AYLESBURY VALE DISTRICT COUNCIL Five Year Housing Land Supply Position Statement April 2019 Planning Policy AYLESBURY VALE DISTRICT COUNCIL The Gateway, Gatehouse Road, Aylesbury Bucks, HP19 8FF Tel: 01296 585866 Email: [email protected] Website: https://www.aylesburyvaledc.gov.uk/section/planning-policy Summary Paragraph 73 of the National Planning Policy Framework (NPPF, February 2019), requires authorities to identify and update annually a supply of deliverable sites sufficient to provide five years’ worth of housing against their housing requirements set out in adopted strategic policies, or against their local housing need [using the standard method for calculating local housing need] where the strategic policies are more than five years old. As the adopted Aylesbury Vale District Local Plan (AVDLP) is now more than five years old, in accordance with the NPPF published in February 2019, the council has identified and updated a supply of specific deliverable sites sufficient to provide a minimum of five years’ worth of housing supply against its minimum local housing need (LHN) defined using the new standard method for calculating local housing need. The Government has confirmed1 the basis of the LHN calculation as the 2014-based household projections, Table 1 below sets out the land supply calculations for Aylesbury Vale against the council’s local housing need as established by the Standard Methodology against the CLG 2014- based household projections (and 2018 affordability ratios). Table 1: Five-year land supply calculation based on CLG 2014-based household projections for 1st April 2018 to 31st March 2023 Numerator (identified supply) CLG 2014-based household projections A Total identified deliverable supply 2018/19 to 8,544 2022/23 10% non-implementation deduction -149 B Total projected supply from windfall sites 194 C Total projected supply 2018/19 to 2022/23 8,589 D Denominator (housing requirement) E Standard method for calculating Local 1,451 Housing Need (dwellings per annum) F Total five year requirement 7,255 G 5% buffer to ensure choice and competition 363 in the market for land (NPPF para.73 a) (F x 0.05) H F+G 7,618 I Five-year housing land supply 5.64 years (112.75%) 1 See 20 February update to Planning Practice Guidance section on Housing and Economic Needs Assessment Paragraph: 005 Reference ID: 2a-005-20190220 https://www.gov.uk/guidance/housing-and-economic-development-needs- assessments 1 Table 2: Five-year land supply calculation based on CLG 2014-based household projections for 1st April 2019 to 31st March 2024 Numerator (identified supply) CLG 2014-based household projections A Total identified deliverable supply 2018/19 to 8,995 2022/23 10% non-implementation deduction -216 B Total projected supply from windfall sites 291 C Total projected supply 2018/19 to 2022/23 9,070 D Denominator (housing requirement) E Standard method for calculating Local 1,451 Housing Need (dwellings per annum) F Total five year requirement 7,255 G 5% buffer to ensure choice and competition 363 in the market for land (NPPF para.73 a) (F x 0.05) H F+G 7,618 I Five-year housing land supply 5.95 years (119.06%) Based on this approach the council can demonstrate 5.64 years’ worth of deliverable housing supply against its local housing need. This position statement replaces the June 2018 position statement and takes into account the 2019 revised NPPF, the new Planning Practice Guidance and the latest situation on the emerging Vale of Aylesbury Local Plan which is currently being examined. The next full position statement will be produced in summer 2019 and include the data of the monitoring year 2018/19. For this future statement, the council will make every effort to ensure that at the time of preparing the position statement, its forecasts of housing land supply are robust and incorporate up to date information. This will include: recent survey data on build progress of large housing sites and feedback/ contact between the council and landowners/ developers on the likely timescales for the development of their sites to ensure the council is able to show clear evidence that housing completions will begin on site within five years. To achieve this housing supply, it has been assessed based on the 2019 NPPF definition of “deliverable”. Further information on the approach is set out in the supporting technical note at Appendix A. In accordance with the NPPF, Aylesbury Vale District Council is able to show a five year supply of deliverable housing sites applying the appropriate buffer of 5% based on previous levels of good delivery and a 2018 Housing Delivery Test result of 133%. The calculation above in Tables 1 and 2 clearly demonstrates that Aylesbury Vale District Council has over 5 years worth of deliverable housing supply against its local housing need. Therefore, in accordance with NPPF para 73 Aylesbury Vale is able to demonstrate a supply of specific deliverable sites sufficient to provide a minimum of five years’ worth of housing against its Local Housing Need as strategic policies in the adopted Aylesbury Vale District Local Plan 2004 are more than five years old. Further information and justification for this approach is set out in the supporting technical note at Appendix A. The monitoring of the future housing supply is detailed in the “Aylesbury Vale District Housing Trajectory 2013-2033” (Appendices C-E) and the “List of deliverable sites contributing to the 2 projected housing supply excluding proposed VALP allocations ” with commentary on achievability (Appendix F). APPENDIX A Five-Year Housing Land Supply Technical Note: April 2019 1. Introduction 1.1 Paragraph 73 of the updated National Planning Policy Framework (NPPF) (2019), published 19 February 2019, states that: “Local planning authorities should identify and update annually a supply of specific deliverable sites sufficient to provide a minimum of five years’ worth of housing against their housing requirement set out in adopted strategic policies, or against their local housing need where the strategic policies are more than five years old.” 1.2 This position statement meets that requirement to demonstrate a supply of deliverable sites and sets out the approach to meeting housing requirements in Aylesbury Vale pending the adoption of the new local plan, the Vale of Aylesbury Local Plan (VALP). It sets out the Aylesbury Vale District Council five year housing land supply It replaces the previously published June 2018 Five Year housing land supply annual position statement which was based on the content of a previous version of the NPPF. 2. Headline Figures 2.1 Aylesbury Vale has 5.64 years worth of deliverable housing supply against its local housing need. This is based on: An identified supply of 8,544 deliverable homes in the next five years (2018/19- 2022/23) in accordance with the 2019 definition2 of deliverable sites and a total supply of 8,589 when factoring in a windfall allowance and a non-implementation deduction. An annual local housing need (using the standard method for calculating local housing need) of either 1,451 dwellings per year (based on the CLG 2014-based household projections) A 5% buffer to ensure choice and competition in the market for land, as the result of the Government’s 2018 Housing Delivery Test is 133% Further information and supporting justification for this approach is set out below. 2 See NPPF 2019 Glossary on page 66 the term ‘deliverable’ https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/revised-national- planning-policy-framework#revised-national-planning-policy-framework 3 3. Further Information and Supporting Justification Identified Supply of Deliverable Sites 3.1 The housing trajectory at Appendices C-E identify that 8,544 homes will be delivered in Aylesbury Vale in the next five year period 2018/19-2022/23. 3.2 The supply for Aylesbury Vale in this position statement is derived from the following sources of new housing (on sites as at 31 March 2018) where deliverability can be evidenced: sites with unimplemented planning permissions sites that do not yet have planning permission but where there is a resolution to grant permission, subject to a S106 or planning obligation agreement made neighbourhood plan allocations (without planning permission) sites that have been approved via notification to come forward under permitted development rights proposed allocations in the VALP submission plan sites with extra care units 3.3 Appendix D and F to this statement are full lists of sites of 5 dwellings, set out as a trajectory (D) and as a list with deliverability commentary (F). Appendix G is a full list of sites under 5 dwellings. Deliverability of the Supply 3.4 The NPPF (2019) Annexe 2 defines a site as ‘Deliverable’ as follows: “To be considered deliverable, sites for housing should be available now, offer a suitable location for development now, and be achievable with a realistic prospect that housing will be delivered on the site within five years. In particular: a) sites which do not involve major development and have planning permission, and all sites with detailed planning permission, should be considered deliverable until permission expires, unless there is clear evidence that homes will not be delivered within five years (for example because they are no longer viable, there is no longer a demand for the type of units or sites have long term phasing plans). b) where a site has outline planning permission for major development, has been allocated in a development plan, has a grant of permission in principle, or is identified on a brownfield register, it should only be considered deliverable where there is clear evidence that housing completions will begin on site within five years.” 3.5 Planning Practice Guidance (2018) section ‘Housing and economic land availability assessment’ Paragraph 036 sets out that the ‘clear evidence’ to demonstrate that housing completions will begin within 5 years may include: Any progress being made towards the submission of an application; Any progress with site assessment work; and Any relevant information about site viability, ownership constraints or infrastructure provision.