Appendix 5 Forecast and evidence* *accessed via hyperlinks in ‘Notes’ column. Housing Monitoring Update 2018/19 Appendix 5: Forecast and evidence Year 1 - Year 2 - Year 3 - Year 4 - Year 5 - Allocation Planning Planning Decision Gross Total Completions at Remaining Five Year Site Ref Site Address Net remaining 01/04/2019 to 01/04/2020 to 01/04/2021 to 01/04/2022 to 01/04/2023 to Notes Ref Status Application Ref date Dwellings 31.03.2019 losses Total 31/03/2020 31/03/2021 31/03/2022 31/03/2023 31/03/2024 No commitments 1 LPS 1, Central Crewe Strategic Location 400 216 0 0 0 27 27 54 See Main Report 5255 2 LPS 2, Phase 1 Basford East Land Between The A500 And, WESTON ROAD, CREWE Outline 14/4025N 08-Feb-16 490 0 0 490 0 40 95 51 57 243 See Appendix 5 - Evidence 5477 2 LPS 2, Land at Basford East, Crewe Outline 15/1537N 23-Dec-16 325 0 0 325 0 0 50 50 50 150 See Appendix 5 - Evidence No commitments 2 LPS 2, Basford East Allocation 35 35 0 0 0 0 0 0 No evidence currently available to demonstrate deliverability within 5 years. 3498 3 LPS 3, LAND OFF CREWE ROAD, BASFORD WEST, SHAVINGTON CUM GRESTY, CREWE Under construction 15/2943N 24-Sep-15 370 153 0 217 50 50 50 50 17 217 Forecast based on average annual build rate achieved at this site. No commitments 4 LPS4, Leighton West (Bloor/Galliford Try) Allocation 450 450 0 0 4 60 65 129 See Appendix 5 - Evidence No commitments 4 LPS 4, Leighton West (Engine of the North) Allocation 400 400 0 0 0 50 50 100 See Appendix 5 - Evidence 3639 5 LPS 5 Leighton West, Crewe Outline 16/2373N 15-Jan-18 400 0 0 400 0 0 50 50 50 150 See Appendix 5 - Evidence No commitments 5 LPS 5, Leighton, Flowers Lane (Bloor/Galliford Try) Allocation 100 100 0 0 0 37 37 74 See Appendix 5 - Evidence No commitments 6 LPS 6, Crewe Green Allocation 150 150 0 3 35 35 35 108 See Appendix 5 - Evidence 4882 7 Land south west of Thornyfields Farm, Herbert Street, Crewe Outline 15/2818N 14-Jun-19 12 0 0 12 0 0 3 3 3 9 See Appendix 5 - Evidence 4882 7 LPS 7, SYDNEY ROAD AND LAND TO THE NORTH EAST OF SYDNEY ROAD, CREWE, CW1 5NF Outline 13/2055N 14-Aug-15 240 0 0 240 0 37 45 45 45 172 See Appendix 5 - Evidence 5522 7 LPS 7, SYDNEY ROAD, CREWE, CW1 5NF Outline 15/0184N 14-Sep-16 275 0 0 275 0 0 0 0 0 0 No evidence currently available to demonstrate deliverability within 5 years. No commitments 8 LPS8, South Cheshire Growth Village Allocation 650 650 0 0 40 80 80 200 See Appendix 5 - Evidence 2897 9 LPS 9, Land South of Newcastle Road, Shavington & Wybunbury, Cheshire Outline 12/3114N 23-Jan-14 160 0 0 160 0 15 40 40 40 135 See Appendix 5 - Evidence 2897 9 LPS 9, Land South of Newcastle Road, Shavington & Wybunbury, Cheshire Under construction 14/3039N 11-Dec-14 200 166 0 34 34 0 0 0 0 34 4997 9 ADJ 16 HUNTERSFIELD, SHAVINGTON, CREWE, CW2 5FB Under construction 15/2783N 01-Dec-15 4 0 0 4 4 0 0 0 0 4 No commitments 9 LPS9, Shavington Triangle (residual) Allocation 36 36 0 0 0 0 0 0 No evidence currently available to demonstrate deliverability within 5 years. 2902 10 LPS 10, LAND TO THE EAST OF CREWE ROAD, SHAVINGTON CUM GRESTY Under construction 15/4046N 15-Dec-15 275 24 0 251 30 30 30 30 30 150 Taylor Wimpy provided a forecast to inform the HMU 2018 and cited an expected build rate of 30 completions p/a for this site. 2892 11 LPS 11, LAND TO THE EAST OF BROUGHTON ROAD, CREWE Outline 15/0366N 13-Oct-16 129 0 0 129 0 0 15 30 30 75 See Appendix 5 - Evidence No commitments 11 LPS 11, Broughton Road Allocation 46 46 0 0 0 0 0 0 No evidence currently available to demonstrate deliverability within 5 years. No commitments 12 LPS 12, Central Macclesfield Strategic Location 500 264 0 0 0 33 33 66 See Main Report 5476 13 LPS 13, Land off Congleton Road, Macclesfield, Cheshire, SK11 7UP Outline 17/1874M 17-Jan-19 950 0 0 950 0 0 0 150 150 300 See Appendix 5 - Evidence 5495 13 LPS 13, Land Southwest Of, MOSS LANE, MACCLESFIELD Under construction 15/2010M 28-Feb-17 150 18 0 132 32 32 32 32 4 132 Less than a year's data available to inform future build rate. Standard Methodology applied. 4320 14 LPS 14, THE KINGS SCHOOL, FENCE AVENUE, MACCLESFIELD, CHESHIRE, SK10 1LT Outline 15/4287M 23-Jan-17 300 0 0 300 0 0 0 24 58 82 See Appendix 5 - Evidence No commitments 15 LPS15, Land off Congleton Road (Redrow/Jones) Allocation 150 150 0 0 0 50 50 100 See Appendix 5 - Evidence No commitments 15 LPS15, Land off Congleton Road (Richborough) Allocation 150 150 0 0 25 50 50 125 See Appendix 5 - Evidence 3790 16 LPS 16, LAND SOUTH OF, CHELFORD ROAD, MACCLESFIELD Outline 17/4034M 27-Feb-19 232 0 0 232 0 0 0 50 50 100 See Appendix 5 - Evidence 3512 17 LPS 17, Land at Gaw End Lane, Macclesfield S106 - Outline 18/3245M 310 0 0 310 0 0 50 50 50 150 See Appendix 5 - Evidence 3283 18 LPS 18, Land North Of, CHELFORD ROAD, MACCLESFIELD Outline 18/0294M 27-Feb-19 33 0 0 33 0 15 15 0 0 30 See Appendix 5 - Evidence 3994 18 LPS 18, Land off Chelford Road, Henbury, Macclesfield. Outline 17/4277M 22-Jan-19 135 0 0 135 0 17 34 34 34 119 See Appendix 5 - Evidence 4154 20 LPS 20, Land at and adjacent to, White Moss Quarry, Butterton Lane, Barthomley, Crewe Outline 13/4132N 16-Sep-15 350 0 0 350 0 0 30 30 30 90 See Appendix 5 - Evidence Partial year's worth of completions for 18/19. Persimmon provided a forecast to inform the HMU 2018 and an expected build rate 2347 21 LPS 21, TWYFORDS BATHROOMS, LAWTON ROAD, ALSAGER, ST7 2DF Under construction 16/2229C 16-Dec-16 268 20 0 248 30 30 30 30 30 150 of 30 completions p/a for this site. 2371 21 LPS 21, Cardway Business Park, LINLEY LANE, ALSAGER, ST7 2UX Outline 15/2101C 06-Jul-17 105 0 1 104 0 15 15 0 0 30 See Appendix 5 - Evidence No commitments 21 LPS21, Twyfords and Cardway Allocation 178 0 0 178 0 0 0 0 0 0 No evidence currently available to demonstrate deliverability within 5 years. Based on completions and previous response provided by David Wilson and Barratt Homes to inform the HMU 2018 - an expected 287 22 LPS 22, Former Manchester Metropolitan University Alsager Campus, Hassall Road, Alsager (David Wilson Homes) Under construction 15/5222C 04-May-17 229 26 0 203 30 30 30 30 30 150 build rate of 25- 30 completions p/a for this site. Based on completions and previous response provided by David Wilson and Barratt Homes provided a forecast to inform the HMU 287 22 LPS 22, Former Manchester Metropolitan University Alsager Campus, Hassall Road, Alsager (Barratt Homes) Under construction 15/5222C 04-May-17 207 56 0 151 30 30 30 30 30 150 2017/18 - an expected build rate of 25-30 completions p/a for this site. 4957 26 LPS 26, Land between Black Firs Lane, Chelford Road & Holmes Chapel Road, Somerford, Congleton, Cheshire Under construction 18/4449C 20-Dec-18 203 35 0 168 32 32 32 32 32 160 Less than a year's data available to inform future build rate. Standard Methodology applied. 5903 26 LPS 26, Land At, BACK LANE, CONGLETON Outline 16/0514C 21-Dec-17 140 0 0 140 0 31 45 45 13 134 See Appendix 5 - Evidence 5908 26 LPS 26, Land To The East Of Black Firs Lane And To The Sou, BACK LANE, SOMERFORD Outline 16/1922C 21-Dec-17 200 0 0 200 0 30 30 30 30 120 See Appendix 5 - Evidence 5909 26 LPS 26, Land to the north of the existing Radnor, Land at Back Lane, Cheshire Outline 16/1824M 21-Sep-18 275 0 0 275 0 0 36 36 36 108 See Appendix 5 - Evidence Page 1 of 33 OFFICIAL-SENSITIVE Housing Monitoring Update 2018/19 Appendix 5: Forecast and evidence Year 1 - Year 2 - Year 3 - Year 4 - Year 5 - Allocation Planning Planning Decision Gross Total Completions at Remaining Five Year Site Ref Site Address Net remaining 01/04/2019 to 01/04/2020 to 01/04/2021 to 01/04/2022 to 01/04/2023 to Notes Ref Status Application Ref date Dwellings 31.03.2019 losses Total 31/03/2020 31/03/2021 31/03/2022 31/03/2023 31/03/2024 6230 26 LPS 26, Land North Of Chestnut Drive And West Of, BACK LANE, CONGLETON Full 16/3840C 26-Feb-18 83 0 0 83 0 21 21 21 20 83 No commitments 27 LPS 27, Congleton Business Park Extension (Scott) Allocation 350 350 0 0 30 40 40 110 See Appendix 5 - Evidence No commitments 27 LPS 27, Congleton Business Park Extension (Kirkham) Allocation 150 150 0 0 0 37 37 74 See Appendix 5 - Evidence No commitments 27 LPS 27, Congleton Business Park Extension (Worth) Allocation 125 125 0 0 0 0 0 0 See Appendix 5 - Evidence 2409 28 LPS 28, Land Between Manchester Road and, Giantswood Lane, Hulme Walfield, Congleton Under construction 17/5573C 22-Nov-18 131 62 0 69 50 19 0 0 0 69 Forecast based on average annual build rate achieved at this site.