THE ECONOMIC IMPACT OF HUAWEI IN POLAND NOVEMBER 2020 The economic impact of Huawei in Poland POLAND Direct Indirect HUAWEI’S ECONOMIC IMPACT IN 2019 Induced Total Totals may not sum due to rounding. SPENDING WITH POLISH SUPPLIERS: €116 million CONTRIBUTION TO GDP EMPLOYMENT €95 800 million jobs €125 4,300 million jobs €126 4,600 million jobs €347 million 9,700 jobs 0.1% of Poland’s total GDP 0.1% of Poland’s total employment TAX REVENUES €175 million 0.1% of Poland’s total tax revenue HUAWEI’S ECONOMIC IMPACT BETWEEN 2015 AND 2019 All figures are annual averages (monetary values in 2019 prices) Spend with Polish suppliers: Contribution to GDP: €74 million €263 million Employment: 7, 200 jobs Tax revenues: Real growth in tax revenues 2015-2019: 135% €119 million 2 The economic impact of Huawei in Poland THE ECONOMIC IMPACT OF HUAWEI IN POLAND Huawei expanded its HUAWEI’S ECONOMIC CONTRIBUTION operations to Poland in 2017, with its representative office Huawei’s contribution to the • In addition, Huawei and the based in Warsaw. Huawei’s Polish economy is captured firms in its supply chain products and services reach through three channels: pay their staff wages. millions of local people, These wage payments Huawei’s direct contribution working alongside providers • are spent on goods and is generated through its own including P4, Orange, T-Mobile services at retail, leisure and operations in Poland, as well and Polkomtel. Huawei has other outlets, stimulating as the direct hiring of Polish made a sizeable contribution additional gross value staff and direct tax payments to the Polish economy over added (GVA), employment to the Polish government. the last five years, through and taxes through Huawei’s its local operations and its • In conducting its operations, induced contribution. procurement from Polish- Huawei purchases inputs based suppliers. of goods and services In 2019, Huawei made a direct from Polish suppliers. This GVA contribution to Polish Huawei commissioned Oxford procurement supports GDP of €94.9 million, up Economics to investigate economic activity, jobs from €44.7 million in 2015— and quantify its economic and taxation further along equivalent to average annual contribution to Europe in 2019. its local supply chain. This growth of 20.7%.1 In making This summary report details activity along the supply this direct GVA contribution the contribution the company chain is known as the firm’s in 2019, Huawei spent €115.8 made in Poland. indirect contribution. million on inputs from Polish suppliers (see Fig. 1 below); this was 1.4% of Huawei’s Fig. 1: Huawei’s procurement from Polish suppliers, 2015-2019 procurement in Europe.2 mllon pres Huawei’s procurement in Poland has increased 140 significantly over the last five years—up from €25.1 120 million in 2015. This increase is 115.8 equivalent to average growth 100 108.3 of 46.5% per year between 2015 and 2019. 80 Huawei’s procurement stimulated a €125.5 million 60 GVA contribution along its 59.2 59.6 Polish supply chain (its indirect 40 impact) in 2019. This is a 27.2% average annual rise from the 20 25.1 €47.9 million in 2015. The majority of this contribution 0 (€51.0 million or 40.6%) was 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 stimulated in the manufacturing Source: Huawei industry (see Fig. 2). 1 All figures throughout this report are presented in 2019 prices and comparisons are measured in real terms. 2 More specifically, the twelve countries in which Huawei conducts most of its procurement within Europe. 3 The economic impact of Huawei in Poland Fig. 2: Huawei’s indirect and induced contribution to Poland’s GDP by industry, 2019 mllon 90 Induced GDP Total Induced GVA: €126.1 million 80 77.9 Indirect GDP Total Indirect GVA: €125.5 million 70 26.9 60.1 60 56.0 50 27.1 40 43.5 30 51.0 22.3 19.0 20 16.3 28.9 10.8 8.7 9.1 10 16.6 11.6 10.3 7.2 0 Manufacturing Wholesale Business Mining & Transport Other & retail services utilities services Source: Huawei, Oxford Economics A further €126.1 million Fig. 3: Huawei’s direct, indirect and induced contribution to contribution to Polish GDP was Poland’s GDP, 2015-2019 supported through the induced mllon pres channel in 2019. This was up 400 from €59.3 million in 2015, corresponding to an average Induced annual rise of 20.8%. 350 346.5 Of this, €27.1 million or 21.5% Indirect was supported in the wholesale Direct 303.8 & retail sector. A similar amount 300 was also supported in the 126.1 256.5 255.1 manufacturing industry. 250 106.2 In total we estimate that 91.7 92.7 Huawei’s operations around 200 Europe supported an overall contribution to Polish GDP 151.9 125.5 150 of €346.5 million in 2019, 105.2 74.2 accounting for 0.07% of 59.3 72.1 Poland’s total economy that 100 year (see Fig. 3). The firm’s contribution to the Polish 47.9 economy has increased 50 90.5 90.3 92.4 94.9 significantly in recent years, 44.7 recording an average annual 0 growth rate of 22.9% between 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2015 and 2019. Source: Huawei, Oxford Economics 4 The economic impact of Huawei in Poland The economic activity Huawei Fig. 4: Huawei’s contribution to employment in Poland, 2015-2019 supported in Poland also Headcount sustains employment in the 12,000 country. In 2019, the company Induced employed 800 workers Indirect 10,000 9,700 in Poland, twice the level Direct recorded in 2015 (see Fig. 4). 7,900 Its procurement supported 8,000 4,600 4,300 jobs along its Polish 6,700 6,600 supply chain up from 2,000 in 6,000 3,800 2015—this is equivalent to an 5,000 3,600 3,500 average annual rise of 21.1%. 4,000 A further 4,600 jobs were 2,600 4,300 sustained by wage-financed 3,600 spending in the induced 2,000 2,600 2,000 2,700 channel in 2019, representing 400 400 500 800 an average annual increase of 0 500 15.3% since 2015. 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Source: Huawei, Oxford Economics Combined, Huawei supported a total of 9,700 jobs across Fig. 5: Huawei’s contribution to Polish tax receipts, 2015-2019 Poland in 2019. This was mllon pres an average annual growth 180 175.0 of 18.0% from the 5,000 Induced 160 jobs supported in 2015, and Indirect 42.3 136.8 equated to 0.06% of national 140 employment in 2019. Direct 120 36.0 104.2 106.8 34.0 Finally, Huawei makes a 100 positive contribution to public 31.5 74.4 30.9 29.0 finances in Poland, through 80 20.0 taxes generated in the direct, 60 19.4 20.6 indirect and induced channels. 13.1 98.8 40 This supports essential 71.8 52.6 55.3 spending on important public 20 41.9 services. Huawei and its staff contributed €98.8 million to 0 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Polish tax receipts in 2019, Source: Huawei, Oxford Economics more than double the amount generated in 2015 (€41.9 rise of 26.9%. An additional €175.0 million in tax receipts million)—see Fig. 5. Huawei’s contribution to taxation of in Poland in 2019, equivalent procurement from Polish €42.3 million was supported to an average annual increase suppliers stimulated a further in 2019 via the induced of 23.8% since 2015. The total €34.0 million in tax receipts channel. This compares to taxation of €175.0 million in the indirect channel. This €19.4 million through the same supported by Huawei in 2019 was almost three-times channel in 2015, representing is roughly equivalent to the the contribution made in average growth of 21.5% per average salaries for 7,000 2015 (€13.1 million) and year over the last five years. Polish teachers.3 represented an average annual In total, Huawei supported 3 Using OECD data. Based on an annual salary of €24,904 in 2019 for lower secondary teachers. 5 The economic impact of Huawei in Poland HUAWEI’S WIDER CONTRIBUTION Outside of these expenditure Huawei has also made impacts, Huawei plays important social contributions an important role in R&D to Polish life, in addition investment across the globe. to the investment in R&D In 2018, it was the fifth largest and economic impact. In corporate investor in R&D in 2019 Huawei ran its sixth the world, making a global edition of ‘Seeds for the investment of €12.7 billion. Its Future’ alongside six Polish role is particularly important universities and four patrons. in Europe, where it made the In addition, Huawei worked most patent applications to alongside Poznan University the European Patent Office of Technology and launched in 2019. The company’s an ICT competition aiding commitment towards R&D and engagement in ICT, of which innovation is also present in 100 students were involved. Poland. For example, Huawei has established an R&D centre in Warsaw and has held its Developer Day conference in the capital. Furthermore, it was announced in October 2019 that Huawei would invest $10 million into the development of its own ‘ecosystem’ in Poland.4 4 Huawei. (2019). Huawei will invest 10 million USD into the development of its own ecosystem in Poland. Available at: https:// 6 consumer.huawei.com/en/mobileservices/huawei-developer-day/poland/ [Accessed: 17 September 2020] The economic impact of Huawei in Poland OXFORD ECONOMICS Oxford Economics was founded in 1981 as a November 2020 commercial venture with Oxford University’s business college to provide economic All data shown in tables and charts are forecasting and modelling to UK companies Oxford Economics’ own data, except where and financial institutions expanding abroad.