Volume 49 • Issue 1 IMS Bulletin January/February 2020 National Academy of Medicine CONTENTS M. Elizabeth ‘Betz’ Halloran elected to US National Academy of Medicine 1 National Academy of The United States National Academy of Medicine (NAM) announced the election Medicine elects Betz of 90 regular members and 10 international members during its annual meeting in Halloran October. Election to the Academy is considered one of the highest honors in the fields 2 Members’ news: Speakers at of health and medicine and recognizes individuals who have demonstrated outstanding SSP; David Allison professional achievement and commitment to service. Among those newly elected was M. Elizabeth “Betz” Halloran. She is a professor of biostatistics 3 Journal news; IMS Special Lectures; online Bulletin at the University of Washington, and a full member of the Vaccine and Infectious Diseases Division at Fred Hutchinson 4 Obituary: Salem Khamis Cancer Research Center in Seattle. “It’s a real honor to be 5 Seeking old Bulletins recognized by your peers,” said Halloran. “It’s just thrilling to 6 XL-Files: Time Travel and Dark Center Research Cancer Hutchinson Fred have that kind of recognition.” Data Halloran was honored for her seminal contributions to the Betz Halloran design and analysis of human trials of new vaccines and to the 8 Previews: Ashwin Pananjady, Didong Li; Parzen Prize study of how infectious diseases spread through populations. (Her citation reads, “For pioneering the development of statistical methods and modeling for evaluating vaccines 10 Student Puzzle Corner; in populations, and contributions to evaluating direct and indirect effects of vaccines and Nominations: IMS Fellows, improving design and analysis of vaccine studies.”) Carver, Travel Awards Since her graduate research in malaria, Halloran has worked on outbreaks of about 11 Recent papers: Electronic a dozen different diseases. Her current work includes projects in influenza, Ebola and Journal of Probability; Electronic dengue fever, a globally important mosquito-borne illness. Communications in Probability; “Betz Halloran’s development of innovative epidemiological and statistical models 16 Meetings for the spread of infectious diseases have had substantial impact in the anticipation 20 Employment Opportunities and management of global infectious disease outbreaks,” said her Fred Hutch colleague and NAM member Dr. Ross Prentice, who nominated her for the honor. “She has also 24 International Calendar of been a major contributor to methodology for the design and analysis of vaccine studies, Meetings including key contributions to the evaluation of direct and indirect effects of vaccines. 27 Information for Advertisers “Dr. Halloran also fulfills a leading role in related multicenter research collabo- rations and training activities. Many of these contributions and developments have occurred during the past 15 years, while Betz has been here in Seattle,” he said. The mathematical and statistical methods that Halloran has developed have been widely adopted and built upon. They account for the many complex variables that affect the impact of a vaccine in a population, such as interpersonal contact and herd immunity. Betz Halloran is a fellow of the American Statistical Association, the Royal Statistical Society, and the American Association for the Advancement of Science. She Read it online: received the ASA’s 2019 Nathan Mantel Lifetime Achievement Award. imstat.org/news See the full list of new NAM members at http://www.nasonline.org/news-and- multimedia/news/2019-nas-election.html IMS Bulletin 2 . IMS Bulletin Volume 49 . Issue 1 Volume 49 • Issue 1 January/February 2020 IMS Members’ News ISSN 1544-1881 Speakers at the Seminar on Stochastic Processes 2020 Contact information The Seminar on Stochastic Processes (SSP) 2020 will be held on March 4–7, 2020, IMS Bulletin Editor: Tati Howell (Wednesday through Saturday) at Michigan State University (MSU), in East Lansing, MI, [email protected] USA. As well as informal presentations by conference participants, there will be plenary Managing Editor: Bob Keener talks by the following five invited speakers: Martin Barlow (Kai Lai Contributing Editors: Chung Lecturer), University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Anirban DasGupta, Yoram Gat, David Hand, Takis Konstantopoulos, Xiao-Li Canada; Ioana Dumitriu, University of California, San Diego, CA, Meng, Regina Nuzzo, Dimitris Politis, USA; Martina Hofmanová, Universität Bielefeld, Germany; Firas Kavita Ramanan and Terry Speed Rassoul-Agha, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, USA; Samy w https://imstat.org/news Tindel, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, USA. https://www.facebook.com/IMSTATI This SSP 2020 conference will feature the tenth annual Kai Lai https://twitter.com/InstMathStat Chung Lecture, honoring Kai Lai Chung’s Mathematical career. Kai Martin Barlow is the Kai Lai Chung lecturer at SSP Lai Chung was one of the leading probabilists of the second half of IMS Dues and Subscriptions Office in March, and will also give the Wald Lectures the twentieth century and one of the founders of the Seminar on Contact the IMS regarding your dues, at the World Congress in Stochastic Processes. membership, subscriptions, orders or Seoul in August (see next page) The main conference will be held on March 5–7, 2020. change of address: On March 4, there will be a special set of tutorial lectures and discussions targeted at t 877-557-4674 [toll-free in USA] early-career researchers. These research lectures will be given by René Carmona, Princeton t +1 216 295 2340[international] University, Princeton, NJ, USA. f +1 216 295 5661 There will be financial support for participants to attend the SSP 2020 conference, e [email protected] from the US National Science Foundation, and from MSU’s Department of Statistics and IMS Business Office Probability. Deadline January 20, 2019, for full consideration of travel support requests. Executive Director, Elyse Gustafson Further information on funding and accommodations, and more details about the Contact the IMS regarding any other conference, including the online registration form, is available at: https://stt.natsci.msu. matter, including advertising, copyright edu/events/ssp2020/ permission, offprint orders, copyright transfer, societal matters, meetings, fellows nominations and content of publications: US Congress investigates reproducibility and replicability in science t 877-557-4674 [toll-free in USA] If you hear IMS Fellow David Allison (University of Alabama, Birmingham) t +1 216 295 2340 [international] news about is a member of the committee that wrote f +1 216 295 5661 IMS members, a 2019 National Academies report on e [email protected] pass it on! reproducibility and replicability in science. He appeared on November 13, 2019, Executive Committee before the US House Committee on President: Susan Murphy Science, Space, and Technology to discuss [email protected] recommendations and findings in the David Allison President-Elect: Regina Liu report. The report recommends ways that [email protected] researchers, academic institutions, journals, and funders should help Past President: Xiao-Li Meng strengthen rigor and transparency in order to improve the repro- [email protected] ducibility and replicability of scientific research. You can watch Treasurer: Zhengjun Zhang the Hearing: https://science.house.gov/hearings/strengthening- [email protected] transparency-or-silencing-science-the-future-of-science-in-epa- Program Secretary: Ming Yuan [email protected] bulletin@ rulemaking or read the written testimony: http://naswebcontent. Executive Secretary: Edsel Peña imstat.org nas.edu/OCGA/116Session1/testimonies/OCGA_196671?_ [email protected] ga=2.153293118.743976180.1575898025-1378498500.1575898025 = access published papers online IMS Journals and Publications January/February . 2020 IMS Bulletin . 3 Annals of Statistics: Ming Yuan, Richard Samworth http://imstat.org/aos http://projecteuclid.org/aos Annals of Applied Statistics: Karen Kafadar http://imstat.org/aoas Journal News http://projecteuclid.org/aoas Annals of Probability: Amir Dembo New Editor for Statistical Science http://imstat.org/aop http://projecteuclid.org/aop The IMS Committee to Select Editors Annals of Applied Probability: Francois Delarue, Peter Friz has chosen Sonia Petrone as Editor http://imstat.org/aap http://projecteuclid.org/aoap of Statistical Science from January 1, Statistical Science: Sonia Petrone 2020–December 31, 2022. Sonia, who is http://imstat.org/sts a professor in the Department of Decision http://projecteuclid.org/ss Sciences at Bocconi University in Milan, IMS Collections http://projecteuclid.org/imsc Cun-Hui Zhang Italy, will take over from , IMS Monographs and IMS Textbooks: Nancy Reid who has served three years as Editor. https://www.imstat.org/journals-and- publications/ims-monographs/ IMS Co-sponsored Journals and Publications Special IMS Lectures in 2020 Electronic Journal of Statistics: Domenico Marinucci http://imstat.org/ejs Each year the IMS selects people to deliver named and Medallion lectures at our meetings. http://projecteuclid.org/ejs In 2020, there will be three Medallion lectures at JSM in Philadelphia, USA (August Electronic Journal of Probability: Andreas Kyprianou https://projecteuclid.org/euclid.ejp Susan Holmes Roger Koenker Paul Rosenbaum 1–6, 2020), from , and . Electronic Communications in Probability: Then, a couple of weeks later (August 17–21) and on the other side of the world Giambattista