Hampshire County Council Childcare Sufficiency Annual Update 2016/2017 Area: East Hants Period: April 2016 – March 2017 Report by: Kimberley Snuggs - Childcare Development & Business Officer (CDBO) and Gillian Herring – Childcare Development and Business Officer (CDBO) 1. Area Demographic Profile Number and ages of According to Hampshire’s Small Area Population children Forecast (Last updated April 2017)) there are a total of: Source: 6,034 zero to four (0-4) year olds in 2016 and an http://www.hants.gov.uk/factsan estimated 6,555 in 2020. This indicates a rise of 521 dfigures/population- children within this age range over the next 4 years and statistics/pop-estimates/small- an increase of this population by 8.6%. area-pop-stats.htm In September 2017 the 30 hour childcare http://documents.hants.gov.uk/c implementation will come into place. In East Hants there hildrens- will be 2568 three & four year olds. Within this number services/HampshireSchoolPlace there will be an estimated 1115 children eligible to Plan2017-2021.pdf receive the extra 15 hours in September 2017. This in turn will have an impact on childcare and school places in the district which is outlined in the ‘Hampshire School Places Plan 2017 – 2021’. This plan also states that not only the growth in population will have in impact on school places, so too will the demands for new housing. (Pg. 4/2.5) Lone parents According to the Hampshire Hub (2017), the percentage Families accessing of benefit claimants in East Hants are as follows: Working Tax Credit (No data available for 2016/ 2017). Source: 2015 East Hampshire UK Benchmark http://data.hampshirehub.net/se January 0.66% 1.95% arch February 0.64% 1.96% http://profiles.hampshirehub.net/ profiles/E07000085 March 0.61% 1.89% April 0.57% 1.82% Labour Market Bulletin May 0.57% 1.74% February 2017: June n/a n/a July n/a n/a http://documents.hants.gov.uk/E August n/a n/a conomy/HampshireLMBFebruar September n/a n/a y2017.pdf October n/a n/a Labour Market Update Tables November n/a n/a February 2017 December n/a n/a 1 The 2014 Annual East Hant’s level of Job Seekers Allowance (JSA) Department for claimants aged between 18 – 64 years of age has Education’s Statistical First decreased by 5 to 455, up to February 2017 Release (SFR): Participation in Within East Hants, there are 5 wards listed within the 25 Education, Training and wards with the lowest claimant count 2015 list; Froxfield Employment by 16-18 & Steep, The Hangers and Forest, Whitehill Hogmoor, Year Olds in England Binstead & Bentley and Ropley & Tisted. (Next update June 2017) The January 2016 figures for 16 – 18 year olds not in http://documents.hants.gov.uk/E education, employment or training (NEETS) in East conomy/HampshireLMBFebruar Hants is currently 3653 caseloads. y2017.pdf Families with dependent children in East Hampshire: Lone parents = 2,343 One family: Married* dependent children = 9,180 One family: Cohabiting: dependent children = 1,500 Other: With dependent children = 849 Total families in East Hampshire with dependent children = 13,872. *'Married' includes same-sex civil partnership couples Department for Work and The DWP data set for spring 2016 indicated that there Pensions (DWP) 2 year were 211 children eligible for the two year old scheme. olds The DWP data for the spring term 2017 sees an increase in eligibility; 230 two year olds (+19). Source: HCC Spring 2016/2017 Early Years Tool Headcount There were 166 claims within the spring 2016 reporting period; a 79% conversion of places. Compared to this, in spring 2017 there was a take up of 183 children; a conversion of 80%. There has been an increase of 1% claims within the 2 Year Old cohort across East Hants. The majority of referrals were in April 2016 were in the areas of Alton Wooteys, Clanfield & Finchdean, Horndean Catherington & Lovedean, Horndean Kings, Liss, Petersfield Bell Hill, Petersfield Causeway, Petersfield St. Mary’s, Ropley & Tisted, Whitehill Deadwater, Whitehill Pinewood & Whitehill Walldown wards. This has seen a change in January 2017; the areas now seeing the highest claims are Alton, Petersfield, Whitehill/Bordon, Four Marks & Medstead, Lindford & Liss, 2 Employment profiles and Population 16-74 (2011 census) = 83,522 income: Percentage working = 67% East Hampshire employment breakdown: Source: Number % http://data.hampshirehub.net/se arch Employed (full-time) 33,561 39.70 http://profiles.hampshirehub.net/ Employed (part-time) profiles/E07000085 11,975 14.20 Self-employed 11,074 13.10 Full-time student 2,210 2.60 Student 3,261 3.90 Looking after home / family 3,551 4.20 Long-term sick or disabled 1,911 2.30 Never worked 209 0.90 Long-term unemployed 764 0.20 Unemployed 2,133 2.50 Retired 12,787 15.10 Other 1,059 1.30 Total: 84,495 Total employed/ in education: 65,632 77.7 Housing Development Within the area of East Hants there is major housing growth is taking place at the following locations: Source: Taken from East Hants District Local Plan: Alton – 877 Housing & employment Bentley – 52 allocations. (April 2016) Bordon regeneration – 3350 Clanfield – 236 http://www.easthants.gov.uk/site Four Marks/ Medstead – 316 s/default/files/documents/DP01 Horndean – 860 EastHampshireDistrictLocalPlan Rowlands Castle – 157 JointCoreStrategy.pdf Liphook – 215 Villages – 124 (no further details in documentation) http://www.easthants.gov.uk/pla nning-policy/evidence- base/evidence-base-housing South Downs National Park; Binstead – 12 Buriton – 7 Chawton – 6 East Meon – 15 Greatham – 30 Liss (Inc. West Liss & Liss Forest) – 150 Petersfield – 700 Selbourne – 6 Sheet – 20 3 (Information updated between April 2016 – March 2017). Local Development Scheme (LDS) - provides a project plan identifying which local development documents will be produced, in what order and when. It outlines the details and timetable for the production of all documents that will make up the Local Plan over a three-year period. (Source: Local Development Scheme last updated May 2015) Timetable for Site Allocations Plan Key stages and dates: • Statutory Publications Proposed Submission Plan 10 April - 22 May 2015 • Consideration of representations May/June 2015 • Submission of Plan to the Secretary of State June/July 2015 • Examination of Plan September/October 2015 • Inspector’s Report Factual check September/October 2015 • Inspector’s final report November/December 2015 • Adoption December 2015/January 2016 All of the Strategic housing land availability assessments (SHLAA) can be found here for information; http://www.easthants.gov.uk/planning-policy/evidence-base- evidence-base-housing/shlaa-sites 4 Childcare Places Analysis 1.1. Childcare Mix Known at April 2016 – March 2017 This data is produced by the Services for Young Children Local Development Team (LDT) of Ofsted registered childcare from known changes in the childcare market that have occurred in the period. Table 1: Childcare Places Source: Prospects quality assurance partner data/ Synergy report manager Provider type Quarter Total Total Total Total Net growth number of number of number number of or loss of providers registered of registered places gained or places providers spaces lost since the settings gained (if lost (if known) last quarter that have known) (- / + ) extended places Childminders Q1 3 12 2 0 12 Q2 0 0 0 0 0 Q3 0 0 0 0 0 Q4 0 3 1 3 0 Home child Q1 0 0 0 0 0 carers Q2 0 0 0 0 0 Q3 0 0 0 0 0 Q4 0 0 0 0 0 EYE Non Q1 0 0 0 0 0 domestic Q2 0 0 0 0 0 premises – full Q3 0 0 0 0 0 day care Q4 2 102 0 0 102 EYE Non Q1 0 0 0 0 0 domestic Q2 3 110 3 70 40 premises – Q3 0 0 0 0 0 term-time care Q4 0 0 0 0 0 Holiday play Q1 0 0 0 0 0 schemes Q2 0 0 0 0 0 Q3 0 0 0 0 0 Q4 0 0 0 0 0 Out of School Q1 0 0 0 0 0 clubs (inc. Q2 0 0 0 0 0 Breakfast and Q3 0 0 0 0 0 After School) Q4 1 10 0 0 10 Comments: In the year from April 2016 to March 2017 there have been 3 closures of settings, all term time only pre-schools. There have also been 3 term-time pre- schools opening which has actually provided the area with a 40 place increase. There has been 3 childminders lost, however 3 have been gained which means there has been no loss or gain in the area. There have been two full day care settings open; one in Medstead and the other in Bordon. These have brought a growth of 102 places for 0–5 year olds. 5 2.2 New Childcare and Early Years Provision Known Between April 2016 – March 2017 This is data that is known to the Local Development Team of childcare developments that have completed registration in the period. That data includes all types of provision including childminders. Table 2: New Provisions Source: Ofsted download Ward Age range Places Type of available provision Alton Amery 0-8 3 CM Bordon 0-5 68 FDC Four marks and Medstead 0-5 34 FDC Headley 2-5 24 PS Headley 2-5 26 PS Liss 2-5 30 PS Medstead 0-5 34 FDC Whitehill Pinewood 0-5 68 FDC Total 287 2.3 Proposed Childcare and Early Year’s Provision Known At 31 March 2017 This is data known to the Local Development Team of childcare provision that is proposed to be developed.