... 8 Staff Support ........................................................................................................................................... 8 Background and Analysis ............................................................................................................. 8 Demographic and Socioeconomic Data ............................................................................................. 9 Demographics ......................................................................................................................................... 9 Population Shifts by County and Urban Center: 2000 to 2010 ................................................. 11 Racial Shifts by Region, Urban, and Non-Urban: 2000 to 2010 ............................................... 13 Workforce Development and Investment Strategies ...................................................................... 14 Labor Force Characteristics: August 2014 ................................................................................... 14 Regional Occupations by County .................................................................................................. 15 Regional Occupations by City ........................................................................................................ 15 Highest Educational Attainment: 2012 .......................................................................................... 16 Estimates of Income and Poverty .................................................................................................. 16 Median Household Income and Percentage of Persons in Poverty – 2000 to 2012 ............. 17 Change in Employment: 1999 to 2012 .......................................................................................... 18 Change in Annual Payroll: 1999 to 2012 ...................................................................................... 18 Change in Number of Employment Establishments: 1999 to 2012 .......................................... 18 Annual Employment Growth Rate Trends: 1999 to 2012 .......................................................... 19 Annual Payroll Growth Rate Trends: 1999 to 2012 .................................................................... 19 Annual Establishment Growth Rate Trends: 1999 to 2012 ....................................................... 19 Long-Term Occupational Employment Projections for Metropolitan Statistical Areas .......... 20 Long-Term Occupational Employment Projections for Metropolitan Statistical Areas .......... 20 Long-Term Occupational Employment Projections for Metropolitan Statistical Areas .......... 21 Long-Term Occupational Employment Projections for Metropolitan Statistical Areas .......... 21 Fastest Growing Occupations in Pennsylvania, 2008-2018 Projections ................................. 21 Regional Industry Payroll Growth Performance Matrix .............................................................. 22 County Industry Payroll Growth Performance Matrix: 1999 to 2012 ........................................ 22 Regional Industry Employment and Establishment Growth Performance: 1999 to 2012 ..... 23 2 County Industry Employment and Establishment Growth Performance: 1999 to 2012 ........ 24 Economic Clusters ............................................................................................................................... 26 Location Quotients: Each County Relative to the Region (Annual Wages LQ) ...................... 26 Location Quotients: The Eight County Region Relative to the Pennsylvania Economy ....... 28 Methodology of Clusters ................................................................................................................. 28 Agricultural Inputs and Services Cluster – 2012 ......................................................................... 28 Business Services Cluster – 2012 ................................................................................................. 29 Transportation and Logistics Cluster – 2012 ............................................................................... 29 Medical Devices Cluster – 2012 .................................................................................................... 29 Printing Services Cluster – 2012.................................................................................................... 30 Education Cluster – 2012 ................................................................................................................ 30 Electric Power Generation and Transmission Cluster – 2012 ................................................... 31 Geographic, Climatic, Environmental, and Natural Resource ....................................................... 31 Geographic ........................................................................................................................................ 31 Climate ............................................................................................................................................... 32 Environmental ................................................................................................................................... 32 Annual Climatological Summary - 2014 ........................................................................................ 33 Annual Mean Max Temperature Change and Projections ......................................................... 33 Annual Mean Precipitation Change and Projections .................................................................. 33 Natural Resources ........................................................................................................................... 34 Transportation Access ......................................................................................................................... 34 Assessment of Regional Roads: 2013 .......................................................................................... 35 Assessment of Regional Airports ................................................................................................... 35 Regional Public Transportation ...................................................................................................... 36 Commuter and Commercial Rail Access ...................................................................................... 36 Agriculture ............................................................................................................................................. 37 Value of Wheat Production: 2007 to 2012 .................................................................................... 38 Value of Livestock Production: 2007 to 2012 .............................................................................. 38 Value of Soybean Production: 2007 to 2012 ............................................................................... 39 Value of Poultry Production: 2007 to 2012 ................................................................................... 39 Infrastructure & Utilities ....................................................................................................................... 39 Availability of Fiber by County ........................................................................................................ 40 3 Speed Download Greater than 25 Mbps ...................................................................................... 41 Technology Assessment Comparison: County vs. State % of Population .............................. 41 Available Internet Providers Comparison: County vs. Nationwide % of Population .............. 41 Utilities ................................................................................................................................................ 42 Energy Conservation ....................................................................................................................... 42 Incentives........................................................................................................................................... 43 Historical and Regional Changes ...................................................................................................... 43 Population .......................................................................................................................................... 43 Employment Growth ........................................................................................................................ 44 Payroll ................................................................................................................................................ 44 Number of Establishments .............................................................................................................. 44 Regional Economic