TABLE OF CONTENTS 5 Welcome Message 6 Administrative Program 7 Social Program 9 General Information 13 Program Welcome Message On behalf of the Organizing Committee, I welcome you to Mérida and the 15th Latin American Congress on Probability and Mathematical Statistics. We are truly honored by your presence and sincerely hope that the experience will prove to be professionally rewarding, as well as memorable on a personal level. It goes without saying that your participation is highly significant for promoting the development of this subject matter in our region. Please do not hesitate to ask any member of the staff for assistance during your stay, information regarding academic activities and conference venues, or any other questions you may have. The city of Mérida is renowned within Mexico for its warm hospitality, amid gastronomical, archaeological, and cultural treasures. Do take advantage of any free time to explore the city and its surroundings! Dr. Daniel Hernández Chair of the Organizing Committee, XV CLAPEM Administrative Program REGISTRATION The registration will be at the venue Gamma Mérida El Castellano Hotel. There will be a registration desk at the Lobby. Sunday, December 1, 2019 From 16:00 hrs to 22:00 hrs. Monday, December 2, 2019 From 8:00 to 17:00 hrs. Tuesday, December 3, 2019 From 8:00 to 17:00 hrs Thursday, December 4, 2019 From 8:00 to 16:00 hrs. DO YOU NEED AN INVOICE FOR YOUR REGISTRATION FEE? Please ask for it at the Registration Desk at your arrival. COFFEE BREAKS During the XV CLAPEM there will be coffee break services which will be announced in the program and will be displayed in both venues: Gamma Mérida El Castellano Hotel and CCU, UADY. 6 clapem2019.eventos.cimat.mx Social Program 1) Opening ceremony & welcoming cocktail Monday, December 2, 2019 Auditorio “Manuel Cepeda Peraza” Centro Cultural Universitario (CCU), UADY 17:00 hrs. “Vaquería Yucateca” Performance by Ballet Folclórico – Universidad Autónoma de Yucatán 2) Conference dinner Thursday, December 5, 2019 Started: 21:00 hrs. Hacienda YA-AXKA Hacienda Ya-axka, named after it characterised blue colour. A peculiar colour of the ancient Mayan cities which is represented on the mural paintings in the archaeological sites of the region. Inspired by the majesty and fascination of the haciendas of our beautiful state of Yucatan, recreating the old main houses of the henequen haciendas which reached their maximum splendour at the endo of the 20th century. The dinner is a three course meal that includes two glasses of wine, two regionals beers, tequila, live music and round trip transportation to the city center of Merida. * The cost of the dinner is $50 USD and it can be paid at the registration desk from Sunday 1st of December up to 14:00 hrs of Wednesday 4th of December. Transportation to conference dinner Please, show your conference dinner ticket when you get on the bus. Downtown – Hacienda Ya-axka - Downtown Thursday, December 5, 2019 Downtown to Hacienda Ya-aska Departure time: 20:15 hrs. Departure site: Parking cross the street from Hotel Gamma Mérida El Castellano Hacienda Ya-aska to Downtown Bus 1: departure time: 22:30 hrs. Bus 2: departure time 24:00 hrs. Bus 3 and Bus 4: departure time: 02:00 hrs. 7 clapem2019.eventos.cimat.mx General Information 9 clapem2019.eventos.cimat.mx General Information WHERE CAN YOU EAT? Restaurant Address Food COST (MXP) $ El Trapiche 62 St # 491Downtown Traditional food Cafetería Pop 57 St #501 between 60 St and 62 St Mexican food $ La Chaya Maya 62 St. # 481 x 57 Downtown Traditional food $$ 62 St # 498 X 59 and 61 $$ 100% Natural Vegetarian food Downtown 59 St # 502 X 60 $$ Los trompos Mexican tacos Downtown 59 St # 507 X 60 and 62 $$ Amaro Italian food Downtown 59 St #509 $$ Pancho´s Mexican food Santa Lucía Park 62 St #488B $$ El Marlín Azul Sea food Santa Lucía Park 60 St # 488 X 57 $$ Bristrola 57 Restaurant & bar (Downtown) 55 St # 502 X 60 St and 62 St $$ Peruano Peruvian food (Downtown) Pita Mediterranean 55 St # 496 $$ Mediterranean food Cuisine & Bar Santa Lucía Park La Tratto Santa Lucía 60 St # 471 X 53 St and 55 St Italian food $$ Don Spaghetto Departamento a X 63 St and 65 St $$ Italian food Centro Downtown 60 St #491 between 55 St and 57 St $$$ Piñuela Alta cocina (Downtown) La Pigua Av Cupules 62 Sea food $$$ BANKS (near venues) 10 clapem2019.eventos.cimat.mx General Information WHAT TO DO IN MERIDA CITY DURING EVENINGS Monday Thursday Vaquería Yucateca Serenata (Serenade) (Tradicional regional dance of Santa Lucía park Yucatán) 21:00 hrs. City House “En el Corazón de Mérida” 21:00 hrs. From Thursday to Saturday From 20:00 to 2:00 hrs Tuesday It consists of closing a complete street “Remembranzas Musicales” of the city center so that restaurants, (Popular music from the 1940 musical groups, local artists and artisans can exhibit their products in mostly Danzon) full public roads during a period of Santiago’s park, Downtown time of three hours. 20:30 hrs. Friday Wednesday Video mapping “Piedras Sagradas” Recorrido por el Cathedral of Merida Cementerio de Mérida 20:30 hrs. (Guide tour to the cementery of Merida) 20:00 hrs. Saturday Mexican night “Noche de las Culturas” meeting At the end of Paseo Montejo Francisco de Montejo Starting at 20:00 hrs. (Cultural Nights) Montejo’s house (Downtown) Mayan ball game “Pok Ta Pok” 20:30 hrs. 20:30 hrs Besides the cathedral of Merida We hope you will enjoy this CLAPEM and Mérida City!!! Emergency Phone: 911 At this time of the year, 30°C / 18°C WEATHER temperature at Mérida is about (86°F/64°F) 11 clapem2019.eventos.cimat.mx Program PROGRAM Auditorium, CCU-UADY 8:30 – 9:30 Plenary Talk Average Gromov hyperbolicity and the Parisi ansatz, Sourav Chatterjee (Stanford University, US) Monday, December 2 9:30 – 12:00 Thematic Session TS Random processes on networks and their limits Organizer: Louigi Addario-Berry (MacGill University, CA) Christina Goldschmidt, (University of Oxford, UK) The scaling limit of a critical random directed graph Anja Sturm (Georg-August-Universität Göttingen, DE) Recursive tree processes and mean-field limits of interacting particle systems (10:30 – 11:00 Coffee break - both venues) Roberto Imbuzeiro Oliveira, (IMPA, BR) Interacting diffusions over random graphs and the role of sparsity Simon Griffiths (PUC-Río, BR) Moderate deviation probabilities for subgraphs and other discrete structures Hall 1, CCU-UADY 9:30 – 12:00 Contributed Session CS, Random dynamical systems with jumps I Organizer: Juan Carlos Pardo Millán (CIMAT, MX) Random events occur in nature throughout our everyday experiences. Taking stochastic effects into account is of central importance for the development of mathematical models of complex phenomena under uncertainty arising in applications. Macroscopic models in the form of differential equations for these systems contain randomness in many ways, 14 clapem2019.eventos.cimat.mx such as stochastic forcing, uncertain parameters, random sources or inputs, and random initial and boundary conditions. The theory of random dynamical systems and stochastic differential equations provides fundamental ideas and tools for the modeling, analysis, and prediction of complex phenomena. The aim of this contributed session is to showcast new developments on the theory of random dynamical systems whose driven noise has a jump structure. The three speakers on this session will deal with different aspects of stochastic differential equations driven by Lévy processes. Gerardo Barrera, (University of Alberta, CA) Cut-off phenomenon for Ornstein--Uhlenbeck processes driven by Lévy processes Joaquín Fontbona (Universidad de Chile, CL) Synchronization of stochastic mean field networks of Hodgkin-Huxley neurons with noisy channels Ilya Pavlyukevich, (University of Jena, DE) Monday, December 2 Lévy-driven transport equations Hall 2, CCU-UADY 9:30 – 12:00 Contributed Talks CT, Felipe Muñoz (Universidad de Chile and Université Paris-Saclay, CL) Rate of convergence of a spatial branching process in the large population limit using optimal transport CT, Laura Eslava, (IIMAS, UNAM, MX) Branching processes with cousin merges and locality of hypercube´s critical percolation (10:30 – 11:00 Coffee break - both venues) CT, Freddy Palma Mancilla (IMUNAM, MX) Intertwining of Galton-Watson processes CT, Peter Pflaumer (TU Dortmund, DE) Euler´s and Süßmilchs´s Population Growth Model Hall 3, CCU-UADY 9:30 – 12:00 Contributed Talks CT, Alexander Alvarez (University of Prince Edward Island, CA) A robust approach to construct coherent risk measures CT, Laszlo Markus (Eötvös Loránd University, Budapest, HU) Stochastic correlation for modelling association of stock prices 15 clapem2019.eventos.cimat.mx (10:30 – 11:00 Coffee break - both venues) CT, Jonathan Chavez Casillas (University of Rhode Island, US) A level-1 Limit Order book with time dependent arrival rates CT, Adriana Ocejo (University of North Carolina at Charlotte, US) Optimal investment portfolio of a variable annuity policyholder Hall 1, Gamma Mérida El Castellano Hotel 9:30 – 12:00 Contributed Session CS, Probabilistic Methods in PDEs and SPEDEs Organizer: José Alfredo López Mimbela (CIMAT, MX) Asymptotic properties of semi-linear partial differential equations, such as Monday, December 2 explosion in finite time an existence of solutions defined globally in time, is a current and very active field of research in Mathematics. Moreover, existence and regularity results of solutions of stochastic partial differential equations perturbed by Gaussian noises more general than Brownian motion has been intensively studied in recent years. Probabilistic methods have been shown to be a powerful tool to understand these properties, both in PDEs and SPDEs, including reaction difussion equations with non-autonomous generators, or generators of anomalous difussions and systems of semi- linear PDEs and SPDEs. The aim of this session is to report several recent developments in these fields, where the probabilistic methods are crucial.