JAPAN INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION AGENCY (JICA) MINISTRY OF CIVIL AFFAIRS AND COMMUNICATIONS (BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA), MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS (FEDERATION OF BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA), AND MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT AND COMMUNICATIONS (THE REPUBLIKA SRPSKA) THE STUDY ON THE TRANSPORT MASTER PLAN IN BOSNIA AND HERZEGOVINA FINAL REPORT VOLUME II: SECTOR PLANS & PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDIES MARCH 2001 PACIFIC CONSULTANTS INTERNATIONAL The following foreign exchange rates are applied in this study. 1 KM(Konvertibilna Marka) = 1 DEM = 0.51 EUR = 0.43 USD = 46.99 JPY 1 USD = 1.19 EUR = 2.32 DEM = 108.97 JPY (As of October 31, 2000) Study Area Map Table of Contents Volume I: The Transport Master Plan Chapter 1 Introduction ............................................................................................1-1 1.1 Background ......................................................................................................1-1 1.2 Study Scope and Objectives.............................................................................1-2 1.3 Reporting Approach.........................................................................................1-3 1.4 Structure of the Final Report............................................................................1-5 1.5 The Participatory Planning Process .................................................................1-7 1.6 Salient Features of the Study Area.................................................................1-12 Chapter 2 Current Economic Recovery and Development Prospects .................2-1 2.1 An Overview of Economic Recovery ..............................................................2-1 2.2 On-going Economic Reforms ........................................................................2-14 2.3 Social Development Perspectives ..................................................................2-16 Chapter 3 Planning Issues, Rationales and Goals .................................................3-1 3.1 Overall Transport Planning Issues ...................................................................3-1 3.2 Planning Rationales..........................................................................................3-1 3.3 Overall Planning Goals ....................................................................................3-6 Chapter 4 Future Socioeconomic Framework and Development Perspectives ..4-1 4.1 Basic Premises .................................................................................................4-1 4.2 Future Economic Development .......................................................................4-4 4.3 Population ......................................................................................................4-13 4.4 Entity Socioeconomic Framework.................................................................4-17 4.5 Zonal Socioeconomic Framework .................................................................4-24 Chapter 5 Transport Development Plan.................................................................5-1 5.1 Overall Transport Development Concept ........................................................5-1 5.2 Intermodal Transport Development Plan.........................................................5-4 5.3 Human Resource Development .....................................................................5-58 5.4 Environmental Administration.......................................................................5-73 Chapter 6 Priority Projects and Programs ............................................................6-1 6.1 Overall Transport Development Concepts.......................................................6-1 6.2 Transport Sector Development Plans...............................................................6-1 6.3 Road Sector Affordability Analysis...............................................................6-24 Chapter 7 Organizational Aspects ..........................................................................7-1 7.1 General Framework Agreement for Peace in BiH...........................................7-1 7.2 Transport Relevant Regulatory Features..........................................................7-2 7.3 Further Institutional Development 2001 - 2020.............................................7-11 7.4 The Need for Change .....................................................................................7-13 7.5 A New Transport Policy Structure for BiH....................................................7-19 7.6 Resource Allocation for the Ministry for Mobility and Transport.................7-25 7.7 Public Private Partnership (PPP)....................................................................7-29 i 7.8 Follow-up for the Master Plan Implementation.............................................7-39 Appendices Appendix I-4 Supplemental Data for Socioeconomic Framework Appendix I-6 Proposed Project Profiles for BiHTMAP Volume II: Sector Plans & Pre-feasibility Studies Part 1: Sector Plans Chapter 1 Introduction ............................................................................................1-1 1.1 Background ......................................................................................................1-1 1.2 Reporting Approach.........................................................................................1-2 1.3 Structure of the Final Report............................................................................1-3 1.4 The Participatory Planning Process .................................................................1-4 Chapter 2 Roads and Road Transport....................................................................2-1 2.1 Road Transport Model and Demand Forecasts................................................2-1 2.2 Road Infrastructure Development Plan..........................................................2-62 2.3 Road Transport Operators............................................................................2-129 Chapter 3 Railways...................................................................................................3-1 3.1 Introduction......................................................................................................3-1 3.2 Current Situation of the Railways in BiH ........................................................3-2 3.3 Operation Performance of the Railways in BiH ............................................3-16 3.4 Railway Transport Demand Forecast.............................................................3-20 3.5 Railway Development Scenario.....................................................................3-30 3.6 Urgent Improvement Program .......................................................................3-38 3.7 Institutional and Orgnzational Aspects ..........................................................3-43 Chapter 4 Air Transport ..........................................................................................4-1 4.1 Introduction......................................................................................................4-1 4.2 Air Traffic Demand Forecasts for BiH ............................................................4-4 4.3 Airport Infrastructure Development...............................................................4-14 4.4 Operational Aspects .......................................................................................4-24 4.5 Financing Aspects..........................................................................................4-26 4.6 Priority Projects..............................................................................................4-27 Chapter 5 Waterway Transport ..............................................................................5-1 5.1 Introduction......................................................................................................5-1 5.2 Functionality of Waterway before 1990...........................................................5-1 5.3 Waterway Transport before 1990.....................................................................5-2 5.4 Waterborne Transport Infrastructure: Status Report ........................................5-7 5.5 Framework Conditions for the Development of River Traffic ......................5-14 5.6 Demand Forecast for Waterway Transport ....................................................5-18 5.7 Infrastructure Plan..........................................................................................5-36 5.8 Operational Aspects .......................................................................................5-48 5.9 Financing Aspects..........................................................................................5-52 5.10 General Conclusion........................................................................................5-57 ii Part 2: Pre-feasibility Studies Chapter 6 Pre-feasibility Study on Road Improvement Project (Sarajevo – Mostar) ....................................................................................................6-1 6.1 Project Description...........................................................................................6-1 6.2 Traffic Demand Forecast..................................................................................6-6 6.3 Cost Estimation..............................................................................................6-10 6.4 Project Evaluation..........................................................................................6-11 6.5 Implementation Plan and