Weekly Market Recap February 8, 2021 Price Price Returns Index Close Week YTD S&P 500 Index 3,887 4.6% 3.5% Dow Jones Industrial Average 31,148 3.9% 1.8% NASDAQ 13,856 6.0% 7.5% Russell 2000 Index 2,233 7.7% 13.1% MSCI EAFE Index 2,166 2.0% 0.8% 10-yr Treasury Yield 1.17% 0.1% 0.2% Oil WTI ($/bbl) $56.98 9.3% 17.6% Bonds* $116.71 -0.5% -1.0% Source: Bloomberg, FactSet *Bonds represented by the iShares U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF Last Week: U.S. Equity Market • U.S. large cap equities (S&P 500® Index) rose +4.6% (the best week since November), as fiscal stimulus expectations increased with Democrats focused on using budget reconciliation to provide another large COVID-19 relief package (~$1.9 trillion). The Federal Reserve pushed back against premature tapering and stressed the need to look past an expected spike in inflation this spring. According to FactSet, with just under 60% of S&P 500 companies reporting 4Q20 earnings to date, 81% of those companies beat expectations, ahead of the 75% one-year and 74% five-year averages. Treasuries were mostly weaker, as the curve steepened and the 2/10 spread reached its widest level since 2017. Gold lost -2.0%, while Oil (WTI) rose +9.3%. • S&P 500 Index sector returns: o Energy (+8.3%) outperformed, as oil (WTI) rose +9.3%. o Communication services (+7.3%) rose, with strength from Alphabet (+14.3%) on an earnings beat, Twitter (+12.4%), Activision Blizzard (+11.7%) on earnings, and Disney (+7.7%). o Financials (+6.6%) outperformed, led by the banks as the yield curve steepened. o Consumer discretionary (+6.0%) rose, led by restaurants, autos, casinos, travel related stocks, Tesla (+7.4%), and Amazon (+4.6%), with Jeff Bezos retiring as CEO while remaining Chairman. o Industrials (+4.9%) outperformed, led by airlines, aerospace and defense, and FedEx (+8.4%). o Information technology (+4.9%) outperformed, led by software, fintech, Shopify (+17.2%), Workday (+16%), PayPal (+15%), NXP Semiconductors (+13.4%), and Twilio (+11.3%). CoreLogic is being acquired by private equity for $6B ($80/share). o Materials (+3.9%) saw weakness in precious metals mining companies. o REITs (+3.0%), consumer staples (+2.5%), and utilities (+2.3%) underperformed, as investors favored less defensive-oriented sectors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any type of investing involves risk and there are no guarantees. Please reference important disclosures on page 10. 1 Weekly Market Recap February 8, 2021 o Health care (+0.5%) underperformed, with weakness in big pharma and managed care, partially offset by strength in biotech. • The S&P 500 Index and NASDAQ Composite reached record highs last week, as equity sentiment remained positive with expectations for a global economic recovery, additional government stimulus, ongoing accommodative policies from the Federal Reserve and improving corporate earnings. Source: The Daily Shot • The chart below shows that January’s tepid market was driven by above-expectations earnings results being met by shrinking valuations. Entering earnings season, consensus forecasts anticipated a year- over-year earnings decline of -7.7%. Now, earnings are tracking to a 1.9% year-over-year increase. Source: Credit Suisse Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any type of investing involves risk and there are no guarantees. Please reference important disclosures on page 10. 2 Weekly Market Recap February 8, 2021 • Seven of the stocks most impacted by Reddit investors plunged last week, including GameStop (-80%) and AMC Entertainment (-49%). Source: The Daily Shot • The Reddit crowd may have moved onto penny stocks, as Google searches have spiked. Source: The Daily Shot Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any type of investing involves risk and there are no guarantees. Please reference important disclosures on page 10. 3 Weekly Market Recap February 8, 2021 • Will history repeat itself for FANG+? Source: The Daily Shot • Investors preferred small caps and value stocks in the recovery phase, and then favored small caps and momentum in the expansion phase of the business cycle, according to Commerzbank. Source: The Daily Shot Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any type of investing involves risk and there are no guarantees. Please reference important disclosures on page 10. 4 Weekly Market Recap February 8, 2021 Fixed Income Markets • 30-year Treasury yields topped 1.9% for the first time since March, and the gap between five- and 30- year Treasury rates is at its widest since 2016. Source: Bloomberg • Treasury bill issuance reduction and rising inflation expectations contributed to the steepening of the Treasury yield curve. Source: The Daily Shot Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any type of investing involves risk and there are no guarantees. Please reference important disclosures on page 10. 5 Weekly Market Recap February 8, 2021 • Higher Treasury yields are consistent with previous periods of unified political control in Washington D.C., albeit occurring sooner than usual. Source: Deutsche Bank Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any type of investing involves risk and there are no guarantees. Please reference important disclosures on page 10. 6 Weekly Market Recap February 8, 2021 U.S. Economic and Political News • The Senate confirmed Pete Buttigieg as Secretary of Transportation and Alejandro Mayorkas as Secretary of Homeland Security. • Manufacturing PMI rose to 59.2 in the final January reading, above the 57.1 in December and 56.8 consensus estimate. It’s also the highest result since the data series began in 2007. • Services PMI rose to 58.3 in the final January reading, above the preliminary 57.5. • ISM Non-Manufacturing printed 58.7, topping the 56.5 consensus with forecast. • Weekly Jobless Claims of 779,000 came in above the 865,000 consensus expectation. • ADP‘s Employment report showed a gain of 176,000 jobs in January, more than double the 75,000 consensus estimate. • Non-Farm Payrolls increased 49,000, less than half the 100,000 consensus forecast, while the unemployment rate dropped to 6.3% in January (better than the 6.7% consensus estimate). Source: Marketwatch Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any type of investing involves risk and there are no guarantees. Please reference important disclosures on page 10. 7 Weekly Market Recap February 8, 2021 International Markets and News • The Chinese stock market (Shanghai Composite) rose +0.4%, amid reports Alibaba reached an agreement with regulators over the restructuring of its fintech affiliate, Ant Group, whose record USD $34.4B IPO was canceled in November. o In Hong Kong, a record oversubscription by retail investors for the USD 5.4B IPO of Kuaishou Technology revealed huge investor appetite for Chinese tech companies, as shares of the video app company surged 161% in its public trading debut on Friday. It marked the largest technology IPO since Uber in May 2019, and the largest IPO of any company since Saudi Aramco in December 2019. o Following clusters of new COVID-19 outbreaks in northern China, Beijing and several other major cities tightened travel restrictions and testing requirements ahead of next week’s Lunar New Year. This is expected to decrease the number of trips in China by 60% (from 2019 levels) to about 1.2B, the lowest number in 18 years, according to the country’s Ministry of Transport. • European markets (STOXX 600 Index) rose 3.5%, following a strong week for U.S. equities and a surge in COVID-19 vaccinations in the U.K., where more than 10.5M people received a first dose. o Prime Minister Boris Johnson said the government would set a “road map” for cautiously easing restrictions in England later this month. o Poland became one of the first European Union nations to begin reopening its economy, allowing the hospitality sector to start operating from mid-month. o The Eurozone’s GDP contracted -0.7% in the fourth quarter, which was less than expected. • Japanese equities (Nikkei 225 Index) rose 4.0%, alongside strength from U.S. and European markets, even as former deputy governor Kazumasa Iwata said the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is likely to begin allowing long- term Japanese government bond yields to rise through a reduction of long-term bond purchases, which should steepen the yield curve. o Prime Minister Suga extended the state of emergency status for ten prefectures by one month to March 7. o Suga’s approval rating is suffering due to his handling of the pandemic, falling to 43% from 74% when he took office in September 2020. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Any type of investing involves risk and there are no guarantees. Please reference important disclosures on page 10. 8 Weekly Market Recap February 8, 2021 This Week: • Corporate earnings reports mostly wrap up this week with notable earnings including, but not limited to: Coca-Cola, Walt Disney, Toyota Motor, L’Oreal, Cisco, PepsiCo, Softbank, AstraZeneca, TOTAL, Uber, Fidelity National Information Services, S&P Global, General Motors, Air Liquide, Fiserv, Enbridge, Duke Energy, CME Group, Equinix, Illumina, Brookfield Asset Management, Dominion Energy, Global Payments, Equinox, Moody’s., Honda Motor, Twitter, Kraft Heinz, Digital Realty Trust, Zillow Group, Manulife Financial, Datadog, Sands China, Centene, TransDigm Group, O’Reilly Automotive, Simon Property Group, Willis Towers Watson, Welltower, Constellation Software, Cloudflare, KKR, Paycom Software, Take Two, Tyson Foods, Evolution Gaming Group, UniCredit, VeriSign, Great-West, Zebra Technologies, Expedia, HubSpot, Akamai, Restaurant Brands, Tyler Technologies, Generac Holdings, Lyft, Canopy Growth, FMC, Masco, GoDaddy, Pool Corp., Cincinnati Financial, CenturyLink, Hasbro, Loews and Crown Holdings.