African Centre for the Study and Reseach on Terrorism (ACSRT) AFRICA TERRRORISM SITUATION REPORT January-December 2012 Table of Contents Abbreviations ....................................................................................................... 7 Political Map of Africa ........................................................................................ 10 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: ....................................................................................... 11 CONTINENTAL SITUATION REPORTS METHODOLOGY ......................................... 14 Challenges in Compiling the Situation Reports (Sit-Reps) ................................................................. 16 Conclusion:..................................................................................................................................... 18 CONTINENTAL TERRORISM THREAT ANALYSIS .................................................... 20 I. Introduction ............................................................................................................................. 20 II. Overiew of Incidents and Developments Relating to Terrorism and Violent Extremism in Africa ............................................................................................. 20 A. General ACSRT observations related to terrorist incidents in 2012 ............................................. 20 (i) Types of attacks ............................................................................................................................ 21 (ii) Victims and targets of terrorist acts ......................................................................................... 21 B. Statistical Representations related to the Continental Terrorist Incidents in 2012 ....................... 22 A. North Africa observations related to terrorist incidents in 2012 ................................................. 25 i. Etat de la menace terroriste ......................................................................................................... 25 ii. Caractéristiques générales de la menace terroriste en Afrique de l’Ouest ................................. 27 iii. Tendances générales de la menace dans la région ...................................................................... 31 iv. Représentations statistiques relatives aux incidents terroristes en Afrique du Nord ................. 31 B. The Sahelo‐Saharan region and West Africa observations related to terrorist incidents in 2012 .. 34 v. Etat de la menace terroriste ......................................................................................................... 36 vi. Caractéristiques générales de la menace terroriste en Afrique de l’Ouest ................................. 38 vii. Tendances générales de la menace dans la région .................................................................. 41 viii. Représentations statistiques relatives aux incidents terroristes en Afrique de l’Ouest .......... 42 C. The Central Africa observations related to terrorist incidents in 2012 ......................................... 45 i. Etat de la menace terroriste ......................................................................................................... 46 ii. Caractéristiques générales de la menace terroriste .................................................................... 48 iii. Représentations statistiques relatives aux incidents terroristes en Afrique Central ................... 49 D. Southern Africa observations related to terrorist incidents in 2012 ............................................ 52 E. Eastern Africa observations related to terrorist incidents in 2012 ............................................... 52 i. Status of the Threat of Terrorism ................................................................................................. 53 Page 2 sur 207 ii. Genereal Caracteristics of the Threat of Terrorism...................................................................... 54 iii. Anticipated outlook for the region ............................................................................................... 57 iv. Statistical Representations related to the Terrorist Incidents in Eastern and Southern Africa ... 59 Rapport de Situation sur le Terrorisme en Afrique du Nord ................................ 63 Janvier 2012 ................................................................................................................................... 63 Synthesis table ...................................................................................................................................... 64 Preliminary remarks ............................................................................................................................. 65 Février 2012 ................................................................................................................................... 66 Synthesis table ...................................................................................................................................... 68 Preliminary remarks ............................................................................................................................. 68 Mars 2012 ...................................................................................................................................... 69 Synthesis table ...................................................................................................................................... 72 Preliminary remarks ............................................................................................................................. 72 Avril 2012 ....................................................................................................................................... 73 Synthesis table ...................................................................................................................................... 75 Preliminary remarks ............................................................................................................................. 75 Mai 2012 ........................................................................................................................................ 76 Synthesis table ...................................................................................................................................... 79 Preliminary remarks ............................................................................................................................. 80 Juin 2012 ........................................................................................................................................ 81 Synthesis table ...................................................................................................................................... 85 Preliminary remarks ............................................................................................................................. 85 Juillet 2012 ..................................................................................................................................... 86 Synthesis table ...................................................................................................................................... 90 Preliminary remarks ............................................................................................................................. 90 Aout 2012 ...................................................................................................................................... 91 Synthesis table ...................................................................................................................................... 94 Preliminary remarks ............................................................................................................................. 94 Septembre 2012 ............................................................................................................................. 96 Synthesis table ...................................................................................................................................... 98 Preliminary remarks ............................................................................................................................. 98 Octobre 2012 ............................................................................................................................... 100 Synthesis table .................................................................................................................................... 102 Page 3 sur 207 Preliminary remarks ........................................................................................................................... 102 Novembre 2012 ............................................................................................................................ 103 Synthesis table .................................................................................................................................... 104 Preliminary remarks ........................................................................................................................... 104 Décembre 2012 ............................................................................................................................ 106 Synthesis table ...................................................................................................................................