2010 IEEE International Conference on Emergency Management and Management Sciences (ICEMMS 2010) Beijing, China 8 – 10 August 2010 IEEE Catalog Number: CFP1033J-PRT ISBN: 978-1-4244-6064-9 TABLE OF CONTENTS SESSION 1 001-E002 THE STUDY ON LABOR-INTENSIVE SERVICE ENTERPRISES VIRTUAL 1 OPERATING STRATEGIC PERFORMANCE APPRAISAL SYSTEM ESTABLISHMENT BASED ON VALUE CHAIN Kang Jian 002-E010 GREY HIERARCHY COMPREHENSIVE EVALUATION OF INDUSTRIAL 5 CLUSTER’S INNOVATIVE POWER Zhao Qiang, Peng Wuliang 003-E021 COORDINATION OF PRICE DISCOUNT AND SALES PROMOTION IN A 9 TWO-LEVEL SUPPLY CHAIN SYSTEM Lu Yali, Li Zhanguo 004-E043 LOCAL GOVERNMENT DEBT RISK EARLY-WARNING SYSTEM AND 13 EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS Kao Yanming, Ding Hongfu, Brima Turay 005-E051 THE RISK OF INDUSTRIAL CLUSTER NETWORK STRUCTURE BASED 16 ON LOGISTIC REGRESSION ANALYSIS Wang Weidong 006-E052 STUDY ON MODULARIZED SYNTHETIC CULTIVATION SYSTEM OF 20 TECHNOLOGY ENTREPRENEURSHIP EDUCATION THAT CONNECTS INTERNAL AND EXTERNAL NETWORKS Xiaoqing Fan, Yu Qi, Fan Gao 007-E056 CONDITIONAL VALUE-AT-RISK IN A NEWSVENDOR MODEL WITH 25 UNDERAGE LOSS AND OVERAGE PENALTY Weimin Ma, Ningfang Dong, Yingying Wang 008-E058 INFORMATION MANAGEMENT AND DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM OF 29 TROUBLESHOOTING OF COAL MINE Zhao Zuopeng, Yin Zhimin, Liu Yun, Yu Jingcun 009-E059 COMMERCIAL BANK CUSTOMER EVALUATION MODEL RESEARCH 33 BASED ON MULTI-VIEW Bing Li, Fangyu Ai, Rui Zhu, Yuwang Long 010-E060 EQUITABLE RESOURCE ALLOCATION PROBLEM WITH MULTIPLE 37 DEPOTS IN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT JianmingZhu,JunHuang,DegangLiu SESSION 2 011-E064 RESEARCH ON LOGISTICS FINANCE PRICING IN CHINA BASED ON 41 PRICE LEADERSHIP Yongming Pan, Feifei Yan 012-E065 A KIND OF TRAFFIC ARRANGEMENT MODEL AND ALGORITHM FOR 45 URBAN EMERGENCY EVACUATION Zhu Wei, Huang Zhaodong(Tony) 013-E070 A REVIEW ON SUPPLY CHAIN DISTURBANCE MANAGEMENT 49 RESEARCH Xiao Kaihong, Dong Qianli,Wang Jianhua, Xu Lei 014-E071 INFORMATION DIFFUSION THROUGH ONLINE SOCIAL NETWORKS 53 Bo Xu, Lu Liu 015-E073 STUDY ON STOCK PRICE PREDICTION BASED ON BP NEURAL 57 NETWORK Weimin Ma, Yingying Wang, Ningfang Dong 016-E074 AN EVALUATION METHODOLOGY FOR EMERGENCY RESPONSE 61 CAPABILITY IN CHEMICAL ACCIDENTS He Ning, Wu Zongzhi, Jin Longzhe, Xu Bo 017-E075 RESEARCH ON THE COMPETITIVENESS EVALUATION MODEL OF THE 65 REGIONAL EQUIPMENT MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY Wang Haifeng, Fang Jun 018-E076 APPLICATION RESEARCH OF PROJECT MANAGEMENT IN ERP 68 SYSTEM IMPLEMENTATION PROCESS Ying Shi 019-E082 STUDY ON PRINCIPAL-AGENT MODEL OF LOGISTICS FINANCE IN THE 72 ENVIRONMENT OF SUPPLY CHAIN Yongming Pan, Qian Wang 020-E085 AFTER-IQEA COMBINATION FORECASTING MODEL FOR COSMETICS 75 SALES FORECASTING Wu Di, Li Haitao, Li Sujian, Liu Bo SESSION 3 021-E086 AN EVOLUTION MODEL OF UNCONVENTIONAL EMERGENCY IMPACT 79 Shi Hui-bin, Liu Lu 022-E087 STUDY ON THE RESOURCE ALLOCATION OF E-BUSINESS SUPPLY 83 CHAIN MANAGEMENT BASED ON THE CREDITRISK+ MODEL Yongming Pan, Xiaofei Geng 023-E089 INCENTIVE MECHANISM FOR SERVICE SUPPLY CHAINS BASED ON 87 THE BUY-BACK CONTRACT Yu Haihong, Liu Nan 024-E093 EVALUATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERFORMANCE BASED 91 ON DATA ENVELOPMENT ANALYSIS MODEL: A CASE OF THREE CATASTROPHIC EARTHQUAKES IN CHINA PAN Yongming, LI Qianwei 025-E098 GOVERNMENT INCENTIVES AND SUPERVISION ABOUT RENEWABLE 95 ENERGY USING IN LARGE PUBLIC BUILDINGS Liu Hong-Wei, Li Fei, Li Jun 026-E100 AN EMERGENCY MONITORING ABOUT SUDDEN WATER POLLUTION 99 ACCIDENT IN DRINKING WATER SOURCES Zhu YiChun, Tang MinKang, Du Maoan 027-E106 RESEARCH ON SCM OUTSOURCING SERVICE 102 PROVIDERS’EVALUATION AND SELECTION BASED ON GREY COMPREHENSIVE EVALUATION METHOD Zhi-guo Fan, Yi-long Wang 028-E107 RESEARCH ON MULTI-OBJECTIVE DECISION MODEL BASED ON 106 LOCATION-ALLOCATION ANALYSIS DURING EMERGENCY TRAFFIC EVACUATION Shumin Song, Zhaosheng Yang, Wei Yang, Maolei Zhang 029-E116 ANALYSIS OF DAM SAFETY MANAGEMENT SYSTEM IN CHINA 110 Cheng Cuiyun, Qian Xin, Zhang Yuchao, Sheng Jinbao 030-E121 A STUDY OF THE INFLUENCE OF PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIP ON 114 RESCUE EFFICIENCY IN HUMANITARIAN SUPPLY CHAIN Wu Qiao, Liu Nan, Tang Kang SESSION 4 031-E132 THE ANALYSIS OF HUMAN RESOURCE OUTSOURCING 118 DECISION-MAKING MODEL BASED ON QUALITATIVITY AND QUANTITATIVITY Wang Li-ping, Cao Ying 032-E133 A SYSTEM FOR PER CAPITA FLOOR SPACE OF RESIDENTIAL 122 BUILDINGS FORECASTING IN URBAN AREAS OF CHINA: A CASE STUDY OF CHONGQING Guiwen Liu, Man Wang, Fei Deng 033-E138 ANALYSIS ON SUPPLY CHAIN OF MANUFACTURING ENTERPRISE 126 PRODUCT SERVICE SYSTEM Wang Li Ping, Fu Jia 034-E139 ECONOMIC ORDERING QUANTITIES FOR 130 MANUFACTURING/RECOVERY INVENTORY SYSTEM WITH OUTSOURCING Zhou Ying, Fan Tijun, Zhou Hong, Xu Weixia 035-E141 RESEARCH ON SAFETY MANAGEMENT BASED ON DYNAMIC 135 EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT MODEL IN COAL MINE Zhang Chao, Yang Lina, Ma Shangquan, Liang Yongduo 036-E142 RESEARCH ON PORT COMPETITIVENESS EVALUATE SYSTEM BASED 140 ON FACTOR ANALYSIS Liang Lv, Hong Gao, Wei Liu 037-E144 RISK ASSESSMENT OF HRM OUTSOURCING BASED ON GREY FUZZY 144 RISK EVALUATION Wang Li-ping, Cao Ying 038-E148 RESEARCH ON THE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT CAPACITY BASED 148 ON ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT MODEL IN THE NORTHEAST OF CHINA FROM 1999~2008 Wu Di, Chunyou Wu, Dawei Xu 039-E151 ANALYZING PORTFOLIOS BASED ON TAIL CORRELATION 152 COEFFICIENTS Shide Ou, Danhui Yi 040-E170 SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT EVALUATION AND IMPROVING FOR 157 HARBIN Fu Xin, Du Guoming SESSION 5 041-E171 PROJECT SCHEDULING IN AND-OR GRAPHS BASED ON DESIGN 161 STRUCTURE MATRIX Lidi Ren, Sijun Bai, Yuntao Guo 042-E177 SPONSORED SEARCH THEORY: HOW IS IT GOING? 165 Haiying Ou, Tingjie Lv 043-E178 SIMULATION RESEARCH ON RISK MEASURE IN HOSPITAL SERVICE 169 SUPPLY CHAIN BASED ON SYSTEM DYNAMICS Wang Xiaoyan, Zhang Jianhua 044-E181 RESEARCH ON THE AGRICULTURAL SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT 173 AND ITS STRATEGIES Qingmin Yuan, Peng Chen 045-E183 THE EMPIRICAL STUDY ABOUT EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OF 177 UNEXPECTED CRISIS IN CHINESE UNIVERSITIES Wang Qinghua, Gong Kai 046-E185 THE STUDY OF INDUSTRIAL CORRELATION ON THE LOGISTICS 181 INDUSTRY IN FUJIAN PROVINCE Liu Dan 047-E193 RESEARCH ON THE INFLUENCE OF INFORMATION ASYMMETRY ON 185 TRAFFIC SAFETY ON CURVED SECTIONS Ren Yuanyuan,Li Xiansheng,Tan Lidong,Zuo Shuxia 048-E194 STUDY ON DISTRIBUTION CHARACTERISTICS OF DANGEROUS 189 DRIVING AREA IN CURVED SECTION BASED ON HUMAN-VEHICLE OPERATION CHARACTERISTICS Ren Yuanyuan,Li Xiansheng,Liu Hongfei, Zuo Shuxia 049-E195 EMPIRICAL STUDY ON THE DAY-OF-THE-WEEK EFFECT IN CHINA 194 STOCK MARKETS Xiaguo Zhong,Shan Xia,Weili Xia 050-E200 TRAFFIC INCIDENT IMPACT ANALYSIS WITH RANDOM MATRIX 198 THEORY AND CLUSTER ANALYSIS Bingyan Huang, Tingting Zhao, Yi Zhang SESSION 6 051-E203 MULTI-LEVEL EMERGENCY RESOURCES LOCATION AND 202 ALLOCATION Wang Jing,Zhu Jianming,Huang Jun,Zhang Min 052-E209 EFFICIENCY MEASUREMENT OF SHENZHEN PORT USING DATA 206 ENVELOPMENT ANALYSIS Hong Gao, Liang Lv, Wei Liu 053-E213 RESEARCH ON BEER GAME’S BULLWHIP EFFECT BASED ON SYSTEM 210 DYNAMICS Wang Xiao-yan,Wang Hui 054-E217 COORDINATION OF A SUPPLY CHAIN CONSISTING OF A TPLSP AND 214 TWO COMPETITIVE MANUFACTURERS Han Yufeng, Chen Hong, Zhao Qian, Chen Wenlin 055-E219 ROBUST OPTIMIZATION FOR DESIGNING RELIABLE 218 TELECOMMUNICATION NETWORKS WITH NODE FAILURE SCENARIOS Tie Liu,Wenguo Yang,Jingxing Liao,Jun Huang 056-E221 BIKE-SHARING--A NEW PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION MODE: STATE OF 222 THE PRACTICE & PROSPECTS Shang Wang,Liang Liu,Jiangman hang,Zheng-yu Duan 057-E222 STUDY OF PRODUCTION BOTTLENECK SHIFTINESS MANAGEMENT 226 Shen Miaomiao,Chen Leilei 058-E224 RESEARCH ON DATA MINING TECHNOLOGIES APPLING INTRUSION 230 DETECTION Zhang Qun,Huang Wen-jie 059-E226 MODEL AND PERFORMANCE EVALUATION OF SERVICE 234 INNOVATION:A KNOWLEDGE VALUE CHAIN PERSPECTIVE Zhang Jingmin,Lu Yanqiu,Wang Huijun 060-E231 RISK-CONSIDERED SHAPLEY PROFIT ALLOCATION OF 238 Sui Rubin,Li Fuyan SESSION 7 061-E306 PUBLIC RISK PERCEPTION AND WILLINGNESS TO PAY TOWARDS 242 EMERGENCY ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION A CASE STUDY IN NANJING CHEMICAL INDUSTRY PARK Lu Chaojun, Luo Hong, Lv Lianhong, He Meimei 062-E307 A NEW MULTI-OBJECTIVE MODEL OF LOCATION-ALLOCATION IN 246 EMERGENCY RESPONSE NETWORK DESIGN FOR HAZARDOUS MATERIALS TRANSPORTATION Zhao Jiahong,Shuai Bin 063-E316 ANALYSIS OF GRASS-ROOTS COMMUNITIES’ EMERGENCY 250 MANAGEMENT SYSTEM MODEL Ma Yingnan,Wang Li,Gao Xing 064-E322 AVIATION ACCIDENT CAUSING-ANALYSIS AND PREVENTION 254 STRATEGY ON ORGANIZATIONAL LEVEL Wang Lei,Jin Huibin 065-E323 CASE-BASED REASONING FOR EMERGENCY DISPOSAL OF THE 258 TRAFFIC ACCIDENTS IN REGIONAL HIGHWAY NETWORK ZhaoYong,Lujian 066-E331 DISCRETE RISK ORDER AND ITS APPLICATION IN RANDOM 261 FUZZY ENVIRONMENTS Tao Huang,Jinghua Diao 067-E339 THE DEVELOPMENT AND APPLICATION OF HIGHWAY 264 TRANSPORTATION VOLUME STATISTICAL INFORMATION SYSTEM UNDER THE CONDITION OF VEHICLE SORT AND SUB-CATEGORY OF GOODS Wang Liqiang,Li Xiansheng, Ren Yuanyuan, Liu Yujia 068-E340 HOW TO BUILD A PREPAREDNESS SYSTEM OF UNCONVENTIONAL 269 EMERGENCY-A CASE STUDY ON WENCHUAN EARTHQUAKE Zhiying Zhang, Lei Xiao, Shiming Li 069-E343 STUDY ON THE FUZZY INTEGRATE EVALUATING METHOD OF 273 INTERVAL NUMBER ON THE WORKSHOP SAFETY MANAGEMENT Jinchun Zhang, Chao Wu 070-E353 INVALIDATION RISK EVALUATION FOR PRESTRESSED CABLE BOLT 277 BASED ON MATTER-ELEMENT ANALYSIS Zhu hongwei,Xiang qin SESSION 8 071-E355 LATTICE GAS AUTOMATA-BASED SIMULATION OF EVACUATION 281 Fanliang Buˈ Jianghua Wan 072-E363 THE RESEARCH OF EFFECTIVENESS ASSESSMENT OF 285 UNCONVENTIONAL EMERGENCY PLANS BASED ON SCENARIO Liwei Liu,Liang Liu,Bo Wang 073-E366 OPTIMUM STOCHASTIC ALLOCATION OF INVESTMENT