MAY 2, 2015 • CHURCHILL DOWNS California Chrome and Jockey Victor Espinoza win the 2014 Kentucky Derby 866.88XPRESS (866.889.7737) National Gambling Support Line 800.522.4700 Fellow Racing Fan, Welcome to Xpressbet’s free Derby Wager Guide! This season’s Kentucky Derby appears to be one of the most competitive in recent years. American Pharoah, Dortmund, Carpe Diem, Materiality and others are incredibly talented sophomores. Solving this handicapping puzzle will be a real challenge. Hopefully, this Guide will help you enjoy the race from start to finish and maybe even cash a winning wager. Xpressbet will offer online, phone and mobile wagering on the entire Triple Crown series—and produce Free Wager Guides for remaining events: Preakness (available May 8) and Belmont (available May 29). As a current account holder you know Xpressbet is the best place to watch and wager on great racing from around the world. If you don’t already have an Xpressbet account, act now to earn up to $125 in bonus cash! That money will come in handy during the Triple Crown. Complete details are available on the website. The Kentucky Derby is one of the most important racing days worldwide and Xpressbet is happy to arm horseplayers with valuable information. That’s why we’ve recruited top handicappers, writers and broadcasters to examine the race—Analysis, Main Contenders, Value Plays and $100 Wagering Strategies. In addition to race-by-race expert commentary, inside you’ll also find useful Stats and Trends, a handy Exotic Wagering Chart, exclusive workout information and much more. This season, following the Kentucky Derby post-position draw, Xpressbet will produce an updated version of this Guide to reflect changes in expert opinions based on up-to-the-minute information. Make certain to return to the Xpressbet website Thursday, April 30 to get an updated version. Xpressbet hopes your 2015 Kentucky Derby wagering experience is fruitful and we look forward to serving as your advance deposit account wagering provider for the big day and into the future. Sincerely, Ron Luniewski President Xpressbet $125 SIGN UP BONUS XPERIENCE THE BEST IN ONLINE WAGERING: 3 STREAMLINED WAGERING INTERFACES THE MOST DEPOSIT OPTIONS IN THE INDUSTRY FREE VIDEO & RACE REPLAYS FREE PAST PERFORMANCES OVER 300 TRACKS TO CHOOSE FROM XB FRIENDS REFERRAL PROGRAM Sign Up Today with Promo Code KDWG2015 866.88XPRESS (866.889.7737) Must be 18 or older (21 in AL, IA, KS, NH, ND, WA) to open an account with Xpressbet, LLC and reside in a state where such activity is legal. Void where prohibited. National Gambling Support Line 800.522.4700. MUBTAAHIJ (IRE) (20/1) 6 Owner: Sheikh Mohammed bin Khalifa al Maktoum Trainer: Mike F. De Kock Jockey: Christophe Soumillon EL KABEIR (30/1) 7 Owner: Zayat Stables, LLC Trainer: John P. Terranova, II Jockey: Calvin H. Borel OCHO OCHO OCHO DORTMUND (3/1) 1 (50/1) 8 Owner: Kaleem Shah, Inc. Owner: DP Racing, LLC Trainer: Bob Baffert Trainer: James M. Cassidy Jockey: Martin Garcia Jockey: Elvis Trujillo CARPE DIEM (8/1) BOLO (30/1) 2 Owner: WinStar Farm, LLC & 9 Owner: Golden Pegasus Stonestreet Stables Racing, Inc. Trainer: Todd A. Pletcher Trainer: Carla Gaines Jockey: John R. Velazquez Jockey: Rafael Bejarano MATERIALITY (12/1) FIRING LINE (12/1) 3 Owner: Alto Racing, LLC 10 Owner: Arnold Zetcher, LLC Trainer: Todd A. Pletcher Trainer: Simon Callaghan Jockey: Javier C. Castellano Jockey: Gary L. Stevens TENCENDUR (30/1) STANFORD (30/1) 4 Owner: Phillip S. Birsh 11 Owner: Stonestreet Stables, LLC, Trainer: George Weaver M. Magnier, M. Tabor & D. Smith Jockey: Manuel Franco Trainer: Todd A. Pletcher Jockey: Florent Geroux DANZIG MOON (30/1) INTERNATIONAL STAR (20/1) 5 Owner: John C. Oxley 12 Owner: Kenneth L. and Trainer: Mark E. Casse Sarah K. Ramsey Jockey: Julien R. Leparoux Trainer: Michael J. Maker Jockey: Miguel Mena Watch Us on YouTube Watch Us on YouTube Watch Us on YouTube ITSAKNOCKOUT (30/1) AMERICAN PHAROAH 13 Owner: Starlight Racing 18 (5/2) Trainer: Todd A. Pletcher Owner: Zayat Stables, LLC Jockey: Luis Saez Trainer: Bob Baffert Jockey: Victor Espinoza KEEN ICE (50/1) UPSTART (15/1) 14 Owner: Donegal Racing 19 Owner: Ralph M. Evans & Trainer: Dale L. Romans WinStar Farm, LLC Jockey: Kent J. Desormeaux Trainer: Richard A. Violette Jr. Jockey: Jose L. Ortiz FROSTED (15/1) FAR RIGHT (30/1) 15 Owner: Godolphin Racing, LLC 20 Owner: Robert V. LaPenta & Trainer: Kiaran P. McLaughlin Harry T. Rosenblum Jockey: Joel Rosario Trainer: Ron Moquett Jockey: Mike E. Smith WAR STORY (50/1) FRAMMENTO (50/1) 16 Owner: Loooch Racing Stable & 21 Owner: Mossarosa Christopher T. Dunn Trainer: Nicholas P. Zito Trainer: Thomas M. Amoss Jockey: Corey Nakatani Jockey: Joe Talamo AE MR. Z (50/1) TALE OF VERVE (50/1) 17 Owner: Zayat Stables, LLC 22 Owner: Charles E. Fipke Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas Trainer: Dallas Stewart Jockey: Ramon Vazquez AE Jockey: Brian J. Hernandez Jr. Winningest Kentucky Derby Post Positions - Last 40 years Post Wins 6 5 4 4 4 4 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Watch Us on YouTube Watch Us on YouTube Watch Us on YouTube Churchill Downs Workout Reports by Gary Young Private Clocker Tuesday, April 28 Firing Line Mr. Z (3F in 36) Notes: Looked well-composed in his first visit to Notes: The D. Wayne Lukas trainee had an easy blowout Churchill. A good effort from him is expected from this today, but other than a possible 3/8 work for Ocho Ocho observer. Ocho Wednesday, the morning activity is now about Bolo watching the players jog, gallop and which ones are not Notes: Looked good in his jet black coat for his first day fazed by the madhouse that becomes Churchill Downs here. this week every year. Stanford & Materiality Firing Line Notes: Both had good energy for “The Godfather,” Todd Notes: Has galloped in “Beast Mode” in draw reins Pletcher. every day he’s been in training, and he looked great today. Sunday, April 26 Dortmund American Pharoah (5F in 58.40 – splits 11.40, 23.00, 34.60 Notes: Like a lot of bigger-than-average athletes, he and galloped out 6F in 1:11.80) can sometimes take a while to move perfectly. Come to Notes: Went smooth as silk from the time he was turned think of it, so do I, and so do lots of other people. That loose from the pony entering the backstretch. I have been has not been the case since his last race. He looked fortunate enough to have timed many fast horses over awesome in his jog yesterday and his gallop today. His the last 35 years I have held a stopwatch. This horse does monster win at Churchill last fall cannot be taken lightly things like very few horses I’ve ever seen. Anything can and Mr. Baffert has major ammo this year. happen in a horse race, particularly one with 20 horses Carpe Diem conducted in front of 120,000 people, but if this horse Notes: Galloped with the pony. He was beautiful when runs like he has been and how he worked today, he will he sold as a 2-year-old and he still has an intimidating win the Derby. He is like Michael Jordan in his younger aura to him. days. He simply stays in the air longer than the other horses. Mubtaahij Notes: Made his first appearance at the track and Saturday, April 25 conducted himself with class. The man calling the shots, Mike de Kock, knows how to win when the bright lights Tencendur (5F in 1:00.00 – splits 11.60, 23.40, 35.20 and are on - and his Dubai win was visually impressive. galloped out 6F in 1:40.40) Notes: Appeared best in company while on his own most Monday, April 27 of way. Handsome colt appears to have talent, but you get the idea he picked the wrong year. Dortmund Notes: Made his first appearance and was moving Keen Ice (5F in 1:10.60 – splits 24 flat, 48.60) very fluidly in a jog while returning to the scene of his Notes: Worked under hand urging while going an eighth awesome second race. He hasn’t shrunk in the 2 weeks past the wire to the 7/8ths pole. This was average work since I last saw him. for a colt that is known to be a lazy sort in the mornings. Watch Us on YouTube Watch Us on YouTube Watch Us on YouTube A Last Look at the Derby Lineup by Gary Young Private Clocker #1) Ocho Ocho Ocho Diminutive colt that yours truly had a hand in choosing at auction was up against it to begin with, and then he drew the 1 hole. As Marty Feldman said in Young Frankenstein, “could be worse, it could be raining!” He blew out 3/8 in 38.40 Wednesday morning. #2) Carpe Diem In a field this deep, it was pretty much a certainty that one of the key contenders was going to get the shaft in terms of post position -- and it was this big red freight train. He galloped fine Wednesday, but the post draw severely damaged his chances. #3) Materiality He schooled again at the gate Wednesday. It’s very tough to gauge how the Florida Derby will stack up. He’s light on experience and will get a crash course from this post. #4) Tencendur He has looked fine training here, but one gets the idea it’s hot and dirty time for him. #5) Danzig Moon He has caught the eye galloping all week and looked good Wednesday.