Statistical release P5041.1 Building statistics December 2001 Co-operation between Statistics South Africa Embargo: 13:00 (Stats SA), the citizens of the country, the private sector and government institutions is essential Date: 20 February 2002 for a successful statistical system. Without continued co-operation and goodwill, the timely release of relevant and reliable official statistics will not be possible. Stats SA publishes approximately three hundred different releases each year. It is not economically viable to produce them in more than one of South Africa’s eleven official languages. Since the releases are used extensively, not only locally, but also by international economic and social-scientific communities, Stats SA releases are published in English only. 1 P5041.1 Key figures regarding building plans passed for the month ended December 2001 Actual estimates at January Percentage Percentage Percentage constant 1995 2001 change change change prices December to between between between 2001 December December 2000 October 2000 to January 2000 to 2001 and December 2000 December 2000 December 2001 and and October 2001 to January 2001 to R million R million December 2001 December 2001 Residential buildings Dwelling-houses 330,1 5 584,8 -2,8 -5,4 +1,4 Flats and townhouses 107,0 1 472,7 +40,9 +49,1 +10,1 Other residential buildings 5,8 202,5 -75,0 -79,6 -0,3 Total 442,9 7 260,0 +1,0 +1,1 +3,0 Non-residential buildings 92,1 2 431,8 -81,9 -64,2 -35,9 Additions and alterations 245,4 3 848,0 +6,7 +3,8 -6,7 Total 780,4 13 539,8 -33,8 -18,4 -9,5 Seasonally adjusted Percentage Percentage estimates at constant change change 1995 prices December between between 2001 November 2001 July 2001 to and September 2001 December 2001 and October 2001 to R million December 2001 Residential buildings 615,3 -0,6 +4,4 Non-residential buildings 119,9 -27,5 -31,4 Additions and alterations 335,5 -1,7 +9,3 Total 1 070,7 -4,9 -0,7 Key findings regarding building plans passed for the fourth quarter of 2001 Seasonally adjusted real value of building plans passed decreases The seasonally adjusted real value of building plans passed (at constant 1995 prices) for the fourth quarter of 2001 decreased by 0,7% compared with the third quarter of 2001. The decrease of 0,7% in the seasonally adjusted real value of building plans passed was due to a decrease in the seasonally adjusted real value of non-residential building plans passed (-31,4%) during the fourth quarter of 2001 compared with the third quarter of 2001. However, this decrease was partially counteracted by increases in the seasonally adjusted real value of building plans passed for additions and alterations (+9,3%) and residential buildings (+4,4%) during the above-mentioned period. 2 P5041.1 Key findings regarding building plans passed for the year 2001 Total real value of building plans passed decreases The total real value of building plans passed (at constant 1995 prices) during 2001 decreased by 9,5% (-R1 425,5 million) to R13 539,8 million compared with 2000. Large decreases in the real value of building plans passed were reported for non-residential buildings (-35,9% or R1 361,0 million, mainly due to decreases reported for office and banking space (-R437,5 million), industrial and warehouse space (-R427,8 million) and shopping space (-R326,1 million)) and additions and alterations (-6,7% or R274,4 million) during the above-mentioned period. However, the real value of residential building plans passed increased by 3,0% or R209,9 million, mainly due to large increases in the real value of building plans passed for flats and townhouses (+R135,1 million) and dwelling-houses (+R75,4 million) during this period. Seven of the nine provinces reported decreases in the total real value of building plans passed The largest provincial contributor to the decrease of 9,5% (-R1 425,5 million) in the total real value of building plans passed during 2001 compared with 2000 was Gauteng (-5,5 percentage points or R830,1 million), followed by KwaZulu-Natal (-1,6 percentage points or R234,7 million), Western Cape (-1,0 percentage point or R144,1 million) and Free State (-0,9 of a percentage point or R143,3 million) (cf. table A). Large real decreases in Gauteng were reported for non-residential buildings (-R846,4 million), mainly due to decreases reported by the selected urban areas of Witwatersrand (-R923,7 million). Table A - Contribution of provinces to the total real value of building plans passed Percentage Percentage Contribution Difference in total contribution to change (percentage real value of plans the total real between points) 1/ to the passed between Province value of plans January 2000 to percentage January 2000 to passed during December 2000 change in the real December 2000 January 2000 to and value of plans and December 2000 January 2001 to passed January 2001 to December 2001 between December 2001 January 2000 to December 2000 and January 2001 to December 2001 R million Gauteng 43,5 -12,7 -5,5 -830,1 KwaZulu-Natal 12,7 -12,3 -1,6 -234,7 Western Cape 27,2 -3,5 -1,0 -144,1 Free State 3,2 -30,5 -0,9 -143,3 Eastern Cape 5,6 -6,8 -0,4 -57,0 Northern Cape 0,9 -28,6 -0,3 -39,6 Northern Province 1,6 -14,7 -0,2 -35,7 Mpumalanga 3,0 +3,1 +0,1 +13,8 North West 2,3 +13,2 +0,3 +45,2 Total 100,0 -9,5 -9,5 -1 425,5 1/ The contribution (percentage points) is calculated by multiplying the percentage change of each province between January 2000 to December 2000 and January 2001 to December 2001 (cf. column 3) with the percentage contribution of the corresponding province to the total real value of plans passed during January 2000 to December 2000 (cf. column 2) divided by 100. 3 P5041.1 Key figures regarding buildings completed for the month ended December 2001 Actual estimates at January Percentage Percentage Percentage constant 1995 2001 change change change prices December to between between between 2001 December December 2000 October 2000 to January 2000 to 2001 and December 2000 December 2000 December 2001 and and October 2001 to January 2001 to R million R million December 2001 December 2001 Residential buildings Dwelling-houses 264,9 3 152,4 +23,0 +9,7 +5,8 Flats and townhouses 60,7 876,0 +21,7 +44,3 +7,8 Other residential buildings 0,7 334,2 -97,1 +13,8 +219,3 Total 326,3 4 362,6 +12,8 +16,6 +12,0 Non-residential buildings 123,7 2 964,0 -50,4 -12,2 +17,7 Additions and alterations 88,1 2 050,7 -24,3 -6,6 +0,0 Total 538,1 9 377,3 -17,8 +3,6 +10,8 Seasonally adjusted Percentage Percentage estimates at constant change change 1995 prices December between between 2001 November 2001 July 2001 to and September 2001 December 2001 and October 2001 to R million December 2001 Residential buildings 364,3 +0,1 +34,2 Non-residential buildings 137,8 -23,1 -49,4 Additions and alterations 132,4 -32,2 +11,7 Total 634,5 -14,0 -6,9 Key findings regarding buildings completed for the fourth quarter of 2001 Seasonally adjusted real value of buildings completed decreases The seasonally adjusted real value of buildings completed (at constant 1995 prices) for the fourth quarter of 2001 decreased by 6,9% compared with the third quarter of 2001. The decrease of 6,9% in the seasonally adjusted real value of buildings completed during the fourth quarter of 2001 compared with the third quarter of 2001 was due to a decrease in the seasonally adjusted real value of non-residential buildings completed (-49,4%, mainly due to the completion of a large shopping centre as reported by North Local Council – Umhlanga Rocks during September 2001). However, this decrease was partially counteracted by increases in the seasonally adjusted real value of residential buildings (+34,2%) and additions and alterations completed (+11,7%) during the above-mentioned period. 4 P5041.1 Key findings regarding buildings completed for the year 2001 Total real value of buildings completed increases The total real value of buildings completed (at constant 1995 prices) during 2001 increased by 10,8% (+R911,6 million) to R9 377,3 million compared with 2000. Large increases in the real value of buildings completed were reported for residential buildings (+12,0% or R465,9 million, due to real increases reported for ‘other’ residential buildings (+R229,5 million) and dwelling-houses (+R173,0 million)) and non-residential buildings (+R445,6 million, due to real increases reported for shopping space completed (+R502,7 million)). The real increase regarding ‘other’ residential buildings (+R229,5 million) was mainly due to the completion of a hotel and casino to the real value of R192,6 million as reported by Southern Metropolitan Local Council of Greater Johannesburg during January 2001. Six of the nine provinces reported increases in the total real value of buildings completed The largest provincial contributor to the increase of 10,8% (+R911,6 million) in the total real value of buildings completed during 2001 compared with 2000 was KwaZulu-Natal (+10,1 percentage points or R852,9 million), mainly due to the completion of a large shopping centre to the real value of R795,0 million as reported by North Local Council - Umhlanga Rocks during September 2001, followed by Western Cape (+2,1 percentage points or R181,0 million) and Eastern Cape (+1,9 percentage points or R158,7 million).