THE RUSSIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES INSTITUTE OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT OF TERRITORIES OF RAS ECONOMIC AND SOCIAL CHANGES: FACTS, TRENDS, FORECAST 2 (26) 2013 The journal is published according to the decision of RAS economic institutions’ administration in the North-West Federal District Institute of Socio-Economic and Energy Problems of the North Komi scientific centre of the Ural RAS Department (Komi Republic) Institute of Economics of Karelian scientific centre of RAS (Karelia Republic) G.P. Luzin Institute of Economic Problems of Kola scientific centre of RAS (the Murmansk Oblast) Institute of Socio-Economic Development of Territories of RAS (the Vologda Oblast) and according to the decision of the administration of Saint Petersburg State University of Economics and Finance Cherepovets State University (the Vologda Oblast) and RAS institutions of other RF regions Institute of Social and Economic Research of Ufa Science Centre of RAS (Bashkortostan Republic) Institute of Economics of the Ural RAS Department (the Sverdlovsk Oblast) The decision of Presidium of the Higher Attestation Commission of the Russian MES (No.6/6, dated 19.02.2010) the journal is included in the list of leading scientific editions, recommended for publication of the main results of dissertations for the degree of Doctor and Ph.D. Editorial council: RAS Academician V.L. Makarov (Moscow, Russia) RAS Academician V.V. Ivanter (Moscow, Russia) RAS Academician V.V. Okrepilov (St. Petersburg, Russia) RAS Academician A.I. Tatarkin (Yekaterinburg, Russia) Belarus NAS Academician P.A. Vityaz (Minsk, Belarus) Belarus NAS Academician P.G. Nikitenko (Minsk, Belarus) RAS Corresponding Member V.N. Lazhentsev (Syktyvkar, Russia) Professor J. Sapir (Paris, France) Doctor of Economics, Professor S.D. Valentey (Moscow, Russia) Doctor of Economics, Professor D.A. Gaynanov (Ufa, Russia) Doctor of Economics, Professor A.E. Dayneko (Minsk, Belarus) Doctor of Economics, Professor V.A. Ilyin (Vologda, Russia) Professor M. Kivinen (Helsinki, Finland) Doctor of Sociology, Professor I.V. Kotlyarov (Minsk, Belarus) Doctor of Economics, Professor S.V. Kuznetsov (St. Petersburg, Russia) Doctor of Economics, Professor F.D. Larichkin (Apatity, Russia) Doctor of Economics, Professor I.A. Maksimtsev (St. Petersburg, Russia) Doctor of Technics, Professor A.V. Putilov (Moscow, Russia) Doctor of Technical Sciences Yu.Ya. Chukreev (Syktyvkar, Russia) Doctor of Technics, Professor A.I. Shishkin (Petrozavodsk, Russia) Doctor, Professor Zhang Shuhua (Beijing, China) Professor Wu Enyuan (Beijing, China) Ph.D. in Sociology, Associate Professor D.V. Afanasyev (Cherepovets, Russia) Chief editor – V.A. Ilyin Editorial board: Doctor of Economics, Professor L.A. Anosova Doctor of Economics, Professor A.G. Vorobyov Doctor of Economics, Professor E.S. Gubanova Ph.D. in History K.A. Gulin (deputy chief editor) Ph.D. in Economics K.A. Zadumkin, Ph.D. in Economics G.V. Leonidova Ph.D. in Economics M.F. Sychev (deputy chief editor, Executive Editor) Ph.D. in Economics S.V. Terebova Doctor of Economics T.V. Uskova, Doctor of Economics A.A. Shabunova Opinions presented in the articles can differ from the editorial board’s point of view. Authors of the articles are responsible for the material selected and stated. ISSN 1998-0698 © ISEDT RAS, 2013 Internet address: http://esc.vscc.ac.ru CONTENT FROM THE CHIEF EDITOR Ilyin V.A. Anxious expectations remain ............................................................................. 5 DEVELOPMENT STRATEGY Uskova T.V., Selimenkov R.Yu. On the issue of formation of development institutions in the region ...............................................................................................13 Snegov V.V., Dyadik V.V. Assessment of the potential of large business’ participation in the socio-economic development of the Arctic region ...........................23 Myakota Ye.А., Vorobiev A.G., Putilov A.V. Assessment of economic potential of the Chelyabinsk Oblast: state and development prospects .......................33 BRANCH-WISE ECONOMY Kobylinskaya G.V. Industry characteristics of investment processes in the Northwestern Federal District .........................................................................................43 Ivanov V.A. Opportunities and barriers to the agrarian sector modernization in the Northern and subarctic territories in the conditions of Russia’s WTO membership ....................................................................52 Shishkin A.I., Biktimirova Ye.D. Methodological framework for establishing the tourism and recreation cluster ‘Zaonezhye’ (Republic of Kareila) ...........................64 SOCIAL DEVELOPMENT Shabunova A.A., Astashov V.N., Kondakova N.A., Shkarevskaya S.M. Health care modernization assessed by population and health workers ..........................76 Leonidova G.V., Ustinova K.A. Youth employment as a condition of the social-labour sphere modernization ................................................................................89 Popova L.A., Zorina Ye.N. Russian model of population ageing (in the case of the Northern regions) .............................................................................98 MANAGEMENT ISSUES Povarova A.I. Inefficient VAT administration as a threat to Russia’s economic security ...111 Dligach A.A. System-reflexive marketing in business management in the post-Soviet space ...........................................................................125 ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS Panikarova S.V., Vlasov M.V. Current trends in the traditional nature management of indigenous peoples of Siberia (the case of the Republic of Khakassia) ....135 Pechatkin V.V. The evolution of forest exploitation and restoration in Russia: myths and realities ...................................................................................143 YOUNG RESEARCHERS Lastochkina M.A. Social security of Russia’s population: an overview of the past years studies .....................................................................................................152 Bikeyeva M.V. Factors of social investment dynamics at the enterprise ...........................160 Chegodayev A.V. Participation of Vologda residents in All-Russian Schoolchildren Olympiad: performance results and ways of development .........................165 TOPICAL ISSUE Reviews of V.A. Ilyin and A.I. Povarova’s book ‘Problems of government management efficiency. Budget crisis in the regions’ .....................................................174 Information about authors ............................................................................................179 Requirements to manuscripts ........................................................................................184 Subscription information ...............................................................................................186 FROM THE CHIEF EDITOR Anxious expectations remain May 7 marks one year since V.V. Putin began his third Presidency. What changes have happened in Russian socio-political and socio- economic life for this year? Especially regarding the fact that these changes are taking place alongside the challenging global events, related to the formation of the new world order. In our opinion, the most important political result of the first year Vladimir A. ILYIN of V.V. Putin’s third Presidency concerning the Russian society consists Doctor of Economics, in the fact that a precarious model of governing the state, the so-called Professor, Honoured ‘power tandem’, is now fading into the past. But it is fading slowly: the Scientist of the Russian team of the previous President, formed during his 4 years in office, Federation, Director of moved to D.A. Medvedev’s Government and it tries to pursue its course ISEDT RAS, Chairman of extreme liberalism, the maximum withdrawal of the state from the of the Public Chamber spheres of economic and social policy. in the Vologda Oblast [email protected] This course is actually aimed at the creation of conditions that [email protected] do not promote the execution of President Putin’s 11 decrees as of May 7, 2012, which contain the orders (where definite figure indicators are established) to the RF Government headed by D.A. Medvedev. These orders are aimed at solving the tasks set in V.V. Putin’s election papers. The most evident proof of this approach can be seen in the RF Government Resolution ‘Main guidelines of activities of the Government of the Russian Federation up to 2018’ dated January 31, 2013, that contains 37 pages of ‘good intentions and wishes’ to fulfill the tasks set in these Presidential decrees. The table below shows that from the 30 figure indicators, contained in V.V. Putin’s decrees, the ‘Main guidelines of activities of the Government of the Russian Federation up to 2018’ lack 19 indicators; the intermediate or final values of 5 indicators are absent; and the planned values of 2 indicators have been changed. It should be noted that such a policy of emasculating the actual target indicators of enhancement of the population’s life quality, the quality of economy, state and civil society, and drowning these indicators in empty talk has been foreseen by some experts. So, V. Tretyakov in his article Citizens have something to worry about (Literaturnaya Gazeta, issue of March 28, 2012) writes about the Economic and social changes: facts, trends, forecast 2 (26) 2013 5 Anxious expectations remain disputes over the article of K. Zatulin How to And in this regard, it has to be admitted that