INSIGHTS WEST Survey on the Budget and Political Situation in Alberta - April 1, 2015 What is the most important issue facing Alberta today? Gender Age Region Vote in 2012 Provincial Election Alberta Wildrose Female Male 18 - 34 35 - 54 55+ Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB PC Party NDP Liberal Party Health care 20% 23% 16% 17% 12% 26% 21% 26% 13% 20% 16% 27% 12% Accountability 17% 12% 23% 4% 13% 24% 10% 18% 24% 11% 29% 7% 16% The economy / Jobs 46% 45% 47% 60% 53% 36% 51% 43% 44% 53% 44% 23% 49% Environment 2% 3% 2% 5% 1% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 5% 5% Education 5% 7% 2% 7% 9% 1% 4% 1% 9% 5% 1% 25% 7% Crime / Public Safety 1% 1% 1% 0% 2% 0% 1% 1% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% Housing / Poverty / Homelessness 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 4% 4% 3% 2% 4% 9% 9% Energy / Pipelines 3% 4% 2% 1% 3% 3% 3% 2% 4% 5% 1% 2% 0% Other 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 2% 0% 2% 2% 0% Not sure 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 0% 0% 2% INSIGHTS WEST Survey on the Budget and Political Situation in Alberta - April 1, 2015 Thinking of each of the following provincial party leaders, would you say you generally approve or disapprove of the way he/she has performed in their job? Gender Age Region Vote in 2012 Provincial Election Alberta Wildrose Female Male 18 - 34 35 - 54 55+ Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB PC Party NDP Liberal Party Strongly approve 6% 5% 9% 0% 3% 12% 8% 3% 8% 13% 1% 0% 0% Somewhat approve 23% 23% 22% 12% 23% 26% 29% 16% 21% 31% 22% 7% 14% Premier and Progressive Conservative Somewhat disapprove 25% 24% 25% 33% 25% 22% 25% 26% 24% 23% 22% 32% 47% leader Jim Prentice Strongly disapprove 35% 36% 33% 37% 36% 33% 32% 41% 32% 26% 44% 55% 33% Not sure 11% 11% 12% 18% 12% 8% 7% 14% 14% 8% 10% 9% 9% Strongly approve 5% 5% 6% 0% 4% 7% 5% 2% 7% 2% 14% 0% 0% Somewhat approve 33% 24% 41% 26% 32% 35% 32% 36% 30% 28% 51% 9% 19% Official Opposition and interim Wildrose Somewhat disapprove 16% 17% 15% 28% 7% 18% 20% 15% 12% 18% 8% 14% 35% Party leader Heather Forsyth Strongly disapprove 11% 11% 11% 9% 9% 12% 13% 12% 7% 12% 2% 18% 16% Not sure 36% 44% 28% 37% 47% 27% 30% 34% 43% 40% 25% 57% 30% Strongly approve 3% 4% 2% 0% 2% 4% 3% 3% 3% 2% 1% 5% 16% Somewhat approve 27% 25% 30% 36% 23% 27% 36% 32% 14% 24% 35% 16% 37% Somewhat disapprove 21% 18% 24% 15% 19% 24% 15% 16% 30% 24% 21% 16% 12% Interim Liberal Party leader David Swann Strongly disapprove 10% 10% 11% 6% 11% 10% 12% 11% 9% 8% 14% 11% 0% Not sure 39% 43% 34% 44% 44% 33% 35% 38% 44% 43% 31% 55% 33% Strongly approve 12% 11% 12% 17% 10% 12% 9% 16% 11% 10% 10% 32% 19% Somewhat approve 29% 30% 28% 16% 28% 34% 22% 37% 30% 25% 32% 39% 33% New Democratic Party (NDP) leader Somewhat disapprove 18% 17% 20% 18% 16% 21% 22% 15% 16% 18% 24% 5% 26% Rachel Notley Strongly disapprove 11% 6% 15% 3% 11% 12% 10% 8% 13% 7% 17% 2% 0% Not sure 30% 35% 24% 47% 35% 21% 37% 24% 29% 39% 19% 20% 19% Strongly approve 1% 2% 1% 0% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 2% Somewhat approve 14% 12% 15% 7% 13% 16% 13% 11% 16% 10% 19% 7% 14% Somewhat disapprove 15% 12% 19% 10% 14% 18% 13% 15% 18% 15% 15% 16% 16% Alberta Party leader Greg Clark Strongly disapprove 9% 8% 10% 6% 6% 12% 12% 10% 6% 7% 9% 16% 9% Not sure 61% 67% 54% 78% 64% 53% 62% 63% 59% 67% 58% 59% 58% INSIGHTS WEST Survey on the Budget and Political Situation in Alberta - April 1, 2015 If a provincial election took place tomorrow, which party’s candidate would you vote for in your constituency? - All respondents Gender Age Region Vote in 2012 Provincial Election Alberta Wildrose Female Male 18 - 34 35 - 54 55+ Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB PC Party NDP Liberal Party Progressive Conservative Party 20% 22% 19% 13% 16% 23% 24% 15% 22% 39% 9% 2% 2% New Democratic Party (NDP) 15% 15% 14% 23% 15% 13% 8% 20% 15% 12% 6% 65% 19% Liberal Party 9% 10% 8% 10% 7% 10% 10% 10% 6% 7% 3% 7% 52% Wildrose Party 18% 15% 21% 6% 17% 19% 21% 16% 15% 7% 44% 2% 2% Alberta Party 1% 1% 2% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% Other party / An independent candidate 3% 3% 4% 3% 4% 3% 3% 2% 6% 3% 3% 2% 0% Undecided / Not sure 34% 36% 32% 42% 39% 31% 32% 35% 34% 32% 34% 23% 24% INSIGHTS WEST Survey on the Budget and Political Situation in Alberta - April 1, 2015 If a provincial election took place tomorrow, which party’s candidate would you vote for in your constituency? - Decided Voters Gender Age Region Vote in 2012 Provincial Election Alberta Wildrose Female Male 18 - 34 35 - 54 55+ Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB PC Party NDP Liberal Party Progressive Conservative Party 31% 34% 28% 22% 26% 33% 36% 23% 33% 56% 14% 3% 3% New Democratic Party (NDP) 22% 23% 20% 39% 25% 19% 13% 31% 23% 18% 9% 85% 25% Liberal Party 14% 15% 12% 17% 11% 14% 15% 16% 9% 10% 4% 9% 69% Wildrose Party 27% 23% 31% 11% 29% 27% 31% 24% 23% 10% 66% 3% 3% Alberta Party 2% 1% 2% 0% 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% Other party / An independent candidate 5% 5% 5% 6% 6% 5% 5% 4% 9% 4% 5% 3% 0% INSIGHTS WEST Survey on the Budget and Political Situation in Alberta - April 1, 2015 As you may know, the Alberta Government tabled its budget on March 26. How closely have you followed stories related to the provincial budget? Gender Age Region Vote in 2012 Provincial Election Alberta Wildrose Female Male 18 - 34 35 - 54 55+ Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB PC Party NDP Liberal Party Very closely 28% 26% 31% 13% 24% 36% 30% 33% 23% 26% 35% 30% 40% Somewhat closely 45% 44% 45% 30% 48% 47% 45% 40% 49% 46% 55% 34% 26% Not too closely 20% 21% 18% 40% 20% 13% 18% 21% 22% 21% 10% 25% 35% Not closely at all 7% 8% 6% 15% 8% 4% 7% 7% 7% 7% 1% 14% 2% INSIGHTS WEST Survey on the Budget and Political Situation in Alberta - April 1, 2015 On a ten point scale where 10 means “excellent” and 1 means “poor”, how would you rate the Alberta Government’s budget? Gender Age Region Vote in 2012 Provincial Election Alberta Wildrose Female Male 18 - 34 35 - 54 55+ Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB PC Party NDP Liberal Party 10 – Excellent 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 9 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 2% 1% 0% 2% 1% 1% 0% 0% 8 5% 5% 6% 1% 2% 9% 5% 3% 7% 9% 2% 0% 2% 7 8% 8% 8% 6% 7% 9% 13% 8% 3% 11% 7% 2% 7% 6 13% 12% 13% 14% 14% 10% 11% 6% 20% 16% 12% 2% 5% 5 12% 12% 13% 10% 10% 15% 12% 13% 11% 12% 14% 7% 12% 4 12% 11% 13% 8% 14% 11% 13% 9% 13% 10% 8% 11% 30% 3 16% 16% 16% 22% 14% 15% 15% 21% 13% 14% 17% 25% 16% 2 7% 7% 7% 8% 7% 6% 4% 11% 7% 5% 7% 14% 9% 1 – Poor 18% 19% 17% 13% 20% 19% 23% 20% 12% 11% 30% 16% 14% Don’t know 8% 9% 8% 17% 11% 4% 5% 7% 13% 10% 3% 20% 5% INSIGHTS WEST Survey on the Budget and Political Situation in Alberta - April 1, 2015 All things considered, do you think this budget will have a positive or negative impact on each of the following? Gender Age Region Vote in 2012 Provincial Election Alberta Wildrose Female Male 18 - 34 35 - 54 55+ Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB PC Party NDP Liberal Party Very positive 2% 2% 2% 0% 1% 4% 2% 1% 3% 3% 3% 2% 0% Moderately positive 24% 24% 24% 22% 23% 25% 29% 21% 21% 35% 20% 2% 14% Moderately negative 32% 28% 37% 38% 30% 32% 33% 28% 36% 27% 35% 34% 42% The Province of Alberta Very negative 28% 30% 26% 20% 29% 30% 27% 31% 25% 22% 35% 34% 33% Not sure 14% 17% 11% 21% 17% 9% 9% 17% 15% 14% 8% 25% 12% Very positive 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 0% 0% Moderately positive 17% 18% 16% 20% 12% 20% 17% 18% 18% 24% 16% 2% 7% Moderately negative 44% 39% 49% 44% 40% 46% 46% 41% 43% 37% 47% 39% 63% Your municipality Very negative 17% 20% 15% 8% 20% 19% 18% 19% 15% 15% 21% 25% 23% Not sure 21% 23% 20% 29% 26% 15% 18% 21% 24% 23% 18% 32% 7% Very positive 1% 0% 1% 0% 0% 1% 0% 2% 0% 0% 1% 2% 0% Moderately positive 10% 10% 9% 8% 6% 13% 11% 7% 11% 14% 5% 2% 12% Moderately negative 54% 50% 58% 52% 52% 57% 53% 52% 59% 54% 62% 50% 53% Your own household Very negative 24% 26% 22% 20% 28% 21% 25% 26% 21% 21% 27% 30% 30% Not sure 12% 13% 10% 20% 14% 8% 12% 13% 10% 12% 7% 18% 7% INSIGHTS WEST Survey on the Budget and Political Situation in Alberta - April 1, 2015 Looking at the scope of the Alberta budget, do you think the government’s actions are justified due to the collapse of oil prices? Gender Age Region Vote in 2012 Provincial Election Alberta Wildrose Female Male 18 - 34 35 - 54 55+ Calgary Edmonton Rest of AB PC Party NDP Liberal Party Definitely 7% 5% 9% 0% 4% 11% 7% 3% 9% 10% 6% 0% 0% Probably 28% 24% 33% 19% 28% 30% 32% 24% 27% 37% 22% 5% 33% Probably not 27% 26% 28% 44% 20% 28% 30% 30% 21% 24% 35% 41% 16% Definitely not 32% 37% 27% 24% 40% 29% 24% 36% 37% 25% 36% 41% 42% Not sure 6% 8% 4% 15% 8% 2% 6% 8% 6% 6% 1% 11% 7% INSIGHTS WEST Survey on the Budget and Political Situation in Alberta - April 1, 2015 The next provincial election in Alberta is not supposed to happen until March, April or May 2016.