Barnsley Strategic Housing Market Assessment 2021 Barnsley Metropolitan Borough Council Final Report June 2021 Main Contact: Dr. Michael Bullock Email: [email protected] Telephone: 0800 612 9133 Website: www.arc4.co.uk © 2021 arc4 Limited (Company No. 06205180) Barnsley MBC SHMA 2021 Page 2 of 203 Table of Contents Executive Summary .................................................................................................... 11 Introduction ....................................................................................................... 11 Housing market context .................................................................................... 11 Dwelling need, type and mix ............................................................................. 13 1. Introduction ....................................................................................................... 19 Background, aims and objectives ..................................................................... 19 Geography ........................................................................................................ 19 Research methodology ..................................................................................... 22 Presentation of data ......................................................................................... 22 Report structure ................................................................................................ 22 2. Policy and strategic review ............................................................................... 24 National Planning Policy Framework ................................................................ 24 Local context .................................................................................................... 24 Concluding comments ...................................................................................... 25 3. Understanding housing market dynamics in Barnsley ...................................... 26 Introduction ....................................................................................................... 26 House price trends ........................................................................................... 26 Relative affordability ......................................................................................... 33 Household migration ......................................................................................... 34 Past trends in housing delivery ......................................................................... 36 Concluding comments ...................................................................................... 41 4. Housing stock review ........................................................................................ 43 Introduction ....................................................................................................... 43 Estimates of current dwellings in terms of size, type, condition, tenure ............ 43 The age and condition of Barnsley’s housing ................................................... 51 Housing tenure ................................................................................................. 57 The owner-occupied sector .............................................................................. 60 The private rented sector .................................................................................. 62 Houses in multiple occupation .......................................................................... 66 Affordable housing ............................................................................................ 73 Relative affordability of housing tenure options and defining genuinely affordable housing ............................................................................................................. 75 Concluding comments ...................................................................................... 93 5. Affordable housing need ................................................................................... 94 Introduction ....................................................................................................... 94 The Affordable Housing Needs Assessment .................................................... 94 Tenure split ..................................................................................................... 100 Summary ........................................................................................................ 105 6. The needs of different groups ......................................................................... 106 June 2021 Barnsley MBC SHMA 2021 Page 3 of 203 Introduction ..................................................................................................... 106 Age-related housing need .............................................................................. 107 Future need for specialist older person accommodation and residential care provision ......................................................................................................... 113 Stakeholder views on older persons’ housing................................................. 121 Health-related housing need........................................................................... 121 Stakeholder views on specialist housing ........................................................ 129 Life experience-related housing need ............................................................. 130 Homelessness ................................................................................................ 131 Cultural heritage related housing need ........................................................... 132 Other groups with particular housing requirements ........................................ 135 7. Dwelling type and mix ..................................................................................... 138 Introduction ..................................................................................................... 138 Summary of scenarios .................................................................................... 140 Overall dwelling mix by tenure ........................................................................ 140 Conclusions .................................................................................................... 141 8. Conclusion: policy and strategic issues .......................................................... 142 Dwelling type, tenure and mix......................................................................... 142 Meeting the needs of older people and those with disabilities ........................ 142 List of Technical Appendices ..................................................................................... 144 Technical Appendix A: Research methodology ......................................................... 145 Overall approach ............................................................................................ 145 Baseline dwelling stock information and household survey sample errors ..... 145 Technical Appendix B: Policy review ......................................................................... 147 Introduction ..................................................................................................... 147 2010-2015 (Coalition Government) ................................................................ 148 2015-2016 (Conservative Government under David Cameron)...................... 149 Post EU-Referendum (Theresa May Administration) ...................................... 152 Technical Appendix C: Housing need calculations .................................................... 158 Introduction ..................................................................................................... 158 Stage 1: Current households in affordable housing need .............................. 161 Stage 2: Newly arising affordable need ......................................................... 163 Stage 3: Affordable housing supply ............................................................... 164 Stage 4: Estimate of total annual need for affordable housing ...................... 166 Total gross and net imbalance ........................................................................ 167 Relationship between current housing stock and current and future needs ... 167 Dwelling type and size .................................................................................... 169 Tenure split ..................................................................................................... 171 Technical Appendix D: Dwelling type and mix modelling ......................................... 173 Introduction ..................................................................................................... 173 June 2021 Barnsley MBC SHMA 2021 Page 4 of 203 Starting points ................................................................................................. 173 Aspiration scenario ......................................................................................... 178 Expect scenario .............................................................................................. 179 Summary of scenarios .................................................................................... 182 Overall dwelling mix by tenure ........................................................................ 182 Technical Appendix E: Stakeholder survey .............................................................