Regional Roads Investment Strategy Far North Queensland Regional Organisation of Councils Heavy Vehicle Freight Networks 15 May 2021 FNQROC H eavy Ve hicle Ro utes Far N ort h Qu eensl and R egio n of C ouncils Heavy Vehicle Freight Networks Regional Roads Investment Strategy Project No: IH167200 Document Title: Heavy vehicle freight networks Document No.: Revision: 6.15 Date: 15 May 2021 Client Name: Far North Queensland Regional Organisation of Councils Project Manager: Craig Gorlick Author: Craig Gorlick File Name: J:\IE\Projects\05_Northern\IH167200\21 Deliverables\Freight routes\Report\IH167200 FNQROC RRIS Heavy Vehicle Freight Networks Rev 6.15.docx Jacobs Australia Pty Limited 32 Cordelia Street PO Box 3848 South Brisbane QLD 4101 Australia T +61 7 3026 7100 F +61 7 3026 7300 www.jacobs.com © Copyright 2019 Jacobs Australia Pty Limited. The concepts and information contained in this document are the property of Jacobs. Use or copying of this document in whole or in part without the written permission of Jacobs constitutes an infringement of copyright. Limitation: This document has been prepared on behalf of, and for the exclusive use of Jacobs’ client, and is subject to, and issued in accordance with, the provisions of the contract between Jacobs and the client. Jacobs accepts no liability or responsibility whatsoever for, or in respect of, any use of, or reliance upon, this document by any third party. Document history and status Revision Date Description Author/s 3.4 28/08/2019 Issued draft for review C. Gorlick 4.8 08/03/2020 Issued draft for review C. Gorlick / S. Manders / D. Hooper 5.4 18/06/2020 Issued draft for review C. Gorlick 5.5 24/08/2020 Issued draft for review C. Gorlick 6.14 11/01/2021 Final draft C. Gorlick 6.15 15/05/2021 Final C. Gorlick i Heavy Vehicle Freight Networks Contents Executive Summary .................................................................................................................................1 1. Introduction ..................................................................................................................................3 1.1 Context ..........................................................................................................................................3 2. Strategic context ..........................................................................................................................5 2.1 Planning Strategies ........................................................................................................................5 2.2 Local Government Planning Schemes .......................................................................................... 10 2.3 Freight Strategies ......................................................................................................................... 16 2.4 Transport Strategies ..................................................................................................................... 19 2.5 Summary ..................................................................................................................................... 25 3. Freight generation ...................................................................................................................... 31 3.1 Population growth and implications for freight generation ............................................................. 31 3.2 Economic activity ......................................................................................................................... 37 4. Agriculture .................................................................................................................................. 45 4.1 Current activity ............................................................................................................................. 45 4.2 Outlook ........................................................................................................................................ 53 5. Mining ......................................................................................................................................... 56 6. Coordinated Projects ................................................................................................................. 60 7. Freight movements .................................................................................................................... 62 7.1 TMR Qld Freight Model ................................................................................................................ 62 7.2 Australian Bureau of Statistics Road Freight Movement Survey .................................................... 62 7.3 Port freight movements ................................................................................................................ 62 8. State Controlled Roads heavy vehicle growth .......................................................................... 68 9. Crash analysis ............................................................................................................................ 75 9.1 Comparing the relative crash risk ................................................................................................. 79 10. Heavy Vehicle Infrastructure Ratings (HVIR) ............................................................................ 83 11. Planned and proposed heavy vehicle network investments .................................................... 85 11.1 Strategic review ........................................................................................................................... 85 11.2 Completed and planned ............................................................................................................... 86 12. Infrastructure deficiency analysis ........................................................................................... 106 12.1 Road profile ............................................................................................................................... 106 12.2 Road roughness and rutting ....................................................................................................... 107 12.3 Width deficiencies ...................................................................................................................... 110 12.4 Structures .................................................................................................................................. 112 12.5 Intersections .............................................................................................................................. 112 12.6 Unsealed roads .......................................................................................................................... 112 12.7 Deficiency costs ......................................................................................................................... 113 13. SCR costed deficiencies .......................................................................................................... 115 14. Council roads costed deficiencies .......................................................................................... 123 ii Heavy Vehicle Freight Networks Appendix A. Economic indicators by Council .................................................................................... 128 Appendix B. Current and potential locations of key agricultural commodities ................................ 139 Appendix C. Road width rules ............................................................................................................. 140 Appendix D. Unit Rates ....................................................................................................................... 144 iii Heavy Vehicle Freight Networks Figure 2-1 Northern Australia Roads and Beef Roads programmes ................................................................. 25 Figure 3-1 Population 2016 ............................................................................................................................. 31 Figure 3-2 Average annual population change ................................................................................................ 32 Figure 3-3 Cairns population forecasts ............................................................................................................ 33 Figure 3-4 Cassowary Coast, Tablelands, Mareeba, Douglas population forecasts .......................................... 33 Figure 3-5 Hinchinbrook, Cook, Yarrabah, Carpentaria population forecasts ................................................... 33 Figure 3-6 Hope Vale, Etheridge, Croydon, Wujal Wujal population forecasts .................................................. 33 Figure 3-7 Annual change in B-double scenarios............................................................................................. 34 Figure 3-8 Aspirational economic growth (change to Baseline) ........................................................................ 36 Figure 3-9 Medium economic growth (change to Baseline) .............................................................................. 36 Figure 3-10 Population shift (change to Baseline) ............................................................................................ 36 Figure 3-11 Low population growth (change to Baseline) ................................................................................. 36 Figure 3-12 All Industry Output (2018/19) .......................................................................................................